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  • Azerbaijan - CIS observers begin operations

    Angus Reid Global Scan, Canada
    Oct 9 2005


    Azerbaijan - CIS observers begin operations


    Election Date: November 6, 2005

    CREDIT: Flag courtesy of ITA's Flags of All Countries used with
    permission.

    At stake: National Assembly

    Background

    (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Following the collapse of the Soviet
    Union, lawmakers in Azerbaijan voted to restore the area's
    independence. Former Communist Party leader Ayaz Mutallibov became
    president, while Haidar Aliyev - who had coordinated the operations of
    the KGB in the region - took over as leader in the exclave of
    Nakhichevan.

    A war broke out in the early 1990s between Azerbaijan and Armenia
    over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. The area is controlled by ethnic
    Armenians - who consider it an independent republic - but is claimed by
    Azerbaijan as part of its territory. The hostilities ended with an
    unofficial truce negotiated by Russia in 1994.

    Aliyev took over as Azerbaijan's president in 1993. The election was
    boycotted by Abulfaz Elchibey, who had substituted Mutallibov as head
    of state. A year later, three members of a special police force were
    arrested after two political assassinations. Aliyev said the incident
    amounted to an attempted coup, and declared a state of emergency.

    In 1994, a Western consortium signed a $7.4 billion U.S. contract to
    develop Azerbaijan's offshore oil and gas reserves. A pipeline that
    carries oil all the way to the Turkish port of Ceyhan began operating
    in May 2005.

    In 1995, Aliyev's New Azerbaijan Party (YAP) won a majority of the
    seats in the country's first-ever multi-party legislative ballot. The
    contest failed to meet international standards, according to
    international organizations. The 1998 presidential election and the
    2001 legislative election would also be criticized as "irregular" by
    observers.

    In August 2002, voters supported a series of constitutional
    amendments in a referendum, as Aliyev seemed poised to seek a new
    term in office. The authoritarianism of the Aliyev regime was
    condemned by human rights organizations, and the Council of Europe
    chided Azerbaijan for holding political prisoners. Health problems
    forced the 80-year-old president to eventually withdraw from the
    contest.

    In August 2003, the National Assembly appointed Aliyev's son
    Ilham - who had already been registered as a presidential candidate - as
    the country's prime minister. The younger Aliyev had served as the
    vice-president of Azerbaijan's state-run oil company, and was elected
    as vice-president of the Council of Europe's Parliamentary Assembly.

    In October 2003, Ilham Aliyev was elected with 77.97 per cent of all
    cast ballots. The election was once again criticized by international
    monitors.

    Click here for 2003 Azerbaijan Presidential Election Tracker


    2005 National Assembly Election

    The ballot to renew Azerbaijan's legislative branch will take place
    on Nov. 6. The election is regarded as a key test for the former
    Soviet Republic, after fraud allegations led to power shifts in
    Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan.

    On May 11, Ilham Aliyev issued a decree which outlines a series of
    measures meant to improve the democratic process. The policies
    include raising "the professionalism and competence" of election
    officials and conducting exit polls. No changes were implemented in
    the provision that sets the structure of the election commission,
    where the authorities hold a majority over the opposition.

    On Jul. 5, the campaign period officially began. Each candidate must
    submit the signatures of 450 supporters in order to become
    registered.

    On Jul. 13, Azerbaijani media outlets signed an ethics code, which
    aims to promote constructive and independent news coverage during the
    campaign.

    On Jul. 15, former U.S. state secretary Madeleine Albright expressed
    confidence in the democratic process, saying, "The election campaigns
    have already started and I believe the decree signed by president
    Ilham Aliyev will play a basic role for holding a free and fair
    election."



    On Jul. 26, the U.S. announced plans to finance an exit poll, in
    order to help Azerbaijan conduct a free and fair ballot.



    On Sept. 5, exiled former president Ayaz Mutallibov was registered as
    a candidate in the parliamentary ballot. Former National Assembly
    speaker Rasul Guliyev will also be a contender. Prosecutors have said
    that both politicians could be arrested if they return to Azerbaijan.

    Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) chairman
    Dmitrij Rupel expressed satisfaction with the process so far,
    declaring, "The Azerbaijan authorities are taking steps to fulfil the
    recommendations of international organizations and can resolve all
    outstanding problems by November. Azerbaijan's democratization is
    ongoing."

