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YEREVAN AND MOSCOW IN THE SAME CHAINS
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments22964.html
Published: 11:58:27 - 17/08/2011
There is a common opinion that the situation in Armenia depends on
the outcome of elections in Russia.
The situation in Russia is indefinite. The first and last president
of USSR, Mikhail Gorbachev, in his interview with The Guardian,
said Prime Minister Putin is an obstacle to democratic transition in
Russia. He thinks Dmitry Medvedev deserves a second presidential term.
"The President's program of economic, political and civil modernization
is better but his possibilities are limited," said Gorbachev. According
to him, Putin defeated Medvedev with his cunning.
Yesterday, Putin and Medvedev fished in the Volga River, dived and
drove a powerboat but not together, in order to show that Medvedev
is also manly though Putin's torso is broader.
Half a year is left to go before the presidential elections in Russia
but the candidates are not known. Such things would happen only in
Russia where civil opinion is as unessential as in Armenia. Not the
parties as unions of citizens but authoritarian leaders identify
the candidates.
It was repeatedly said that in Armenia radical political changes are
possible only if Putin promotes his candidacy. This is first of all
related to Kocharyan's return. Many analysts in Armenia affirm it
is impossible under the current rating of Kocharyan. But in Armenia,
rating is nothing if the outcome of elections is "planned" beforehand.
Moreover, it is unknown how Serzh Sargsyan will behave if Putin runs
in the elections and Kocharyan voices about his intentions. Will
Sargsyan's resources be sufficient to fight two former presidents,
Russian and Armenian?
The uncertainty of the Russian establishment hinders the organization
of the Armenian political field. But will certainty become a
stabilizing factor or will it promote uncontrolled processes?
Armenia appeared in such a situation due to the activities of its
political class, which is in total dependence on the Russian political
and economic situation. No matter who will rule in Russia, in Armenia,
changes in the social and political life will happen only within the
leadership without changing the current situation. Meanwhile systemic
changes are possible as soon as total economic and political dependence
on Moscow is overcome.
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments22964.html
Published: 11:58:27 - 17/08/2011
There is a common opinion that the situation in Armenia depends on
the outcome of elections in Russia.
The situation in Russia is indefinite. The first and last president
of USSR, Mikhail Gorbachev, in his interview with The Guardian,
said Prime Minister Putin is an obstacle to democratic transition in
Russia. He thinks Dmitry Medvedev deserves a second presidential term.
"The President's program of economic, political and civil modernization
is better but his possibilities are limited," said Gorbachev. According
to him, Putin defeated Medvedev with his cunning.
Yesterday, Putin and Medvedev fished in the Volga River, dived and
drove a powerboat but not together, in order to show that Medvedev
is also manly though Putin's torso is broader.
Half a year is left to go before the presidential elections in Russia
but the candidates are not known. Such things would happen only in
Russia where civil opinion is as unessential as in Armenia. Not the
parties as unions of citizens but authoritarian leaders identify
the candidates.
It was repeatedly said that in Armenia radical political changes are
possible only if Putin promotes his candidacy. This is first of all
related to Kocharyan's return. Many analysts in Armenia affirm it
is impossible under the current rating of Kocharyan. But in Armenia,
rating is nothing if the outcome of elections is "planned" beforehand.
Moreover, it is unknown how Serzh Sargsyan will behave if Putin runs
in the elections and Kocharyan voices about his intentions. Will
Sargsyan's resources be sufficient to fight two former presidents,
Russian and Armenian?
The uncertainty of the Russian establishment hinders the organization
of the Armenian political field. But will certainty become a
stabilizing factor or will it promote uncontrolled processes?
Armenia appeared in such a situation due to the activities of its
political class, which is in total dependence on the Russian political
and economic situation. No matter who will rule in Russia, in Armenia,
changes in the social and political life will happen only within the
leadership without changing the current situation. Meanwhile systemic
changes are possible as soon as total economic and political dependence
on Moscow is overcome.