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Prize Fighters; An early look at the Oscar field

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  • Prize Fighters; An early look at the Oscar field

    Prize Fighters

    Movies

    An early look at the Oscar field

    Entertainment Weekly
    Wednesday, July 20, 2005

    We analyze the odds for ''All the King's Men,'' ''Broken Flowers,''
    ''Jarhead,'' and more by Dave Karger.

    Though Oscar night is still eight months away (March 5, 2006, to be
    exact), studio awards strategists are already preparing their plans of
    attack. They'd better get busy: Since the first half of the year didn't
    yield much in the way of true contenders, almost all Best Picture
    nominees should come from the final five months of the year. As usual,
    one or two films may appear out of nowhere (nobody was talking about
    Million Dollar Baby or Sideways last July), but here, in alphabetical
    order, are the likeliest candidates at this early date.

    ALL THE KING'S MEN
    Could be a contender... if the political drama directed by Steven
    Zaillian (a past Oscar winner for his Schindler's List screenplay)
    elicits topflight performances from Academy faves Sean Penn, Kate
    Winslet, and Jude Law. Unless... a remake of a Best Picture winner seems
    like too obvious an Oscar ploy. (Dec. 16)

    BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
    Could be a contender... since Annie Proulx's unorthodox gay-cowboy love
    story has landed in the careful hands of director Ang Lee (Crouching
    Tiger, Hidden Dragon). Unless... hardcore fans of the short story
    complain that the romance between Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal is
    too tame. (Dec. 9)

    BROKEN FLOWERS
    Could be a contender... since the droll-and-droller combination of
    director Jim Jarmusch and star Bill Murray can get a jump on Oscar
    campaigning, thanks to an early rollout (hey, it worked for Murray in
    Lost in Translation, a September release). Unless... voters find it too
    strange and small. (Aug. 5)


    http://www.ew.com/ew/report/0,6115,1083278_1_0_,00.html
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