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Karabakh Settlement: Public And Press Speculate About Kazan Meeting

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  • Karabakh Settlement: Public And Press Speculate About Kazan Meeting

    KARABAKH SETTLEMENT: PUBLIC AND PRESS SPECULATE ABOUT KAZAN MEETING PROSPECTS
    By Naira Hayrumyan

    ArmeniaNow
    10.06.11 | 13:36

    Following their four-day tour of the Karabakh conflict region, the
    OSCE Minsk Group cochairmen (representing the United States, Russia
    and France) issued a statement late on Thursday in which they called
    upon the parties "to avoid any provocative actions or statements that
    might undermine the negotiating process during this critical period."

    Experts took it as an appeal not to interfere with the presidents of
    Armenia and Azerbaijan in their endeavors to come to agreement around
    the Basic Principles of the Karabakh settlement, which may be signed as
    early as on June 25 during a Russia-hosted summit in the city of Kazan.

    International mediators themselves acknowledge that the signing of
    these basic principles, which are largely viewed as unacceptable to
    both sides, may cause internal turmoils in either country.

    In a recent interview with the Polish magazine "Nowa Europa
    Wschodnia" Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office
    in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone Andrzej Kasprzyk noted that
    "at the time of threat a commander will not listen to politicians,
    he will execute a previously received order to defend his positions."

    It is stated in an open mode that consent to the basic principles
    implying a withdrawal of Armenian forces from their current positions
    may cause a riot among middle-echelon army officers. Some articles
    have appeared in the Armenian press drawing parallels between the
    possible fates of the presidents of Armenia and Karabakh and Yitzhak
    Rabin, an Israeli leader who was assassinated in 1995 after over his
    agreement to surrender lands.

    Articles that have lately been published in the press and via online
    social networks refer to the presence in Karabakh of factions ready
    to prevent a possible handover of territories.

    "Judging by the statements, the Armenian side has decided to follow
    the path of concessions and intends to allow the deployment of
    peacekeepers in Aghdam and Fizuli. According to a number of sources,
    [Armenian Foreign Minister Edward] Nalbandyan held a meeting with
    [Karabakh President] Bako Sahakyan and [Karabakh Prime Minister] Ara
    Harutyunyan to discuss the issue of peacekeepers. But the Karabakh
    officials stated they supported the status quo," writes Lragir.

    An article received from Karabakh and published in the paper claims
    that the current course of negotiations was causing a deep indignation
    among the public. "Underground groups have started developing a
    strategy in case of such developments. Concessions in Kazan may become
    a real bomb that will explode the society. This will make adjustments
    to the rules of the game in Armenia and Artsakh and could threaten
    the participants in the process of concessions," the article asserted.

    Perhaps it is such statements that the mediators urge the parties
    to avoid, considering the threat of internal squabbles as a possible
    deterrent for the presidents' signing the basic principles.

    At the same time, Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandyan as
    well as Azerbaijan's Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov and the
    Karabakh president's spokesman David Babayan have cast doubts over
    the prospect of the basic principles being agreed upon at the upcoming
    summit in Kazan.




    From: A. Papazian
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