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KOCHARYAN WON'T RUN
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/country27205.html
Published: 15:48:44 - 28/08/2012
Gagik Tsarukyan finally spoke and it became evident that his party
has lowered the level of its ambitions. First, it was stated that
the Prosperous Armenia Party will not nominate Robert Kocharyan for
president. Second, Tsarukyan actually stated that he is going to fit
into Serzh Sargsyan's scheme.
Either Robert Kocharyan made sure that the upcoming elections will not
reserve the office of president for him, so he decided to retreat or a
"general agreement" was reached that Kocharyan will be the next prime
minister. Anyway, it has been stated officially for the first time
that Robert Kocharyan will not run for president, which changes the
political situation sharply since the issue of an adequate rival to
Serzh Sargsyan occurs.
It is noteworthy that Gagik Tsarukyan does not demand the position
of the prime minister, only the dismissal of PM Sargsyan. Hence,
PAP has no shadow prime ministers while Kocharyan is not a PAP member.
May this be considered Serzh Sargsyan's personal victory over Kocharyan
or does this have deep geopolitical roots?
Despite provocative statements by Russia on the Eurasian Union and
the CSTO exercise, Putin's visit to Armenia due in early September
has not been confirmed yet. And if it does not take place, it will
mean Russia has encountered a stronger rival in the fight for Armenia
and resistance of local authorities.
For its part, it will strengthen Serzh Sargsyan.
Moreover, if it becomes clear that PAP does not nominate Kocharyan
but supports Sargsyan or Tsarukyan runs in the election, and Russia
retreats, the radical opposition of Armenia in the face of the
Armenian National Congress will appear in an awkward situation. It
will either have to go against the "European orientation" of Serzh
Sargsyan alone or it will have to support Gagik Tsarukyan or give
up its slogan "Serzhik leave!" In case PAP and Serzh Sargsyan agree,
the Congress will appear in an unfavorable position which will again
strengthen Serzh Sargsyan.
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/country27205.html
Published: 15:48:44 - 28/08/2012
Gagik Tsarukyan finally spoke and it became evident that his party
has lowered the level of its ambitions. First, it was stated that
the Prosperous Armenia Party will not nominate Robert Kocharyan for
president. Second, Tsarukyan actually stated that he is going to fit
into Serzh Sargsyan's scheme.
Either Robert Kocharyan made sure that the upcoming elections will not
reserve the office of president for him, so he decided to retreat or a
"general agreement" was reached that Kocharyan will be the next prime
minister. Anyway, it has been stated officially for the first time
that Robert Kocharyan will not run for president, which changes the
political situation sharply since the issue of an adequate rival to
Serzh Sargsyan occurs.
It is noteworthy that Gagik Tsarukyan does not demand the position
of the prime minister, only the dismissal of PM Sargsyan. Hence,
PAP has no shadow prime ministers while Kocharyan is not a PAP member.
May this be considered Serzh Sargsyan's personal victory over Kocharyan
or does this have deep geopolitical roots?
Despite provocative statements by Russia on the Eurasian Union and
the CSTO exercise, Putin's visit to Armenia due in early September
has not been confirmed yet. And if it does not take place, it will
mean Russia has encountered a stronger rival in the fight for Armenia
and resistance of local authorities.
For its part, it will strengthen Serzh Sargsyan.
Moreover, if it becomes clear that PAP does not nominate Kocharyan
but supports Sargsyan or Tsarukyan runs in the election, and Russia
retreats, the radical opposition of Armenia in the face of the
Armenian National Congress will appear in an awkward situation. It
will either have to go against the "European orientation" of Serzh
Sargsyan alone or it will have to support Gagik Tsarukyan or give
up its slogan "Serzhik leave!" In case PAP and Serzh Sargsyan agree,
the Congress will appear in an unfavorable position which will again
strengthen Serzh Sargsyan.