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  • Armenia edges closer to NATO

    Ara Tadevosian: Armenia edges closer to NATO

    Providence Journal , RI
    June 28 2005

    YEREVAN, Armenia - ARMENIA'S defense minister, Sarah Sarkisian,
    and the secretary general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organiztion,
    Jalap de Hoop Schaffer, have come to an agreement that many see as
    proof of a strategic shift by Armenia toward the West.

    At a meeting in Brussels this month, Sarkisian presented de Hoop
    Schaffer with a so-called Individual Partnership Action Plan
    from Armenia, as well as a letter from Armenian President Robert
    Kocharian. Such action plans submitted to NATO detail the political
    and military steps that a country will take to deepen its relations
    with the alliance; they're considered the first step toward applying
    for membership.

    The event marked a breakthrough in relations between Armenia and
    NATO, which were once quite frosty. Since gaining independence from
    the former Soviet Union, in 1991, Armenia has been a close military
    ally of Russia's. Moscow still maintains a large military base in
    Yuri, Armenia.

    But a slight cooling of relations with Russia -- coupled with overtures
    from the West and indications that neighboring Georgia and Azerbaijan
    might soon also seek NATO membership -- have changed the strategic
    picture in the region.

    Earlier this year, Armenian Defense Minister Sarkisian clearly
    signaled his country's growing orientation toward the West. "After
    we set ourselves the goal of joining the European family," he said,
    "we must have close relations with NATO and be responsible for
    guaranteeing security in Europe."

    In fact, Armenia and NATO have been developing closer relations for
    several years. In 2003, Armenia played host to NATO military exercises,
    and in 2004 it sent peacekeeping troops to join the international
    presence in Kosovo.

    Moscow has made clear that it still considers Armenia a vital ally.
    It recently began moving military equipment out of its bases in
    Georgia to its large facility in northern Armenia.

    But, in a sign of how the political atmosphere is changing in
    Armenia, the leading official in the opposition Republic Party, Suren
    Sureniants, criticized the move. He said that it "only reinforced the
    prevailing opinion in the West that Armenia is Russia's forward post
    in the Caucasus." Sureniants also said that "the Armenian political
    elite ought to raise the issue of the withdrawal of Russian bases
    from the territory of our country."

    Still, many Armenians remain deeply suspicious of NATO. Some continue
    to regard Russia as a more reliable ally. Others are troubled that
    Turkey, longtime enemy of Armenia, is a key NATO member.

    "If NATO needs us so badly," said Yeravan resident Misak Alexanian,
    "why doesn't it force Turkey to open its border with Armenia?"

    Armenian President Kocharian refused to attend a NATO summit in
    Istanbul last year, because of Turkey's refusal to begin diplomatic
    relations with Armenia and to open their shared border.

    Yet Armenians have welcomed NATO's position on Azerbaijan. Last
    September, the alliance canceled a planned military exercise there
    after Azerbaijan refused to let Armenian officers participate in
    the maneuvers.

    For now, Armenia finds itself in two worlds: It remains a key member
    of the Russian-led Collective Security Pact of the Commonwealth
    of Independent States even as it develops a growing relationship
    with NATO.

    Ronald D. Asmus, a senior transatlantic fellow at the German Marshall
    Fund of the United States and a senior adjunct fellow at the Council
    on Foreign Relations, in Washington, says that Armenia "needs to
    try to pursue a dual-track strategy, where it expands its outreach
    to this region and tries to deepen its cooperation with Moscow in
    parallel. It is clearly in our, as well as Armenia's, interest that
    we succeed in doing so."

    Armenia will also have to bring its armed forces under civilian
    control -- not an easy task in a country where the military is a
    major political force.

    The country now has two years to implement its Individual Partnership
    Action Plan for entry into NATO. After that, it will be up to Armenia's
    next president -- due to be elected in 2008 -- to decide whether to
    pursue formal NATO membership.

    Ara Tadevosian is a journalist in Armenia who writes for The Institute
    for War & Peace Reporting, a London-based nonprofit organization that
    trains journalists in regions of conflict (www.iwpr.net).
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