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Azerbaijan Is A Combination Of Absolute Monarchy And PrimevalPaganis

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  • Azerbaijan Is A Combination Of Absolute Monarchy And PrimevalPaganis

    AZERBAIJAN IS A COMBINATION OF ABSOLUTE MONARCHY AND PRIMEVAL PAGANISM: AZERI PRESS DIGEST

    Regnum, Russia
    May 19 2006

    Real Azerbaijan writes about the propagation of the personality cult
    of Heydar Aliyev (Azeri president in 1993-2003 - REGNUM). The daily
    says: "After coming into power in 1993 and rejecting liberal values
    and social democracy ideas, Heydar Aliyev began propagating his own
    authoritarian ideology. In fact, this quasi-ideology is not based
    on any basic political ideology and is just designed to acknowledge
    the beatified messianism of Aliyev and his heirs. This ideology
    harmoniously combines elements of absolute monarchy and primeval
    paganism. Its basic rule is primeval worship of the cult of Power
    itself and its only historical achievement is the victory over public
    institutions, public consciousness and national dignity."

    Real Azerbaijan notes that there are all possible prerequisites for
    development of political Islam in the country: "Unruly authorities,
    gangster-policemen, pan-national depression and overall degradation -
    this all is pushing tens of thousands of young and battle-worthy Azeris
    into mosques. They prefer the justice of Allah to the voluntarism
    of Heydarism. In fact, they have no third option. The headquarters
    of political parties have become a place where they wash their
    political corpses. Every day more and more youths are assembling in
    mosques and are replenishing the shafi, hambali, shiah and wahabi
    communities. Looming large in the horizon is the image of thousands of
    young people inspired and amazed by the heroism of the Chechen mojaheds
    and dreaming to bring the Chechen Islamic revival to Azerbaijan. The
    authorities are sleeping and failing to see from their democratic camp
    (where power is still in the hands of Aliyev's authoritarian clones)
    the dawn of new Islamic politicians..."

    On May 9th Azerbaijan was admitted into the UN Human Rights Council
    for three years, reports 525th Daily. Also admitted were Bangladesh,
    China, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Cuba, Mexico, Canada, Germany
    and Switzerland. Azerbaijan was nominated by the UN Eastern-European
    Regional Group. Six countries were admitted from this group. Despite
    application Armenia was denied membership.

    The opposition Azadlyg bloc does not believe in Azerbaijan's admission
    into the UN Human Rights Council. "If confirmed, this fact will prove
    that the UN is collapsing. The admission of Azerbaijan and other
    totalitarian countries into the Council will become a step towards
    the UN's collapse," says leader of the Party of the People's Front
    of Azerbaijan Ali Kerimli. (Azadlyg)

    Azerbaijan-Armenia. Karabakh

    "The present moment is crucial for the Karabakh peace process," Russian
    co-chair of the OSCE Minsk Group Yuri Merzlyakov says in an interview
    to Azeri Press. He says that the time is ripe for agreement. "We must
    not miss such a crucial moment. We will hardly have a better one,"
    says Merzlyakov. He does not specify what the MG's new proposals are
    about. He just says that there are many proposals and they concern
    some details of the "Prague process."

    The key reason why the speaker of the Armenian parliament has broken
    away from the government coalition is his party's wish to run in the
    parliamentary and presidential elections, the leader of the Party of
    Democratic Reforms, MP Asim Mollazade says about the resignation of
    Armenian Parliament Speaker Artur Bagdassaryan and the crisis in the
    Armenian government. He says that what is going on in the Armenian
    government is just preparations for parliamentary and presidential
    elections. Mollazade can already see the forces who seek to run in the
    elections, and even acting Armenian President Robert Kocharyan will
    take part in the race. "The political parties are beginning to fight
    for the presidential seat. One of the key reasons of Bagdassaryan's
    resignation is his wish to run in the elections as opposition," says
    Mollazade. He also notes that the Kocharyan government is greatly
    responsible for no-progress in the Karabakh peace process.

