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ARMENIA DEPENDS ON ALIYEV'S STUPIDITY
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
Comments - Tuesday, 04 February 2014, 17:51
The OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs are visiting the region again. Over the
past few months they have been obviously more active though it should
be noted that such activity was regularly observed before. For example,
one can remember 2006 when the phrase "window for opportunities"
was circulated.
In other words, activity itself does not imply that something crucial
is going to happen. However, if the previous activities did not result
in a breakthrough does not mean that in the next active stages we
are guaranteed from such dangers.
The ongoing activity overlapped with Armenia's September 3 statement
on its intention to join the Customs Union. The Minsk Group co-chairs
tried to arrange a Sargsyan-Aliyev meeting. The American and French
co-chairs were especially active.
Apparently, after September 3 they tried to prevent Russia from using
Armenia's political capitulation for a breakthrough in Artsakh. Hence,
the United States and France served Armenia's interests.
Generally, Armenia's interests regarding the settlement of the Artsakh
conflict was based on the controversy and balance between the Minsk
Group co-chairs. From time to time there were different tandems of
influence or rather France viewed the United States or Russia as its
chief partner at different stages of the Minsk Group.
The status quo was maintained through competition, clash of interests
and vibrant balance within this troika to achieve which thousands were
killed and thousands of people were injured and disabled in Armenia.
September 3 threatens this balance. Armenia with its decision to
join the Customs Union breaks this balance. Armenia proved absolutely
incapable of being a stable political partner for other geopolitical
poles, it is absolutely incapable of considering alternative security
strategies.
The issue is not that the so-called western block of the Minsk Group
is unable to keep the balance. The other side of balance is also
endangered. And here it is not the Minsk Group co-chairs but their
attitude to the Armenian and Azerbaijani sides.
And in this regard a situation has occurred when the Minsk Group
co-chairs have nothing to tell Armenia in regard to fight or
competition and they will fight for saying something or offering
something to Azerbaijan because Armenia belongs to Russia and it is
absolutely meaningless to say anything to it.
This means that the status quo will be maintained but after September
3 Azerbaijan will receive its political dividends unless Aliyev does
something equal to September 3.
- See more at:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31860#sthash.qWkEZiWK.dpuf
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
Comments - Tuesday, 04 February 2014, 17:51
The OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs are visiting the region again. Over the
past few months they have been obviously more active though it should
be noted that such activity was regularly observed before. For example,
one can remember 2006 when the phrase "window for opportunities"
was circulated.
In other words, activity itself does not imply that something crucial
is going to happen. However, if the previous activities did not result
in a breakthrough does not mean that in the next active stages we
are guaranteed from such dangers.
The ongoing activity overlapped with Armenia's September 3 statement
on its intention to join the Customs Union. The Minsk Group co-chairs
tried to arrange a Sargsyan-Aliyev meeting. The American and French
co-chairs were especially active.
Apparently, after September 3 they tried to prevent Russia from using
Armenia's political capitulation for a breakthrough in Artsakh. Hence,
the United States and France served Armenia's interests.
Generally, Armenia's interests regarding the settlement of the Artsakh
conflict was based on the controversy and balance between the Minsk
Group co-chairs. From time to time there were different tandems of
influence or rather France viewed the United States or Russia as its
chief partner at different stages of the Minsk Group.
The status quo was maintained through competition, clash of interests
and vibrant balance within this troika to achieve which thousands were
killed and thousands of people were injured and disabled in Armenia.
September 3 threatens this balance. Armenia with its decision to
join the Customs Union breaks this balance. Armenia proved absolutely
incapable of being a stable political partner for other geopolitical
poles, it is absolutely incapable of considering alternative security
strategies.
The issue is not that the so-called western block of the Minsk Group
is unable to keep the balance. The other side of balance is also
endangered. And here it is not the Minsk Group co-chairs but their
attitude to the Armenian and Azerbaijani sides.
And in this regard a situation has occurred when the Minsk Group
co-chairs have nothing to tell Armenia in regard to fight or
competition and they will fight for saying something or offering
something to Azerbaijan because Armenia belongs to Russia and it is
absolutely meaningless to say anything to it.
This means that the status quo will be maintained but after September
3 Azerbaijan will receive its political dividends unless Aliyev does
something equal to September 3.
- See more at:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31860#sthash.qWkEZiWK.dpuf