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Breaking A Stalemate

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  • Breaking A Stalemate

    BREAKING A STALEMATE
    Andrey Kolesnikov

    Kommersant, Russia
    Oct 31 2006

    Russia's leader Vladimir Putin met Armenian President Robert Kocheryan
    on Monday. Kommersant special correspondent Andrey Kolesnikov reports
    how the Armenian president got himself into a stalemate and how he
    managed to find a way-out.

    Meetings between Russian and Armenian president bring as many
    unexpected turns as there can be. It can be an utter failure as it
    was the case in Sochi last December when Putin and Kocheryan went
    to have some beer at the press center after talks and could not get
    enough of it because their throats were really parched. Quite on the
    contrary, their get-togethers can be triumphal as it was in Sochi in
    March when the two presidents first fell out but finally agreed on
    a Russian fuel price hike for Armenia.

    There is also a third kind of meetings which Monday's meeting showed -
    a time when the negotiators seem to do everything to guess each other
    wishes and fulfilling instantly.

    Russia's president greeted Robert Kocheryan and said to him he was
    going to meet him back in October in Minsk but something was in the
    way. To tell the truth, the Kremlin itself derailed the CIS summit in
    Minsk after which Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said he
    was ready to go anywhere for the meeting, even to Astana. Apparently as
    a response to Lukashenko's statement, a new summit has been scheduled
    in Minsk again.

    Vladimir Putin admitted that he was disappointed with net Russian
    investments in the Armenian economy.

    "Unfortunately, Russian investments in the Armenian economy occupy
    the shameful third place," he said.

    The Russian president must have derived pleasure from the perky word
    he used, so he decided to repeat it."

    "I'm saying it is shameful because it is not number one."

    In fact, it was not worth wondering at the fact or use such words as
    'shameful'. Investments are indeed shamefully small probably because
    Armenia has been giving aways its assets to Russia in the recent
    years to pay for various services, including those of mediation,
    so there is no need to invest in it.

    "Thank you for your kind words," Robert Kocheryan replied to Vladimir
    Putin and gave a warm smile. "Thank you for your invitation."

    At this point the Russian president looked at him with some kind of
    child astonishment.

    "The invitation that I really have fished for..." Kocharayan carried
    on and gave a sigh.

    The Armenian president said that "all major agreements on energy
    projects with Gazprom are about to be implemented" as "they were
    endorsed by Gazprom's board a few days ago."

    Armenia's leader did not say exactly what projects they were.

    However, there are reports that Armenia will be paying a new price
    for Russian gas starting from April. Still, Armenian consumers will
    have rebates to make up for rising prices. The treaty will be valid
    through January 1, 2009 and will send numerous investments into
    the Armenian economy as payment for additional issuing of stocks of
    ArmRosGazprom. The money is to be spent to finish the construction of
    the fifth block of the Razdanskaya thermo electrical power station and
    finance the construction of the Iran-Armenia gas pipeline which will
    be controlled by Gazprom - Putin's main or even the only geopolitical
    win in the region in the recent years, I daresay.

    All the aforementioned agreements were fully endorsed after Monday
    talks, therefore the Armenian president felt perfectly comfortable
    to say to Putin:

    "The implementation has begun, and the investment component which
    you have aptly called shameful..."

    He paused, unable to get out of the logical stalemate he had put
    himself into without any help. However, he found no succor with the
    Russian president and decided to lay it on the line:

    "It will be changed substantially next year - I am sure of this."

    Robert Kocharyan did not mention, though, whether investments will
    rise or fall - just to be on the safe side.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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