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The War In Nagorno-Karabakh Postponed For A Year

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  • The War In Nagorno-Karabakh Postponed For A Year

    THE WAR IN NAGORNO-KARABAKH IS POSTPONED FOR A YEAR

    DEFENSE and SECURITY
    June 1, 2011 Wednesday
    Russia

    Source: Argumenty Nedeli, No. 20, May 26 - June 01, 2011, p. 2

    [translated from Russian]

    VICTORY OF AZERBAIJAN IN EUROVISION 2011 CONTEST POSTPONED THE
    PROSPECT OF RESOLVING OF THE NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT BY THE MILITARY
    WAY?; Situation related to Nagorno-Karabakh was relieved a little
    lately. Although separate firing exchanges do happen on the frontline,
    analysts presume that a big war between Azerbaijan and Armenia is
    postponed at least for a year.

    Situation related to Nagorno-Karabakh was relieved a little lately.

    Although separate firing exchanges do happen on the frontline,
    analysts presume that a big war between Azerbaijan and Armenia is
    postponed at least for a year.

    The main reason is the unexpected victory of Baku in Eurovision 2011
    contest. According to the rules of this song contest, a year later
    Azerbaijan will have to receive the contest at home. The country
    does not come to the top of international news very often and that
    is why experts do not doubt that Baku will not wish to miss such rare
    opportunity to pose its country in a better light.

    Authorities of Azerbaijan will definitely use Eurovision for propaganda
    of their stance regarding the Nagorno-Karabakh problem. A similar
    thing already happened during Eurovision in Moscow in 2009.

    Then Azerbaijanis noticed images of historic monuments located on the
    territory of Nagorno-Karabakh in the video of Armenia and started a
    loud scandal.

    If the contest passes successfully, Baku hopes to increase its rating
    in the international mass media. This will be very good in case
    of a military clash. Besides, according to military experts, the
    country is not prepared for a war fully yet and needs to reinforce
    the air defense. That is why Baku is patiently conducting drawn out
    negotiations on purchase of Russian systems S-300.

    In any case, people in Yerevan do not believe in a long postponement
    of a war very much. Already next day after Eurovision 2011 President
    of Armenia S. Sargsian announced that Azerbaijan might start a war
    in Nagorno-Karabakh, "There are probably plans connected with even
    bigger accumulation of forces and means to try to start a new military
    reckless enterprise at a convenient moment." Nonetheless, Armenians
    try not to provoke the neighbors. Analysts said that because of this
    and not because of a fear to be shod down Sargsian cancelled the flight
    of his airplane to the new airport of Stepanakert planned for May 9.

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