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Toronto Star about Armenia today

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  • Toronto Star about Armenia today

    Jul. 30, 2005. 01:00 AM

    Broken dreams in Armenia
    A million leave behind country once full of hope

    Many yearn for revolutionary but peaceful change
    MICHAEL MAINVILLE
    SPECIAL TO THE STAR

    YEREVAN, Armenia-Naira Yeremyan knows her home doesn't look like much,
    but it's all she has.

    A ramshackle collection of wooden boards, concrete slabs and mismatched
    bricks, it sits amid the winding streets of Kond, a desperately poor
    neighbourhood perched on a hilltop overlooking the Armenian capital,
    Yerevan.

    What the neighbourhood does have is a view. Below Kond, the city
    stretches for kilometres onto the Armenian plains. In the distance
    sits the ice-capped peak of Mt. Ararat in Turkey.

    The view has property developers salivating over the prospect of
    erecting luxury apartments in Kond. And that's the bane of Yeremyan's
    existence.

    "This house is 60 years old. My grandfather and grandmother came here
    to escape the genocide in Turkey," says Yeremyan, 37. "My mother was
    born here. I was born here. This home is part of our family. And now
    they are saying we cannot live here, that we have to leave and get
    almost nothing in return."

    Three months ago, local authorities told the 14,000 residents of Kond
    they would have to vacate their homes by the end of the year to make
    way for modern housing. In exchange, they will be given payments of
    between $2,400 and $6,000.

    "You cannot buy a house anywhere in Yerevan for that much. We are
    going to be homeless. They are throwing us out on the streets," says
    Yeremyan, who shares both the house and a monthly pension of about
    $30 with her 63-year-old mother.

    Yeremyan has organized sit-ins, petitions and court challenges, but
    her protests have fallen on deaf ears. Those behind the project are
    among the wealthy businessmen who control much of Armenia's economy.

    Government connections let them operate as they please.

    "The authorities will not listen to us," Yeremyan says. "There are
    corrupt and influential people behind this and they can do whatever
    they want."

    Kond is hardly unique. Armenians across the country face similar
    obstacles - crippling poverty, endemic corruption and powerlessness
    in the face of what critics say is an increasingly authoritarian
    government.

    It wasn't supposed to be this way. When independence came after the
    break-up of the Soviet Union in 1991, Armenia seemed a dream come
    true for a people with a tragic history. Less than a century after
    the Armenian genocide - when the Turks killed between 500,000 and 1.5
    million - the world's 4 million-member Armenian diaspora finally had a
    national homeland. But instead of thriving, Armenia languished. Its
    politics are moribund, dominated by President Robert Kocharian,
    a man critics accuse of falsifying elections and cracking down on
    opponents. The economy, though improving, is in shambles. Almost half
    the population lives on less than $2 a day.

    The result has been a mass exodus - the reverse of early hopes for
    Armenia. Instead of hundreds of thousands of dispersed Armenians
    flocking to the country, more than 1 million have left for Russia and
    the West. According to some estimates, the country has lost more than
    30 per cent of its working-age population.

    "People are leaving because they don't see any hope for the future,"
    says Avetik Ishkanyan, chair of the Helsinki Committee, a human rights
    group. "And the worst part is that the ones who are leaving are from
    the most active part of society - these are the people we need to
    bring about changes in this country."

    Critics lay much of the blame at Kocharian's feet. They say the
    president - elected for a second time in 2003 - is running a corrupt
    and despotic regime, giving free rein to businessmen close to him
    and stifling any dissent.

    "There is a huge gap between those in power and the majority
    of Armenian society," says Stepan Demirchian, the leader of the
    opposition Justice coalition and son of a Kocharian rival killed in
    1999 when gunmen attacked parliament. "And when we try to resist,
    when we try to bring democratic change, they respond with violence."

    In April 2004, inspired by the peaceful Rose Revolution in Georgia,
    tens of thousands of Armenians took to the streets to denounce
    Kocharian and voting fraud in 2003 elections. Kocharian called in
    police to break up the protest with stun grenades and water cannon.

    "More than 600 citizens were arrested, political party offices were
    ransacked, journalists were beaten," Demirchian says. "And, after all
    these acts of violence, the authorities tell us we have to be patient,
    that it is a long road to democracy."

    Government officials insist the crackdown was needed to maintain
    order, and say opposition parties are simply trying to seize power
    for themselves.

    Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanyan says the opposition uses the pretence
    of supporting democracy to gain support abroad as they attempt to
    overthrow the government. He says he knows Armenia's democracy is
    not perfect, but believes it is improving.

    "The government is stable and the country is on the path to becoming
    fully democratic," he says. "A lot has been done, but a lot remains
    to be done."

    Under pressure from the West, Armenia will hold a national referendum
    this year on a package of constitutional amendments designed to limit
    the power of the presidency and protect judicial independence.

    Oskanyan says the reforms will be key to ensuring democratic growth.

    "Once we complete our constitutional reforms, Armenia will move
    forward in leaps and bounds," he says.

    Opposition leaders say the reforms are only symbolic and see the
    referendum as a potential trigger for the kind of mass protests that
    drove out authoritarian governments in Georgia and Ukraine.

    Aram Sarkisian, leader of the radical Republic Party, says opposition
    parties are gearing up to organize mass demonstrations after the
    referendum, which he says is sure to be fraudulent.

    "The situation in our country is terrible. People are leaving
    because they have no hope," he says. "Armenian society is ready for
    revolutionary change, peaceful and civilized change."

    Sarkisian says he met with White House and State Department officials
    during a June trip to Washington and emerged confident of American
    support for a revolution.

    "The United States supported the Georgians and the Ukrainians and
    they will help the Armenian people," he says.

    Still, experts say it's unlikely the opposition can organize a
    successful revolution or win Western support. Fractured by in-fighting
    and with no clear leader, the opposition is more likely to fall apart
    before posing any threat to Kocharian.

    "The opposition is too weak and the government is just democratic
    enough to keep the West from supporting drastic changes," says a
    Western official in Yerevan, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

    Chatting over rich coffees in Yerevan's trendy ArtBridge Café, a
    group of students and recent graduates agree that a revolution is
    next to impossible.

    Unlike so many young Armenians, they've decided to stay and try to
    build their country.

    "I will not leave Armenia, I want to do things for my country,
    make it a better place to live," says Artak Ayunts, a 26-year-old
    university lecturer.

    But the group is skeptical about radical changes. They don't believe
    Armenians are ready for a revolution and say it could take decades
    of slow progress before the country is free and relatively prosperous.

    "People don't believe in themselves, they think someone else should
    always make changes for them," Ayunts says.

    Jokes philosophy student Gevorg Abrahamyan: "The biggest problem with
    Armenia is the Armenians." Michael Mainville is a Canadian journalist
    based in Moscow.

    --Boundary_(ID_e0vStfdpaHb9E53k9/2QXw)--
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