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  • Mediators Believe in Possible Agreement

    PanARMENIAN.Net

    Mediators Believe in Possible Agreement

    Co-chairmen of the Minsk group assert that there are
    grounds for optimism.

    26.05.2006 GMT+04:00

    The regular visit of OSCE Minsk group co-chairmen has
    come to the end. This visit can hardly be called
    regular due to a number of specific differences from
    the previous visits of mediators in Yerevan and Baku.
    Firstly, this time the co-chairmen arrived in full
    staff which has not been the case of at least half a
    year. After the unsuccessful meeting of the two
    presidents in Ramboulliet, mediators arrived in
    Yerevan and Baku individually. Early in 2006 Bernard
    Fassier twice came to Armenia and Azerbaijan. Steven
    Mann has also visited Aliev and Kocharyan. As for the
    Russian mediator Yuri Merzlyakov, he looked to be
    keeping away. The joint visit of cochairmen confirms
    that co-chairman states are again in the same team.
    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ Another unprecedented circumstance
    is that this time co-chairmen were joined by
    high-ranking representatives of foreign policy
    structures of countries, involved in the mediatorial
    mission - Russian deputy foreign minister Grigory
    Karasin, US State Secretary's assistant Daniel Fried
    and the political issues director of French Foreign
    Ministry Stanislas d'Labule.

    Last year the co-chairmen were twice accompanied in
    regional visits by the former deputy foreign minister
    of Russia Vyacheslav Trubnikov. The stately delegation
    staff is first of all aimed at demonstrating
    seriousness of the peacemakers' intensions. This can
    also be proved by the mediators' announcements made
    after their meetings with Aliev and Kocharyan. `The
    joint mission is an extraordinary undertaking. It
    should be taken as an evidence of seriousness of our
    approach towards conflict regulation and of our common
    conviction that we are on a stage when mutually
    beneficial agreement is reachable'; it is said in two
    similar documents.

    The third peculiarity of the visit is that this time
    co-chairmen limited themselves to visiting Baku and
    Yerevan and did not consider it expedient to get
    acquainted with the position of official Stepanakert.
    There would not be anything special here if not a
    singe detail: according to the Baku `Trend'
    information agency, before the start of negotiations
    with the Azeri foreign minister Elmar Mamedyarov,
    delegation members had a working meeting with the
    deputy foreign minister of Azerbaijan Araz Azimov. But
    for some reason the meeting was also participated by
    Nizami Bakhmanov who is called in Baku the `leader of
    Azeri community of Nagorno-Karabakh'. Did mediators
    know that Bakhmanov was going to wait for them in
    Azimov's office or it was unexpected for them?
    Unfortunately journalists present at the briefing of
    mediators in Yerevan could not ask them about that.

    The same source also reports about the existence of
    agreements concerning a number of meetings of the US
    State Secretary's assistance Daniel Fried in the
    Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Administration of
    the President of Azerbaijan. It may be assumed that
    the matter concerns separate meetings, without the
    participation of diplomats from Russia and France.
    What did Fried discuss with the representatives of
    Aliev's administration? This question gaining special
    significance in the context of the quite noteworthy
    article in Baku published `Express' newspaper.
    Referring to informed sources in Washington, the
    author of the article asserts that `Pentagon has
    applied to the US Congress with a request to assign 43
    million dollars for the reconstruction of four
    military aerodromes in Azerbaijan and creation of
    anti-missile defense and radio-electronic intelligence
    systems'. If it turns out that this sensational news
    has at least anything with reality it will become the
    first symptom testifying to the existence of certain
    principal agreements between George Bush and Ilham
    Aliev. It is worth reminding that late in April Ilham
    Aliev was `called' to Washington for discussing
    Azerbaijan's position in case of military actions
    against Iran. If Aliev really promised Bush to provide
    military base for attacking Iran, it is clear that he
    will be counting on the White House's `services' in
    Karabakh issue. In any case, the existence of
    agreements between Washington and Baku concerning
    Azerbaijan's participation in anti-Iranian coalition
    will have a negative impact on the regulation process
    of Karabakh conflict. Nevertheless, it is still a big
    question - is it worth relying on the sources of
    `Express' newspaper? Though the sensational
    information published in the paper have not yet been
    denied by anyone.
    «PanARMENIAN.Net» analytical department
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