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THIS COULD ALSO HAPPEN IN KAZAN
JAMES HAKOBYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics22260.html
Published: 15:43:32 - 17/06/2011
Prior to the three-party meeting in Kazan, many people say there may
be some progress, some agreement. The Co-Chairs, experts, even the
conflict sides say it though there are also doubts.
Anyway, the content of the events is still veiled from the society, and
all the opinions are based on presumptions, analyses or predictions.
In this sense, a situation, opposite or parallel to the main
observations, could also be considered. I mean there can be some
progress in Kazan, and progress would be rejection of the Basic
Principles of Madrid and approval of the current status quo rather
than approval of the Principles of Madrid.
In other words, in Kazan, Azerbaijan may acknowledge that its efforts
to change the status quo are doomed, even if Armenia expresses a
thousand times more willingness to return the territories in returned
for an uncertain referendum. All the same, there are geopolitical
interests, configuration, projects and ideas that suppose a balance
among the countries of the region ~V Armenia, Georgia, Turkey,
Azerbaijan and Iran. Change of status quo would break the balance,
creating new correlation between the countries, actually eliminating
Armenia from the map of the South Caucasus.
No doubt, few great powers would be satisfied with this scenario which
would bring about a new bugbear. So, in Kazan, the leaders may reach
agreement to refrain from bugbears.
JAMES HAKOBYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics22260.html
Published: 15:43:32 - 17/06/2011
Prior to the three-party meeting in Kazan, many people say there may
be some progress, some agreement. The Co-Chairs, experts, even the
conflict sides say it though there are also doubts.
Anyway, the content of the events is still veiled from the society, and
all the opinions are based on presumptions, analyses or predictions.
In this sense, a situation, opposite or parallel to the main
observations, could also be considered. I mean there can be some
progress in Kazan, and progress would be rejection of the Basic
Principles of Madrid and approval of the current status quo rather
than approval of the Principles of Madrid.
In other words, in Kazan, Azerbaijan may acknowledge that its efforts
to change the status quo are doomed, even if Armenia expresses a
thousand times more willingness to return the territories in returned
for an uncertain referendum. All the same, there are geopolitical
interests, configuration, projects and ideas that suppose a balance
among the countries of the region ~V Armenia, Georgia, Turkey,
Azerbaijan and Iran. Change of status quo would break the balance,
creating new correlation between the countries, actually eliminating
Armenia from the map of the South Caucasus.
No doubt, few great powers would be satisfied with this scenario which
would bring about a new bugbear. So, in Kazan, the leaders may reach
agreement to refrain from bugbears.