    Commenting on the present situation in Armenia, Azeri political expert
    Rasim Musabekov says that every time the Armenians have to make some
    unfavorable decision in the Karabakh peace process, they feign internal
    tensions to gain time and to evade the decision. What is going on
    in Armenia now may well be the case; but it may as well be not. "In
    any case, it has already become a tradition that whenever the talks
    get unfavorable for the Armenians, they allege internal problems,"
    says Musabekov.

    Commenting on the Armenian parliament speaker' joining the
    opposition, Musabekov says that Kocharyan can hardly be removed now
    as all Armenia's force structures are presently controlled by the
    Kocharyan-Sarkisyan tandem (president and defense minister - REGNUM).

    He does not expect serious chaos either. "This is a two-way process.

    People are really sick with the present situation in Armenia and
    the democratically elected authorities will be forced to search for
    ways-out. One way-out is to solve problems with Azerbaijan," says
    Musabekov. He does not expect that the present tensions in Armenia
    will result in any changes in the government. "Kocharyan will use
    its levers to split the former speaker's party and to preserve the
    parliamentary majority, which proves that his regime is already
    getting weak," says Musabekov. (Trend)

    Well-known political scientist Zardusht Alizade says that the Armenian
    parliament speaker did not resign on his own will. "I suppose there
    was some agreement. Perhaps, it was a response to Russia's pressure,
    particularly, to the rise in the Russian gas tariff. Armenia wants
    to show that if Moscow continues its economic pressure, the number
    of anti-Russian forces in Armenia may grow. This is a game," says
    Alizade. He does not think that the present political developments in
    Armenia will have any influence on the Karabakh peace process. (Trend)

    "Armenia is the US' second 'favorite' after Israel. Since 1992 the
    US has granted that country almost $1.6 bln," reports Zerkalo daily.

    "Now the White House is planning to give Armenia $7 mln more so
    it can hold democratic parliamentary and presidential elections
    in 2007-2008. Some sources says that the US has already agreed to
    grant Armenia $235 mln from the Millennium Challenge fund. This
    money will be given stage by stage within 5 years and will be spent
    mostly on construction and restoration of rural roads and improvement
    of irrigation. The program will cover almost 75% of countrymen. By
    2010 their total monthly profit will amount to $36 mln and by 2015
    to $113 mln.

    John Evans (US Ambassador to Armenia - REGNUM) says that in order to
    further enjoy financing Armenia should closely comply with the free
    marker economy principles. Thus, if before the war of 1973 the US
    provided Israel with $3 bln a year, this means that each citizen of
    that country got $500. It would be interesting to know how much of
    the US tax payers' money goes into the pockets of people living in
    Armenia, a country we are at war with."

    The daily says: "Balancing between Moscow and Washington, they in
    Yerevan prefer making no much noise about the US assistance so as not
    to annoy their mighty ally. They get no less from Russia too - in the
    form of money transfers by Armenian labor migrants to their families.

    Let alone the financial-economic concessions by the Russian
    government. All this is the fruits of the "complimentary policy" of
    the Kocharyan-Sargsyan tandem. Although it's a big question if they
    will enjoy these fruits for long. Presently, Armenia's establishment
    has split into pro-Western and pro-Russian camps. The question is who
    will beat who. Both camps are strong. They in Moscow closely follow the
    pro-Western tendencies in Armenia and react to them from time to time.

    For example, when the Vardan Oskanyan (Armenian FM - REGNUM) spoke
    about "the priority of Armenia's relations with NATO, Armenian
    President Robert Kocharyan said to Golos Armenii right away that
    Yerevan will not join NATO but will abide by the CIS Collective
    Security Treaty. Thus, until the present pro-Russian authorities are
    changed, there will be no enlargement of relations with NATO.

    Nevertheless, many experts believe that with the quickly changing
    geo-political situation in the South Caucasus, the parliamentary
    elections 2007 in Armenia may become the climax of the political
    struggle between the pro-Western and pro-Russian trends...