    On Sept. 11, thousands of opposition supporters demanded a free and
    fair ballot in Baku. The protesters wore orange-coloured clothing, a
    reference to the successful campaign of Ukraine's Viktor Yushchenko.



    On Sept. 15, Islamic Party leader Hajiaga Nuriev was banned from
    contention by the Central Election Commission (CEC). While Nuriev
    sought to register as a contender for an opposition bloc, the CEC
    claimed that his ties to the Islamic Party contravene regulations
    that do not allow religious activists to run for public office.



    On Sept. 23, the independent Prognoz centre announced that it would
    hold an exit poll on the day of the legislative ballot.



    In accordance with existing regulations, only parties or alliances
    with at least 60 registered candidates can have free access to
    state-run national television for promotion.

    The governing New Azerbaijan Party (YAP) has included first lady
    Mehriban Aliyeva in its list of contenders, along with Aydin
    Mirzazade, Ahad Abiyev, Musa Musayev and Jalal Aliyev - the current
    president's uncle. Mirzazade said the slate of candidates "includes
    former parliamentarians and new names as well as those who have great
    merits within the party. If the list would include only nationally
    known personalities, it would prevent regional party members from
    getting a chance to become better known."

    The opposition Azadliq (Freedom) alliance encompasses the Azerbaijan
    Popular Front Party (AKC), the Musavat (Equality) party and the
    Azerbaijan Democratic Party (ADP). AKC deputy chairman Fuad
    Mustafayev explained the rationale for the coalition, declaring, "The
    long-awaited alliance is designed for long-term purposes. We had to
    move from an autonomous existence to co-existence."

    The New Policy (YeS) bloc was formed in April, with Eldar Namazov as
    its leader. The group presented its policy platform s titled "From
    Authoritarianism to Democracy, From Corruption to a Legal State,"
    which severely criticizes Aliyev's regime. The YeS list includes
    former president Ayaz Mutallibov.



    On Oct. 6, observers from the Commonwealth of Independent States
    (CIS) opened their mission headquarters in Baku. Azerbaijan's first
    deputy prime minister Abbas Abbasov said the CIS team "will be
    monitoring the election campaign in all regions and cities."

    Political Players

    President: Ilham Aliyev
    Prime minister: Artur Rasi-Zade - YAP

    The president is elected to a five-year term by popular vote.

    Legislative Branch: The Milli Meclisi (National Assembly) has 125
    members, 100 members elected to five-year terms in single-seat
    constituencies, and 25 members elected by proportional
    representation.

    Results of Last Election:

    President - Oct. 25, 2003
    Vote%

    Ilham Aliyev
    (Nakhichevan)
    77.97%

    Isa Gambar
    (Equality Party - Musavat)
    11.91%

    Lala-Sovket Hajiyeva
    (National Unity)
    3.22%

    Etibar Mamedov
    (Azerbaijan National Independence Party)
    2.00%

    Ilyas Ismailov
    (Justice Party)
    0.80%

    Sabir Rustamkhanli
    (Civil Solidarity Party)
    0.76%

    Gudrat Hasanguliyev
    (Popular Front)
    0.44%

    Hafiz Hajiyev
    (New Musavat Party)
    0.32%





    National Assembly - Nov. 5, 2000 and Jan. 7, 2001.
    Vote%
    Seats

    New Azerbaijan Party (YAP)
    62.3%
    75

    Azerbaijan Popular Front Party (AKC)
    11.0%
    6

    Civil Solidarity Party (VBP)
    6.4%
    3

    Azerbaijan Communist Party (AKP)
    6.3%
    2

    Equality Party (Musavat)
    4.9%
    2

    Azerbaijan National Independence Party (AMIP)
    3.9%
    2

    Azerbaijan Liberal Party (ALP)
    1.3%
    --

    Azerbaijan Democratic Party (ADP)
    1.1%
    --

    Alliance Party for the Sake of Azerbaijan (ANAP)
    1.0%
    1

    Social Prosperity Party (SPP)
    --
    1

    Motherland Party (MP)
    --
    1

    Ana Vatan (AV)
    --
    1

    Yurddash Partiyasi (YP)
    --
    1

    Non-partisans
    --
    29

    http://www.angus-reid.com/tracker/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/8187
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