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ANKARA: Turkey and the EU Referendums

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  • ANKARA: Turkey and the EU Referendums

    Journal of Turkish Weekly, Turkey
    June 27 2005

    Turkey and the EU Referendums
    View: Sedat LACINER

    According to some European politicians and journalists Turkey has
    nothing to contribute to the European Union (EU). Many of them see
    that Turkey will deplete the EU sources and cause great economic
    depression. Moreover, the Christian Democrats and some other
    `anti-Turkish' circles in France and Germany argue that Turkey is not
    part of `the European civilization'.

    Turkey is generally considered poor, problematic and an awkward
    candidate for the EU. Worst of all, some abuse the `Turkey problem'
    in order to curtail their failures as witnessed in the French and
    Dutch referendums. The French and Dutch politicians have refused to
    question their mistakes and Turkey has become a scapegoat.

    ***

    First, in France and Netherlands, the peoples rejected the `new
    economic order'. They were not happy with the new global competitive
    market conditions. They were losing their jobs. The Western European
    companies have been investing in the Eastern Europe, Central Europe,
    the Balkans, Turkey and China. And the EU has to enlarge to be more
    competitive. Thus the employments and investments have gone to the
    Eastern Europe from the Western Europe. Furthermore the Polish,
    Hungarian, Russian and other Eastern Europeans legally or illegally
    poured into the Western European employment markets. This trend
    decreased wages.
    Competitiveness has also forced the EU to cut social rights. The
    welfare state has been dying in the EU countries since 1990s.
    Education, health, unemployment and other social budgets have been
    dramatically cut and the taxes were increased in Germany, France and
    many other EU members.

    Under these circumstances the old members of the EU has been
    radically transforming. The problem is that the continental Europe is
    not flexible enough to be transformed at this speed when compared
    with the Anglo-Saxon economies (US, UK etc.). Another problem is that
    Western Europe has not enough time to make such structural changes in
    employment, social rights, health services, education systems, and
    other public services. The rapid changes have caused serious problems
    and resistance. The French and Dutch `no's were part of this
    resistance. In another word, the problem is more serious, and `Turkey
    issue' as a scapegoat may only delay the problems. The French and
    other Western European leaders have to face the reality.

    ***

    Civilazational Factors

    The `no's were not only against `the competitiveness efforts' and
    globalization's impacts on the social life and employment. No one can
    ignore `civilizational factors'. Significant percent of the French
    and Dutch voters saw `Turkey' or `Muslim issue' as a factor to vote
    `non'. After the Van Gogh Murder in particular the ethnic and
    interfaith relations have become thornier. About 7 million Muslims
    live in Netherlands and France (6 m. in France and 1 m. in
    Netherlands). Most of them are Arab and from Northern Africa, and
    most of them are French or Dutch citizens. Second and third
    generation has very little link with the `homeland'. However `the
    Christian citizens' do not see the Muslim French and Muslim Dutch
    citizens as true citizens. In the post- 9/11 era, the Van Gogh Murder
    muddled the ethnic relations even in the Netherlands which was one of
    the perfect example of ethnic harmony. Though the number of Turks is
    less than 15 percent, the French and Dutch peoples do not make any
    distinction between Turks, Arabs, Malaysian, Indonesian and Iranians.
    In fact the ethnic origin of any Muslim is not important for the
    biased and angry masses. They say Muslim, but they mean Arab, Turk,
    or Iranian. However only Turkey has a `chance' to become EU member:
    The EU leaders at the 17 December EU Summit decided to start
    full-membership negotiations with Turkey on 3 October 2005, and
    recognized that there was no serious structural problem for Turkey's
    EU membership. In fact the EU first time in its history recognized
    Turkey as true European and opened the doors of the EU to the Turks.
    This made anti-Turkish political parties and groups in the Western
    Europe panicked. Racist and anti-Muslim groups argued that Turkey's
    entry will make Europe a Muslim continent. Turkey, according to these
    groups, with 75 million Muslims was not a true European. Apart from
    the racist, radical and religionist parties, the `incurable'
    anti-Turkish lobbies (Armenians, Greeks and the PKK militants) made
    anything possible to show Turkey and Muslims as a threat to `Europe'.
    Armenians for instance, in France argued that Turkey had to recognize
    Armenian allegations regarding the 1915 Relocation Campaign before
    accepting by the EU. According to the Armenians, Turks had committed
    `genocide' against the Ottoman Armenians while Turkey says there was
    an Armenian riot and more than 523,000 Turks were massacred by the
    armed Armenian groups during the last years of the Ottoman Empire.
    Who is right is a formidable question, yet the timing is interesting.
    The French Armenians and many French politicians started anti-Turkish
    campaigns before the EU Constitution referendum. None of them could
    remember the Algerian Genocide committed by the French troops though
    the Algerian President and Algerian people were still expecting a
    sincere sorry from Paris. But Turkey was at the heart of all of the
    EU debates. Both sides accused Turkey for almost anything. The
    opposition accused Chirac of giving support to Turkey's EU
    membership, and Chirac replied that Turkey cannot be a EU member in
    foreseeable future, and that the French people will decide whether
    Turkey can be a EU member or not. Chirac totally supported the
    Armenian diaspora, and even sent a supportive letter to a former
    ASALA terrorist.