    The US' approach towards Azerbaijan is a bit different. Here it has
    different priorities: cooperation on security and against terrorism;
    various energy projects; South-West energy corridor; Trans-Caspian gas
    projects; democracy development. Obviously, Washington's interests in
    Azerbaijan are wider and more serious. All this was pointed out during
    President Aliyev's recent visit to Washington, when the White House
    proclaimed Azerbaijan as its political, economic and even military
    partner. Asked about Azerbaijan's involvement in the anti-terror
    operations in Iraq, Aliyev said that "Azerbaijan will preserve
    and, if need be, enlarge its presence in Iraq until the operation
    ends." In this light, the Washington strategists cannot but see the
    whole destructive and even provocative nature of Armenia's foreign
    policy, which is strongly restricting the White House's activities
    in the South Caucasus. So, by increasing their financial assistance
    they may well be trying to win Armenia over from Moscow...

    (Zerkalo)

    Around Iran

    "Quite against its will, Azerbaijan is being drawn into very thick
    of the regional processes, which are not all very safe for it. At
    the present stage, Baku has been given the role of mediator (mostly
    veiled) between the US and would-be regional power Iran; but Tehran
    has not forgiven Baku some of its steps and statements," says Zerkalo.

    Between the lines of its interview with Jalal Mohammadi, an Iranian
    expert known for his close terms with the Iranian president, Zerkalo
    sees quite interesting moments of Iran's policy on Azerbaijan. The
    daily notes that they in the West regard Mohammadi's statements as
    Tehran's official stance.

    Excerpts from Mohammadi's interview to Zerkalo:

    Zerkalo's sources in Tbilisi confirm the media rumors that Georgia and
    the US have reached some agreement on the use of Georgia's Black Sea
    waters in case of military aggression against Iran. In the US-Iranian
    conflict Azerbaijan is assigned another role.

    The leader of the Islamic revolution ayatollah Khomeini said in his
    time that if the US decides to start a war against Iran, it will face
    an all-round war. For me all-round war means that all sides supporting
    the aggressor will get their deserts.

    The well-known incident during the 2nd Congress of World Azeris has
    been followed by some veiled tension between Baku and Tehran. Is
    Tehran harboring a grudge against Baku?

    A bit earlier, after the exchange of visits by our presidents,
    there was a positive atmosphere between Tehran and Baku. But the
    anti-Iranian speeches during the 2nd Congress of World Azeris have
    shown how shaky Azerbaijan's Iranian policy is and have given ground
    for distrust. Iran recognizes Azerbaijan's territorial integrity and
    the fact of occupation of Nagorno Karabakh, while Baku allows some
    suspicious people to speak against the territorial integrity of Iran.

    Such statements allow Armenia and other unfriendly countries to
    actively undermine our cooperation. Iran's response to speeches
    questioning its territorial integrity will become known later

    You mean Israel. But the Jewish lobby supports Azerbaijan in vital
    issues, particularly, it opposes the Armenian lobby.

    A group of Azeri politicians think that by cooperating with the Jewish
    lobby and Israel they can effective fight the Armenian lobby.

    The illusions that the Nagorno Karabakh conflict can be resolved with
    the help of the Jewish lobby have gone. No single inch of the occupied
    land has been liberated as a result of the 15-year Baku-Jerusalem
    cooperation. Obviously, those politicians are not aware of the
    priorities of the world politics. The Western Empire has two wings:
    the Armenian and the Jewish lobbies.

    One of the reasons the US has given up the idea of "color revolution"
    in Azerbaijan is its Iranian policy and the role it gives to Baku in
    it. Before its serious dialogue with Iran, the White House is afraid
    to shatter the stable political situation in neighboring Azerbaijan.

    First, Baku has made appropriate conclusions from the Georgian and
    Ukrainian events and has cleared its government from officials that
    could support "the colored." Besides, the Azeri opposition is weak and
    not popular. Nobody in Azerbaijan supports it except the US Embassy
    in Baku. However, the US is not as omnipotent as it seems: it has
    failed to pave the way for "color revolution" in Azerbaijan. Of
    course, the White House's motive might also be that Azerbaijan is
    Iran's neighbor, that both are Shiah countries, that they have much
    in common in culture and history.

    The unresolved Nagorno Karabakh conflict is also an obstacle for
    the White House. That's probably why the West is in such a hurry to
    resolve it?

