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Despite initial protest, opposition leaders change tone after Aliyev

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  • Despite initial protest, opposition leaders change tone after Aliyev

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    May 5 2006


    DESPITE INITIAL PROTEST, OPPOSITION LEADERS CHANGE TONE AFTER
    ALIYEV'S VISIT TO WASHINGTON

    By Fariz Ismailzade

    Friday, May 5, 2006


    Opposition parties in Azerbaijan were not happy with President Ilham
    Aliyev's invitation to visit the United States and were even hostile
    about the warm welcome he received from the White House. Referring to
    the contested presidential election in 2003, opposition parties
    criticized U.S. President George W. Bush for betraying his "freedom
    agenda" and cooperating with a foreign authoritarian leader. Some
    politicians even described Aliyev's invitation from Washington as the
    final humiliation for the domestic opposition. They predicted that
    the visit would turn the opposition away from Western liberal values.

    Surprisingly, the domestic opposition's initially chilly reaction
    toward the president's visit has begun to thaw and refocus. Some
    senior opposition activists are trying to sugarcoat the "damage" done
    to the Azerbaijani opposition's attitude toward the U.S. government
    and downplay the initial criticism of the Bush administration.
    Speaking to the opposition daily Yeni Musavat on May 3, Hikmet
    Hajizadeh, a member of the Supreme Council of the leading opposition
    party Musavat, observed, "America is busy now with the third World
    War [i.e. the War on Terrorism] and just like the Second World War
    brought freedom to many nations, this one can also bring freedom to
    many peoples. We often seek a quick resolution of our problems, but
    it is not possible. The U.S. is now trying to fight for democracy and
    economic freedoms globally. No one except the U.S. is doing this and
    wants to do this. Thus, we should help the U.S. in this." Hajizadeh
    also heads Far Center, one of Azerbaijan's preeminent think tanks.

    Another prominent opposition activist similarly commented that the
    ongoing crisis around Iran was the real motivation for inviting
    President Aliyev to Washington. Fuad Mustafayev, deputy chairman of
    the opposition Popular Front, commented, "That is why I believe that
    [the opposition's] relations with the U.S. will remain the same as
    before despite this invitation. The Popular Front party has never
    expected anybody from abroad to come and build democracy for us here.
    It is our own duty" (Yeni Musavat, May 3).

    Meanwhile, other experts clearly focused on the benefits of the
    visit. According to independent political analyst Rasim Musabeyov,
    "for a [country the] size of Azerbaijan, such a visit and talks with
    the sole superpower in the world have extraordinary implications. It
    shows the growing geopolitical role of Azerbaijan in the region"
    (Echo, May 2).

    Another expert suggested that the visit had actually strengthened
    Aliyev's position as head of state. Echoing the opinion of some
    Western analysts, Zardush Alizadeh speculated that President Aliyev
    might change his mind regarding Iran should the time come for Baku to
    take a stance.

    Aliyev's visit to the White House brought new dimensions to
    U.S.-Azerbaijani relations. Henceforth, bilateral ties will no longer
    be evaluated through the prism of oil and gas alone. Now cooperation
    between the two countries has shifted to address issues of
    geopolitical strategy and the global fight against terrorism, both of
    which are ongoing priorities for Bush and Aliyev in the region.

    At the same time, opposition parties are now focusing on the Iranian
    issue more and more, trying to draw Tehran into the critical
    discourse regarding Aliyev's visit. On May 3, Yeni Musavat reported
    that the United States is building a military base in the south of
    Azerbaijan, which will host a radio-location station and air-defense
    equipment. Such capabilities could be called into service should
    Washington launch an attack on Iran.

    Aliyev's visit raised the U.S.-Azerbaijani strategic partnership to
    new, higher levels, but it still left many questions unanswered.
    Pundits in Baku continue to wonder what will be Azerbaijan's role
    should the U.S.-Iranian conflict intensify, and what will be the
    future of the peace talks with Armenia over the disputed Karabakh
    enclave. The Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict was expected to be on the
    agenda of the Bush-Aliyev meeting, yet it still is unclear exactly
    what they discussed and what will be the consequences of this
    meeting.

    Meanwhile, the co-chairs of the Minsk group gathered in Moscow this
    week to discuss the ongoing peace process around the Karabakh
    conflict. Azerbaijani politicians and experts believe that the
    results of Rambouillet talks in February between the presidents of
    Armenia and Azerbaijan are not as dead as they initially seemed. The
    Day.az Internet news service reported, "At this stage, the U.S. is
    taking a lead in the peace process."
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