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  • Unknown Of Power

    UNKNOWN OF POWER

    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27039.html

    The political developments preceding the presidential elections in
    Armenia, at least in terms of the behavior of the main political
    subjects, gradually come out of the influence of internal issues and
    appear within the influence of fight of foreign centers for Armenia.

    But, even in this case, home issues are still the basis of key
    importance for political developments which are in the field of
    foreign influence.

    The point is that the foreign political centers can't but take
    into account the Armenian reality the key issue of which is the
    social-psychological situation and its aftermaths - emigration,
    social apathy, depression, mistrust, disappointment towards almost
    all the members of the political system.

    In order to overcome this situation, Armenia needs large financial
    investments. The West will have the necessary ground, i.e. active and
    modern society, for the long-term partnership relations with Armenia
    only the help of financial resources.

    In this context, though, it is surprising that the conference of
    donors for Armenia was postponed which would provide investments of
    at least several millions. While Russia benefits from the lack of
    investments and the social-psychological hard situation in the result
    and the social apathy.

    So why did the West delay the conference? The point is that the
    West will give money to Armenia only in case it is sure that it will
    serve for reforms and withdrawal of Armenia from under the Russian
    destructive supremacy. While, there are no precedents in Armenia for
    such a future, or all the precedents are not worth several million
    or billion investments.

    Perhaps this is the reason why the West in crisis avoids investing
    big money in Armenia if they are possible to serve Russia that the
    West itself.

    No accident, parallel to the statement on the delay of the conference
    of donors, EU high ranking officials recalled to Serzh Sargsyan
    about the necessity of reforms and corruption fight. In other words,
    Serzh Sargsyan was reminded that until the power issue is not solved
    in Armenia and until it is in several points, Armenia can't expect
    big money from the West since the latter does not want to throw away
    its money.

    The power issue in Armenia is open to such an extent that if an air
    blew it could sweep all the money away.

    Serzh Sargsyan is unable to solve this issue. He only manages to make
    sure no other force, in particular the PAP and Robert Kocharyan solve
    that issue. They are currently the main rivals of Serzh Sargsyan.

    Sargsyan solved the issue in the Armenian National Congress, though
    Robert Kocharyan and the Prosperous Armenia are intensively trying
    to restore the political influence of Congress, controlling it at
    the same time in order to be more influential against Serzh Sargsyan.

    In this governmental fight, Serzh Sargsyan will have to think out
    systemic changes not because the Western community demands it,
    which is the actual sponsor of Serzh Sargsyan's de jure power, but
    also because it is time to demand systemic changes since the acting
    system has exhausted itself in material and resource terms.

    These changes suppose for the violation of rights of the
    criminal-oligarchic field, at least in terms of individuals. But,
    this means that those who remain offended may join the circle of
    supporters of Robert Kocharyan and PAP. Serzh Sargsyan can't but be
    worry about this, which is expressed in the formed of the process of
    elimination of individual members of the oligarchic system.

    This makes the power issue insolvable and a closed circuit involving
    everyone comes up around neck of the state.

    The solution seems to be this: either everyone leaves leaving the
    solution of the power issue to the new generation, or everyone decides
    to review their deeds and to come out of the closed circuit.

    But, judging by the quality of the political system of Armenia and
    its traditions and stereotypes, the second version is impossible. In
    terms of the same thinking, world vision, psychology and values,
    it is almost impossible also the first version.

    Apparently, the most possible is the third version - the decision of
    the young generation to broaden the process of power realization and
    to increase dynamics and its implementation. It already exists and
    it is express in the form of different initiatives. But time demands
    broadening and intensification of these activities.

    Realization of the power does not mean coming to power. Here, there
    is a delicate instinctive limit which defines the decisions and the
    actions because the citizen of Armenia has no issue of coming to power
    in accordance with the Constitution because it already belongs to the
    citizen, and second, the young generation has the power a priori:
    the concept of youth if psychologically healthy and complete is a
    synonym to the power, it is just necessary to realize the power.

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