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Who Makes Decisions In Armenia

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  • Who Makes Decisions In Armenia

    WHO MAKES DECISIONS IN ARMENIA
    Naira Hayrumyan

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments25560.html
    Published: 15:27:47 - 23/03/2012

    The election list of the Republican Party, which, despite the
    assurances host oligarchs, criminals, functionaries and generals,
    made wonder the society: so who controls the situation in Armenia.

    Who decides? No strategy and tactics can be worked out without the
    answer to this question?

    There are two main versions: either Serzh Sargsyan fully controls the
    situation but does not want reforms, or the situation in the country
    is uncontrolled and decisions are taken under the influence of the
    momentary pressure by all the sides.

    If Serzh Sargsyan is really the decision maker and, despite his
    promises not to include the oligarchs into the election list, did it
    anyway, it means that he does not need a reformed parliament, and all
    the talks on modernization are false and he is the main defender of
    the oligarchs in the country.

    The second version is when Serzh Sargsyan doesn't control the
    situation. If any oligarch can go to the president and threaten to join
    Robert Kocharyan's team, or maybe threaten an angry call from Moscow
    if he is not included into the list, means, fictive dictatorship is
    in the country which is worse than real dictatorship.

    If the constitutional mechanisms don't function, the power passes to
    one person. If this person has enough power, he becomes the decision
    maker establishing his diktat.

    When he is not strong enough to establish a dictatorship, either
    everyone understands this situation and start dictating themselves,
    like it is happening in Armenia, or the president resorts to the
    Constitution.

    Anyway, no matter if Serzh Sargsyan wanted such lists or if he was
    forced to make such, the parliament in the previous composition will
    become the end to his presidential tenure. If Sargsyan decided to
    continue relying on the criminal oligarchy, and if division of seats
    has really been carried out between the main parties, Serzh Sargsyan
    won't have any guarantees to re-election next February. The society
    may completely reject him, the same society, which he tried to attract
    through the fight against the oligarchy.

    And if Serzh Sargsyan was really unable to resist and the lists were
    formed against his will, then, he again has no guarantees that those
    who forced him to involve the oligarchs into the lists will fulfill
    his orders. Rather, they will start looking for those who accepts
    their decisions.

    The only chance to win real votes at the upcoming presidential
    elections for Serzh Sargsyan would be the implementation of the
    promise not to include oligarchs into the lists. The chance has not
    been yet lost in the sense that not everyone on the list will enter
    the parliament. As an example take Eduard Madatyan.

    The answer to the question who decides in Armenia is important also
    for the opposition which should build its strategy taking this fact
    into account.

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