    ***

    In brief, neither France nor the Netherlands fully questioned the
    real problems. The politicians and so-called `leaders' accused the
    `others' and never dare to confront the realities. They provided a
    ground for the `non's actually. Worst of all, it seems that they
    cannot read the results of the referendums. They still accuse Turkey
    and the Muslims in EU. France has tried to prevent any enlargement
    since the referendum; German CDU's leader Merkel says the EU cannot
    integrate Turkey. None of them touches the real problems.
    The referendums proved that the French and Dutch peoples are against
    globalization and they are getting more and more prejudiced (if not
    racist) about the Muslims. At this point palliative measures cannot
    solve the problems. The EU states, as EU member or alone, have to be
    more competitive, and the EU citizens will continue to suffer from
    limited welfare state. Enlargements are possibly the only way in the
    short term to be more competitive against China, India and other
    countries. In another word, enlargement is not the problem, but a
    prescription for the EU to be more competitive and stronger economy

    Second, anti-Turkish or anti-Muslim politics are dangerous for Europe
    as the NAZÝ politics before the Second World War. There are more than
    150 million Muslims in `greater Europe' (including Turkey, Turkish
    Cyprus, the former USSR, Balkans and Muslim diasporas). The American
    policies in the `greater Middle East' worsened the civilization
    relations. The situation in Iraq is worse than the Saddam Hussein
    era. American policies in Iraq and Palestine increased
    anti-Westernism not only in the region but also among the
    Euro-Muslims. American human rights abuses in Guantanamo and Iraq
    prisons have deepened hatred between the civilizations. French and
    Dutch politicians are talking about declaring a war against Islamism.
    Many politicians abuse the ethnic relations in the EU states. The
    Christian solidarity is still alive against Turkey in Cyprus issue,
    Armenian problem or any problem in the Aegean Sea. Strangely the EU
    accuses Turkey in any issue if the other side is Christian. Many
    Turks and Muslims perceive a return to the Medieval Ages. Under these
    circumstances, if an ethnic or religious mass conflict erupts in any
    European capital, both sides will lose. The EU and the EU members'
    leaders however seem not aware of the mortal situation, and have no
    prescription. They just nourish the misunderstandings and historical
    biases.

    In this framework, it can be argued that Turkey provides the right
    prescription in both of the problems (competitiveness and
    civilizational relations), and the EU has no alternative but Turkey:

    - Turkey is the greatest Muslim economy in the world,
    - Turkey is the oldest and most healthy democracy in the Muslim
    world,
    - Turkey is the most liberal economy of the Muslim world,
    - Turkey has the most stable and reliable economic and political
    structure in the Muslim world,
    - Turkey is the most Westernized and modernized Muslim country in the
    world,
    - Turkey has a strong representative power among the Muslim states,
    - Apart from the Muslim world, Turkey is considered the leader of the
    150 million-Turkic world,
    - More than half of Turkey's foreign trade with the EU countries,
    - Turks do not equate Christianity with the West, and Judaism with
    Israel. Turkey can be critical about both of them when it has good
    relation with Israel and the West,
    - Turkish people do not see radical Islamists as `heroes'. It can be
    said that Turkish religious understanding is the only antidote to
    counteract against Usame Bin-Ladin approach,

    It can be said that Turkey is an invaluable candidate for the EU at
    this point. Apart from the civilization contributions, Turkey's
    competitiveness and economic potential may also help the suffering EU
    economies. Turkey is now the 17th bigger economy of the world and it
    has dramatically been climbing the list. On the other hand what the
    EU can contribute to Turkey is debatable. The EU has no funds to pour
    to Turkey as it did to the new comers. The EU cannot offer employment
    for Turkish unemployed as it did during the 1960s and 70s. The EU
    also cannot finance Turkish agriculture sector as it did the French
    agriculture in the past.

    We do not want to underestimate the EU's possible contributions to
    Turkey, but at the same time, it should be noted that Turkey's
    possible contributions should not be underestimated. The EU cannot
    overcome its crises by only accusing Turkey, but fully understanding
    the potential of Turkey to cure its weaknesses.

    [email protected]
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