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  • Who Is Left On The List

    WHO IS LEFT ON THE LIST
    JAMES HAKOBYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments24016.html
    Published: 13:45:14 - 01/11/2011

    On March 1, 2011, the leader of the Armenian National Congress Levon
    Ter-Petrosyan submitted a 15-point list of demands to the authorities.

    One of the points concerned those officials whose dismissal the
    Congress demanded from Serzh Sargsyan.

    Some of the 15 points were fulfilled during a couple of months, for
    example, the release of political prisoners and the restoration of
    the right to hold rallies in Freedom Square.

    The greater part of the points remained unfulfilled. Moreover,
    Congress did not even dwell on them later perhaps for the reason
    that Serzh Sargsyan assured during the dialogue between ANC and the
    coalition that he would have dealt with the issue of dismissals.

    However, it is already a fact that Serzh Sargsyan has already dismissed
    two officials from the list - Karen Karapetyan and Alik Sargsyan.

    Ter-Petrosyan's whole list was the following: "For outrageous
    omissions, arbitrariness or professional lacks in the economic
    management and ensuring of legacy, to dismiss the Prime Minister
    of Armenia Tigran Sargsyan, Vice-Premier Armen Gevorgyan, Head of
    the Central Bank of Armenia Artur Javadyan, President of the State
    Revenue Committee Gagik Khachatryan, Yerevan Mayor Karen Karapetyan,
    Prosecutor General Aghvan Hovsepyan, Head of the National Security
    Service Gorik Hakobyan, Chief of Police Alik Sargsyan, Head of the
    Special Investigation Unit Andranik Mirzoyan, Head of the Penitentiary
    Department of the Ministry of Justice Hayk Harutyunyan".

    2 of 10 officials have already been sacked. Who will be the next? It
    seems obvious that it is high time for the dismissal of the President
    of the State Revenue Committee Gagik Khachatryan, who has several
    times been almost fired, but something or someone hindered.

    The small and midsize businesses also raise the issue on Gagik
    Khachatryan's dismissal, sure only in private talks, and even the
    major business, in public mode through its propaganda means. We know
    that Tigran Sargsyan, whose tax reforms do not succeed entering
    already the field of direct activities of the tax service, is an
    "advocate" of Gagik Khachatryan's dismissal. Armenia's partners,
    international financial organizations, which are the main supporters
    of the Premier in the home politics, also raise the issue on the tax
    reforms of Armenia. While, they need to revise their support if Tigran
    Sargsyan turns out unable to use it for the tax reforms.

    The issue on the Prosecutor General's dismissal is becoming more
    urgent in the governmental field too. The Prosecutor General has
    recently tried to hit the Military Prosecutor Gevorg Kostanyan.

    Apparently, Aghvan Hovsepyan feels more danger inside his department
    rather than in the government in general, because being an "old person"
    in the system, he would have not lost his influence and control over
    the situation so quickly. The so-called preventive attempts of the
    Prosecutor General to attack the Military Prosecutor betrayed his
    serious fears.

    No doubt along with the issue on the dismissal of the Prosecutor
    General, the same issue will be maturing in the Special Investigation
    Unit. In general, it is obvious that Serzh Sargsyan needs to build
    his force chain, which cannot be limited by the Police, and force
    structures will soon be involved in this chain too, and even if this
    issue is not solved by the parliamentary elections, then, prior to
    the presidential ones, the construction of the chain will be complete.

    This means urgency of the issue on the dismissal of the former Chief
    of Police, acting Head of the Penitentiary Department Hayk Harutyunyan.

    Though, this issue became urgent after the replacement of the Minister
    of Justice, when a person of another quality and kind, Hrayr Tovmasyan,
    was appointed to this office. Then, the press raised the question how
    two completely different people in terms of quality, the Minister
    and the Head of a key department of the ministry, are going to
    work together in the same structure. Now, it is obvious that Hrayr
    Tovmasyan fails to fulfill the whole systemic reforms and changes he
    used to speak about in the beginning of his office. In other words,
    it is necessary to eliminate the centers of repression in the system,
    the key one of which is Hayk Harutyunyan.

    As for the Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan, vice-Prime Minister Armen
    Gevorgyan and Central Bank head Artur Javadyan, then, the most probably
    version here is Armen Gevorgyan's dismissal. No doubt, Gevorgyan is
    in the government due to Robert Kocharyan's influence.

    Consequently, along with the reduction of Kocharyan's influence, grows
    the possibility of Gevorgyan's dismissal. Kocharyan's influence,
    judging by the current home political and internal governmental
    processes, and the support of the West and Russia to Serzh Sargsyan
    in this connection, is evidently decreasing. The issue is whether
    the reduction is as much to enable the dismissal of the vice-premier.

    In case of Tigran Sargsyan, a version based on mutual compromises
    can occur when the Prime Minister suspends his activities with the
    beginning of the election campaign, until the end of the election. On
    the one hand, this will be a gesture discharging the mistrust of
    the society towards the government, on the other hand, it will be
    an expression of democracy, when an official leaves the office when
    taking part in the elections. For example, the Prime Minister of
    Kirgizia made this step and has recently been elected President.

    Sure, this will just be the pattern of democracy in Armenia, rather
    than content, but if the authorities revises at least the forms,
    and does not take up the traditional methods, this fact stands for
    serious changes in the social-political situation.

    As to the Head of the Central Bank Artur Javadyan, then here,
    Ter-Petrosyan and the society will be defeated by Serzh Sargsyan. If
    Javadyan remains CB President, it will not harm Armenia's future
    because Javadyan is not the official who is more or less autonomous
    in the hierarchic system of power of Armenia. Though his structure
    is very important in terms of its functional significance, both for
    economic development and life of the governmental system, nevertheless,
    Javadyan is not like Tigran Sargsyan in the office of the President
    of the Central Bank.

    Sure, Levon Ter-Petrosyan's list released on March 1 would need
    amendments in these months, because many other processes took place,
    new issues, new realities and situations came up. But there is no
    doubt the list won't be changed anyway, but only amended.

    The important is the fact that it is a list offered by Ter-Petrosyan.

    Ter-Petrosyan needs to be viewed here as a figure expressing the
    public moods. The society is the author of the list, the "original"
    version of which is much longer.

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