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Lebanon: Fierce election battles shape up in the North, Metn,West Be

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  • Lebanon: Fierce election battles shape up in the North, Metn,West Be

    Fierce election battles shape up in the North, Metn, West Bekaa
    By Nayla Assaf

    Daily Star, Lebanon
    May 21 2005

    Daily Star staff
    Saturday, May 21, 2005

    On the campaign trail

    BEIRUT: As election day draws closer, the electoral battle is
    expected to be fierce in North Lebanon, the Metn and the Western
    Bekaa. With the bloc of slain former Premier Rafik Hariri set to win
    all the seats in the capital and the Hizbullah-Amal coalition those
    of South Lebanon, there is unlikely to be much of an electoral battle
    in Beirut and South Lebanon. The much anticipated battle has shifted
    to other provinces.

    In the Northern Metn District, which will witness parliamentary
    elections with the rest of Mount Lebanon on July 12, electoral
    alliances are still unclear. But the opposition is expected to
    announce a joint list, grouping Michel Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement
    (FPM), Metn MP Nassib Lahoud's Democratic Renewal Movement, the
    Phalange rank and file movement loyal to former President Amin
    Gemayel and the Lebanese Forces (LF).

    However, an observer of the electoral scene in the Metn said: "the
    prospect of an alliance is still dependent on alliances in other
    areas. If the FPM allies with the Progressive Socialist Party and the
    LF in the Baabda-Aley district, then its alliance with the rest of
    the opposition will go smoothly in the Metn."

    The picture might be clearer by Sunday, when Metn MP Pierre Gemayel
    is expected to announce his list at a rally in Bikfaya.

    However, it remains unclear whether an opposition alliance in the
    Metn will include former MP Gabriel Murr, who received the backing of
    the opposition, united when he ran for the by-election in 2002.

    Earlier squabbles among the opposition had triggered reports the FPM
    might seek an alliance with Deputy Speaker Michel Murr, a close
    Syrian loyalist.

    But the FPM denied the reports, and Murr is more likely to unite with
    the Tashnag Armenian party and the loyalist faction of the Phalange,
    headed by former minister Karim Pakradouni.

    But by all accounts, a deal between the FPM and PSP leader Walid
    Jumblatt in Baabda-Aley will determine the alliances among the
    opposition in the rest of the country.

    In Second district in North Lebanon, which groups Tripoli, Minieh,
    Zghorta, Batroun and Koura, the opposition is likely to face a new
    potential alliance between former Premier Omar Karami and former
    Interior Minister, Suleiman Franjieh.

    But the opposition in the North, represented by such figures as
    Batroun MP Boutros Harb, opposition figure Samir Franjieh, Zghorta MP
    Nayla Mouawad, Koura MP Farid Makari, and Tripoli MP Samir Jisr, who
    are close to Saad Hariri, is set to win more seats than the loyalist
    list.

    It is still not clear, however, if the FPM, which enjoys strong
    support in the North, will be part of that coalition.

    George Haddad of the FPM said: "The North will be part of a package
    deal.

    Either we will ally with the rest of the opposition in all the
    country on the basis of a joint agenda to combat corruption, or we
    simply will not."

    In the Western Bekaa, the battle is between traditional pro-Syrian
    figures such as Elie Ferzli, Faysal Daoud and Abdel-Rahim Mrad and an
    odd coalition bringing together the loyalist Amal Movement with
    representatives of the opposition.
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