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  • Provocation Or Threat?

    Provocation Or Threat?

    The response of official Ankara to the murder of the Turkish shepherd
    on the Armenian-Turkish border was tough. It even contains certain
    threats. Ankara states that the killing of an innocent citizen of
    Turkey due to accidental crossing of the border is intolerable. At the
    same time, Turkey's ministry of foreign affairs has called Yerevan to
    treat its relations with neighbors with common sense with a view to
    regional stability.

    In fact, the incident on the Armenian-Turkish border is a diplomatic scandal.

    The Russian border guard service which guards the Armenian-Turkish
    border stated that the shepherd did not only violate the border but
    fired at the border guards. It is not clear when the Russian border
    guards will present undeniable proof. They say they are investigating.
    If the shepherd fired, they must present at least the gun with which
    he fired because the gun could not just vanish.

    Now it is clear that Turkey will use the incident as a weapon which it
    needs so badly judging by internal and external problems.

    Interestingly, the incident at the Armenian-Turkish border overlaps
    with completion of negotiations on the Association Agreement and DCFTA
    between the EU and Armenia. Furthermore, recently Armenia is brought
    up the issue of the Armenian-Turkish border officially, stating that
    association and free trade cannot be complete unless the border
    between Armenia and Turkey which is also part of the EU customs is
    closed.

    In fact, Armenia indirectly puts forth conditions to the EU. In answer
    to this, the EU commissioner Stefan Fule stated during his meeting
    with the civil society representatives in Yerevan that Turkey will
    remind the EU at every opportunity that being a member of Europe means
    being good neighbors. In fact, the EU acknowledges the issue brought
    up by Armenia where the sides have mutual understanding if completion
    of negotiation is announced.

    In this context the border incident occurs as Armenia tries to refresh
    the issue of the Armenian-Turkish border on the European agenda. The
    incident occurs on the Armenian side, and the Turkish trespasser is
    killed. Crossing a border is a crime indeed, an encroachment on state
    security but killing is too extreme a thing to be chosen as a
    preventive or stopping measure.

    Turkey gains an extra argument to tackle this process. And the Russian
    border guards give Turkey this argument, who kill instead of catching
    the shepherd.

    Moreover, a point of view is kneaded that the Turkish shepherd was not
    a shepherd and had other reasons to cross the Armenian border because
    he fired at the border guards, as the Russian border guards say.

    All the more so, he should not be killed. In such cases, everything
    must be done to catch the trespasser and find out the purpose of his
    visit. This is the requirement of principles of state security and
    professionalism. In this case, the Russian border guards would give
    the weapon to Armenia, not Turkey.

    So, either border guards lack professionalism if they are unable to
    render harmless a trespasser who could hardly have been someone like
    Rambo with his equipment and arms, or the Russian border guards
    controlling the Armenian-Turkish border are guided by the state
    security issues of their own state, rather than the Armenian state.

    The result is an Armenian-Turkish, not a Russian-Turkish scandal. And
    in its current situation Armenia needs scandals the least because
    scandals harm Armenia and empower Turkey to oppose allegations ahead
    of the 100th anniversary and development of relations with the EU.

    Although the Russian border guards shot the trespasser who officially
    perform border guard service, the Republic of Armenia is responsible.
    So, Turkey will talk to Armenia, not the Russian Federal Border Guard
    Service. The issue is a broader one which has persisted over the past
    two decades of the independent state. The border with its paramount
    military, political and even geopolitical importance is actually out
    of control of Armenia while even the humming of bees may result in an
    interstate or a regional scandal. This is an absurd situation.

    Besides, incidents can be provocations, mistakes or accidents. It is
    not important now that Armenia is responsible for the mistakes or
    intentions of the state service of another country. The problem is not
    fears from Turkey but the logic of the general situation which renders
    Armenia vulnerable, keeping this section of the Armenian-Turkish
    border as a source of provocations. In addition, the situation stakes
    Russia as well because it is possible to shatter regional stability
    and shift responsibility on Russia.

    James Hakobyan
    11:07 03/08/2013
    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30615


    From: Baghdasarian
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