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  • Russia is strengthening its base in Armenia

    WPS Agency, Russia
    January 18, 2013 Friday



    RUSSIA IS STRENGTHENING ITS BASE IN ARMENIA

    by Vladimir Mukhin
    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, N5-6, 18.01.2013, p. 1
    [Translated from Russian]

    Russia increases the military readiness of its armed group and the
    Allied Force in the South Caucasus. In addition to the military bases
    in South Ossetia and Abkhazia, which have a common border with the
    Russian Federation, special attention is focused on the Russian
    enclave group in Armenia.

    (...) On behalf of President Vladimir Putin, the government is hastily
    preparing an agreement with Armenia on the development of
    military-technical cooperation (MTC). By January 15th, the Defense
    Ministry executed the plan of staffing the 102nd Russian military base
    stationed in Gyumri (Armenia) with contract servicemen. For the past
    six months, their number has doubled. At the same time, the base staff
    personnel number of about 5,000 men remained the same.

    In fact, all the military combat units of the Russian troops located
    in Armenia (especially the Air Force, Air Defense, intelligence, and
    so on) are staffed with professionals. This significantly reduces
    transportation costs, since earlier the government had to deliver by
    air conscripts twice a year - though, apparently, that was not the
    main motivation for increasing the combat readiness of troops.

    Military experts explain that the accelerated transfer of the 102nd
    base to the professional grounds is associated with a possible abrupt
    change in the geopolitical situation there, which threatens Russia and
    its allies. These scenarios are associated with the onset of possible
    hostilities of Azerbaijan against Armenia because of the Karabakh
    conflict, as well as possible military action by Israel against Iran.

    The expert community has repeatedly voiced similar scenarios. In
    September 2012 the Interaction-2012 military exercises of the CSTO
    Collective Rapid Response Forces took place in Armenia. According to
    the Defense Ministry, the exercises were linked to "the need to repel
    the aggression of irregular armed groups that unlawfully invaded the
    territory of the so-called Republic of Sevania, a member-state of the
    Collective Security Treaty Organization". The Defense Ministry
    explains: the exercises revealed the need to substantially increase
    the quality of personnel training, which is directly related to its
    transfer to the professional status. The contract soldiers of the 98th
    Guards Airborne Division, transferred from Russia to Armenia by air,
    demonstrated the necessary training quality during the
    "Cooperation-2012" exercise. So, it is expected that the contract
    soldiers and sergeants of the 102nd military base will be trained to
    become equally professional.

    Military expert General Lieutenant Yury Netkachov comments: "Whether
    the Russian group will participate in possible military action to
    repel aggression against Armenia is a political question. But
    unequivocally it is clear that our military base there must be combat
    ready, including readiness for peacekeeping operations".

    In support of his thesis, the general cites a recent speech by
    President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, made at the January 15meeting of
    the Cabinet of Ministers. Once again Aliyev said that while the
    conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh is in progress, Baku, among other
    means, such as diplomatic and economic, is ready to influence Yerevan
    with military means. Netkachov believes that these are not just words,
    because, according to Aliyev, "Azerbaijan's military budget is USD 3.7
    billion, significantly higher than the total budget of Armenia". Over
    the past five years, Azerbaijan military spending has increased more
    than tenfold, and has exceeded 5% of the GDP. Netkachov insists: "This
    is a relatively high level of military spending, and the indirect
    evidence of preparations for military action".

    Meanwhile, Russia does not only improve its military force in Armenia.
    It intends to increase military cooperation with the ally. According
    to sources in the RF Defense Ministry, the draft agreement between
    Armenia and Russia includes plans to create a defense joint venture,
    as well as training centers for border guards and specialists in
    emergency situations. With Russia's support, the defense industry of
    Armenia should become capable of producing some types of ammunition,
    armored vehicles, as well as create a local repair facility not only
    for Army weapons, but also for the Air Force and Air Defense. Two
    Security Council Secretaries, Arthur Baghdasaryan and Nikolai
    Patrushev, signed an appropriate protocol between the two countries at
    a meeting in Yerevan on February 9, 2012. Currently, the agreement
    with Armenia on MTC is entering the home stretch. According to our
    sources, it will be signed early next month.

    Commenting on the possibility of signing an agreement on
    military-technical cooperation with Armenia, Director of the Center
    for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies Ruslan Pukhov said that
    "until recently, there was a strange situation: Armenia was our ally
    was, while we pumped Azerbaijan with arms. We hope that with the
    agreement (...) this imbalance will be corrected". Pukhov believes
    that "Azerbaijan is not always pursuing a friendly policy toward
    Russia. In particular, we know that the Azerbaijanis refused to extend
    the lease on the Gabala radar station on acceptable terms, and that
    Russia will have to look for alternatives". According to Pukhov, by
    enhancing relations with Armenia, Russia defends its interests in the
    South Caucasus.

    [Translated from Russian]

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