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Unexpected Point: Karabakh conflict features among conditions PACE s

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  • Unexpected Point: Karabakh conflict features among conditions PACE s

    UNEXPECTED POINT: KARABAKH CONFLICT FEATURES AMONG CONDITIONS PACE SET TO RUSSIA

    Analysis | 02.02.15 | 10:15

    By Naira Hayrumyan
    ArmeniaNow correspondent

    Apparently, the Karabakh conflict is becoming one of the points of
    confrontation in Europe and Russia. After Russia was stripped of the
    right to vote at the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe
    (PACE), it was stated that one of the conditions of its return is
    the Karabakh problem.

    "The head of the Assembly Anne Brasseur said that... for the powers
    to be returned to the Russian delegation it is necessary to carry
    out the points of the resolution ("the withdrawal of troops from
    Transnistria, the return of the Crimea, progress in resolving the
    situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, the release of [jailed Ukrainian pilot
    and MP Nadezhda] Savchenko within 24 hours, etc.)," writes the Russian
    official news agency RIA Novosti.

    This is a rather unexpected point, because until now the West -
    the United States and Europe - have not openly accused Russia of
    preventing progress in the Karabakh settlement. The co-chairs of the
    OSCE Minsk Group on the Karabakh settlement are Russia, the United
    States and France, and so far this format has played an important
    role - maintaining the status quo, preventing the resumption of
    hostilities, preparation of proposals and organization of negotiations
    on the conflict settlement as well as prevention of the domination
    of interests of one of the three mediating powers.

    The co-chairmanship format exists even in conditions of the West-Russia
    standoff when Moscow is subject to strict international sanctions
    and isolation. The Karabakh subject is perhaps the only one on which
    the presidents of the three countries in recent years have made four
    joint statements.

    Analytical circles in Armenia wonder why Europe has put forward
    progress in the Karabakh conflict as one of the conditions for Moscow.

    What is it that Russia doing or not doing in the Karabakh issue? What
    are the positions of the West?

    All three countries - the United States, Russia, France - once backed
    the settlement plan that implies that Azerbaijan recognizes the rights
    of the Karabakh people to self-determination, Karabakh troops withdraw
    from part of the territory they currently control, communications are
    unblocked and peacekeepers are introduced. In Armenia and Azerbaijan
    they disagree with some points of this plan, but most importantly,
    now it does not suit the mediator countries.

    In particular, rapprochement between Russia and Azerbaijan is now
    obvious as Baku gets most of its weapons from Russia today. Two other
    mediators, as a matter of principle and by law, do not sell weapons
    to Armenia and Azerbaijan. It is noteworthy that Azerbaijan voted
    against the resolution to strip Russia of its voting rights at the
    PACE, and Armenia abstained in that vote.

    Russia and Azerbaijan are being subjected to pressure from the West,
    they suffer losses from lower oil prices, and Armenian experts say that
    there comes a favorable moment to finally resolve the Karabakh problem
    with the support of the West. This can be either the recognition of
    Karabakh's independence, for example, by Uruguay and other countries,
    or forcing Azerbaijan to the sign the agreement that is unacceptable
    to it. Moreover, it can be done in the context of the recognition
    of the Armenian Genocide and the beginning of the revision of the
    results of the First World War.

    Although experts do not exclude that even now, like after the First
    World War, some countries - Russia, Turkey, Germany - will manage to
    come to agreement, and again at the expense of Armenians.

    http://armenianow.com/commentary/analysis/60249/armenia_karabakh_europe_russia_standoff

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