    The West is in a hurry because of the internal problems in Armenia
    and Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan's international relations and the
    geo-political situation. These factors make it even harder to
    resolve the conflict. One can's liberate occupied territories at
    the negotiating table. Of course, war claims lives and causes moral
    and financial damages. You can't help it, the world is unfair. Many
    countries use the Azeri-Armenian conflict in their interests. They
    try to keep up the status quo and are by no means interested in
    its resolution. France, Russia and Turkey - all of them want the
    conflict to go on. Turkey links the Armenian-Azeri conflict with
    Armenian-Turkish relations and its internal problems. By brandishing
    the fact of Nagorno Karabakh occupation, Ankara is just trying to
    prove Armenia's aggressive policy and to protect itself from the
    psychological and political pressure of the Armenian lobby who demands
    that it recognize the Armenian Genocide in the Ottoman Empire...

    "Azerbaijan has not yet decided how to act in case of sanctions
    against Iran," says Echo. "What should Azerbaijan do if America and
    most of the world's civilized countries restrict their cooperation
    with Iran?" Member of the commission on international issues of the
    Azeri parliament Akram Aylisli says: "Azerbaijan will not accept such
    sanctions inasmuch as it is too close to Iran. Azerbaijan must not
    do that, but politics are politics, if America starts pressuring,
    we may well acquiesce. Though, we may as well not allow America to
    pressure us. I think Azerbaijan must do its best to stay neutral
    in this issue. Neutrality is the only way-out for us. Iran has very
    ancient statehood traditions. It may forgive America, who is stronger
    and very far, but it will not forgive us, I am sure it won't."

    "Azerbaijan understands that nuclear arms in the hands of Iran are
    a serious threat for the region, but believes that this problem
    should be solved by peaceful, political and diplomatic means," says
    MP Asim Mollazade. "In this situation our country should act like
    all international organizations are acting. Azerbaijan is not a big
    country or super-power, whose decisions may influence the situation.

    It is for the UN Security Council to decide in political way - to
    apply sanctions against Iran or not."

    Deyerler analytical portal's public opinion poll among 100 public
    and political figures of Azerbaijan has shown that most of them are
    against Azerbaijan's involvement in the anti-Iranian coalition. They
    main question was: "Should Azerbaijan take part in the anti-Iranian
    coalition in case of military actions?" The survey was held from May
    1st to May 11th 2006. The respondents were to answer: "yes," "no,"
    "don't know." As a result, 27% said "yes," 60% "no," 3% "don't know"
    and 10% refused to answer at all.

    Azerbaijan-US

    "Rich in oil and gas, Azerbaijan has great potential for increased
    energy exports. With Azerbaijan, we (the US - Trend) should continue
    to assist in opening a southern corridor for oil and gas transit
    to Europe, but also work with the Azerbaijan government to promote
    transparency in the energy industry and development of alternatives
    to oil and gas," Trend reports Richard G. Lugar, chairman of Foreign
    Relations Committee of US Senate as saying during the hearing of the
    nomination of Anne Derse as US Ambassador to Azerbaijan.

    "Last August, I traveled to Azerbaijan where I met with President
    Aliyev. I discussed with him the opportunities and challenges
    facing his country and urged him to hold free and fair parliamentary
    elections", - Lugar said. Lugar also recalled the visit of President
    Ilham Aliyev to Washington. "We had a candid conversation about
    democracy, the status of the Nagorno-Karabakh region, and Azerbaijan's
    relations with neighbors, including Russia and Iran. I emphasized
    that U.S. relations with Azerbaijan have a promising future", he said.

    "Azerbaijan is located in a tough neighborhood. I commend its efforts
    to interdict terrorists transiting its territory and to combat
    indigenous terrorists and terrorist financing". "After September 11,
    2001, Azerbaijan quickly granted overflight rights and intelligence
    support to the United States and offered the use of its bases for
    Operation Enduring Freedom in Afghanistan. It was also among the
    countries that supported Operation Iraqi Freedom. It was also among
    the countries that supported Operation Iraqi Freedom", Lugar said.
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