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  • When Opposition Is Also Government

    WHEN OPPOSITION IS ALSO GOVERNMENT

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics26670.html
    Published: 12:26:28 - 26/06/2012

    Levon Margaryan, Brussels-Yerevan

    NATO diplomats were trying to understand whether Armenia has an
    opposition which would balance the government, at the same time
    directing the vectors to West. Following the rose and orange
    revolutions in Georgia and Ukraine and the developments of 2008,
    the question was in the air whether the West is ready and able to
    organize a similar project in Armenia. Perhaps nobody doubts that
    the West is ready and is able to organize something similar. However,
    that would require from Armenia an opposition which would be at least
    ready to accept a proposal of cooperation. A real opportunity for
    these discussions was the opposition activity in 2008, before and
    after March.

    NATO diplomats also tried to understand how come the scarce messages on
    building up relations with the West come from the prime minister and
    the president, people who are perceived Russian political influence
    actors. Perhaps NATO diplomats know the internal answers to these
    questions. But the issue that was brought up is mystical indeed and
    allows for thoughts. In Armenia there was a powerful opposition which
    enjoyed public support and its grassroots are still keeping up the
    discourse of Western revolution. However, the opposition denied a
    pro-West approach at the level of its leader. Moreover, a few years
    later the far-reaching and asymmetrical tandem RPA-PAP was formed.

    On the other hand, Serzh Sargsyan inaugurated after March 1 started
    speaking in the context of Western modernization conducts a policy of
    deepening relations with NATO. At the same time, the prime minister
    often states to face Europe. One can understand the surprised question
    of those in NATO because the situation is indeed confusing.

    Perhaps the problem is that Europe has given the Armenian government a
    certain portion of legitimacy offering or requesting cooperation with
    Armenia. On March 1 Russia lost one of its main actors Robert Kocharyan
    which would otherwise be represented in the Armenian government in
    a successful course of events. In this situation allying with Europe
    or facing Europe, as the prime minister puts it, may become true. In
    addition, football diplomacy organized later boosted the reputation
    of the illegitimate president in foreign relations, which is mentioned
    in Western discourse.

    Now it appears that the relations set up after 2008 continue, the
    Armenian government plays a double game with the West and Russia.

    However, the problem is in the opposition, not in government.

    Returning to the beginning, is there an opposition in Armenia which
    will balance the government, directing the vector to the West. And
    the other question stemming from this question is what the opposition
    can bring to Armenia.

    There is such an opposition in Armenia. It is the Party of Free
    Democrats. In a long-term perspective the Heritage, as well as those
    who left the ANC due to disagreement with its foreign policy, may join
    it. Ter-Petrosyan denied pro-West implications of the ANC placing at
    the top of its election list a person who supported Putin. Before and
    after the election the Heritage, Free Democrats and other pro-West
    personalities did not display enough diligence, and the pro-West
    discourse actually faded away before it would start. Besides, the
    mentioned forces have little presence in the parliament.

    In fact, the discussion continues in the field of government, and
    as a result the Armenian government will be the only center defining
    the discourse.

    In this context of opening up the political field of Armenia before
    the West and bringing certainty to the relations with Armenia the
    issue is to build up an opposition discourse in the country rather
    than propagate the West and to enable a choice along with the
    foreign political vectors offered by the government. This is one
    of the prospects of development of Armenia because the West cannot
    understand the existence of a pro-Russian and pro-west government in
    Armenia, plus the opposition forces which say almost nothing about
    the foreign policy. As a result, it may turn out that the Armenian
    authorities are performing the job of the opposition.

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