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Post-Soviet Referenda: The Dream Of Idealists

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  • Post-Soviet Referenda: The Dream Of Idealists

    POST-SOVIET REFERENDA: THE DREAM OF IDEALISTS

    Al-Jazeera, Qatar
    May 13 2014

    Can the international community apply a blanket policy supporting
    the territorial integrity of all states?

    Last updated: 13 May 2014 10:35 Vartan Oskanian, a member of Armenia's
    National Assembly, a former foreign minister and the founder of
    Yerevan's Civilitas Foundation.

    Self-determination is an elusive concept. It means different things
    to different people. A referendum is a potent instrument to enable
    democratic decision-making and actions based on the will of the
    majority. The controversy is over who has the legal and legitimate
    right to decide to conduct a referendum.

    Now put the two together - a referendum to practice self-determination
    - and you get the confusion and chaos that has been created throughout
    the world over the so-called parade of sovereignties. In addition to
    legal discrepancies and political bickering, the situation is further
    exacerbated because of the lack of clear international rules on the
    legitimate timing and choice of referenda. To top it all off, there
    is the matter of the double standards of the major powers in pursuit
    of their geopolitical interests.

    Most governments in the West recognise Kosovo as an independent
    state; Russia does not. Russia and just a handful of other countries
    recognise South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent. The US and
    most Europeans do not. In both cases, one side accuses the other of
    violating international law.

    When Kosovo conducted a referendum for independence in 2007, the West
    determined that Serbia's consent was not required. Yet the absence
    of Kiev's consent has led the same Western countries to consider
    Crimea's referendum illegal.

    Indeed, the line between the legality and non-legality of a people's
    right to determine their own fate and destiny through a referendum
    has been irrevocably blurred.

    Fate and destiny

    On May 11, this confusion was taken to a whole new level when the
    Ukrainian regions of Donetsk and Luhansk voted on self-rule. Clearly,
    these referenda, and before that Crimea's secession from Ukraine,
    were geopolitically motivated moves in response to Ukraine's decision
    to align itself with the West.

    Such expedient actions should not in any way detract from and discredit
    the more legitimate self-determination claims where whole ethnic
    groups have been striving to gain or regain their rights.

    There are 192 United Nations member states, more than 1,000 ethnic
    groups and a few dozen simmering, frozen or dormant self-determination
    movements in the world. If the world of nation-states resembles an
    onion, and each layer represents a new wave of self-determination
    movements, one may say that the onion is barely peeled.

    US President Woodrow Wilson was the first in modern times to
    embrace the right of self-determination. It was right after
    World War I, at the Versailles peace talks, that the principle of
    self-determination assumed its two distinct meanings. One is (external)
    self-determination seeking full sovereignty, and the second is for
    (internal) self-determination - to secure the right to meaningful
    participation in a domestic political process.

    When Wilson said, "No people must be forced under sovereignty
    under which it does not wish to live", even then Secretary of State
    Robert Lansing was highly critical of this categorical embrace of the
    principle of self-determination. In his notes at the Peace Conference,
    he wrote: "The more I think about the president's declaration as
    to the right of self-determination, the more convinced I am of the
    danger of putting such ideas into the minds of certain races...The
    phrase is simply loaded with dynamite. It will raise hopes, which
    can never be realised. It will, I fear, cost thousands of lives. In
    the end, it is bound to be discredited, to be called the dream of
    an idealist who failed to realise the danger until too late to check
    those who attempt to put the principle in force. What a calamity that
    the phrase was ever uttered! What misery it will cause!"

    Lansing was half right. Since his days, a great many peoples have
    realised their dreams of statehood, some indeed paying a high price
    and experiencing painful calamities. There were 51 states when the
    United Nations was created in 1945, today there are more than 190. The
    newest joined just a couple of years ago. The process has not ended.

    Dreams of statehood

    Just as the world was not prepared to address and peacefully resolve
    the self-determination claims at the Paris Peace Conference, so was
    it not ready to address the wave of self-determination claims that
    came right after the end of Cold War. It was a given that with the
    collapse of the mother state, the individual Soviet republics and
    the constituent parts of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia would
    emerge as independent states. The problem for the international
    community was the autonomous regions within those new states, with
    the exception of Crimea and Montenegro, immediately opted to exercise
    their own self-determination.

    In our time, we have witnessed East Timor's independence made
    legitimate through a referendum; we witnessed the independence of
    South Sudan, too, on the basis of a referendum. We witnessed the
    growing number of countries that recognised Kosovo's independence
    after its referendum. Among the political, legal, academic experts
    working in and around those places, there is a growing awareness of the
    possibility and reality of recognising the right of self-determination
    in certain circumstances.

    The UN's growing membership is evidence that self-determination
    through referendum is a mechanism that works.

    The challenge is to have the right criteria to transcend the seemingly
    contradictory principles of international order: territorial
    integrity and self-determination. The key is to judge existing
    self-determination struggles each on their own merit, each in terms
    of their own historical, legal circumstances, as well as the realities
    on the ground.

    Certainly, we need to make a distinction between stability and
    forced maintenance of status quo. A status quo in political life is
    never inherently permanent. A viable policy of stability requires
    the mechanisms to pursue a dynamic process of managing change. The
    international community has to be ready to adopt a policy where it
    can manage change in this quickly changing and dynamic international
    environment. This is where the focus should be, instead of simply
    applying a blanket policy supporting the territorial integrity of
    states. Such a standard approach cannot be applied to every case
    of self-determination.

    The views expressed in this article are the author's own and do not
    necessarily reflect Al Jazeera's editorial policy.

    http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2014/05/post-soviet-referenda-dream-ide-201451354751962586.html

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