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  • "Cacophony Of Signals" Spells "Not Welcome" For Turks

    "CACOPHONY OF SIGNALS" SPELLS "NOT WELCOME" FOR TURKS

    Spiegel Online, Germany
    Nov 8 2006

    The European Commission slapped Turkey on the wrist Wednesday for
    not opening its ports to Cypriot ships. Turkey has about a month to
    shape up, or else. The question is: Or else, what?

    The same statement that makes beautiful music in Cyprus strikes a
    dissonant and portentous chord in Turkey: "Failure to implement
    its obligations in full will affect the overall progress in the
    negotiations." Today, the European Commission released its progress
    report on Turkey's EU accession, telling the country it has until
    mid-December to open its ports to Cypriot ships, lest it throw its
    European dream into jeopardy.

    This isn't the first time Turkey has gotten a slap on the wrist, and
    accession talks have always continued to slog forward. The question
    now is whether this warning will have consequences -- the answer will
    come at the Dec. 14-15 EU Summit.

    The report does not please Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan, but it
    also doesn't surprise him. He dismisses the idea that EU talks could
    collapse entirely: "A suspension, a breakdown of consultations,
    the train halting at the station, these are not possible," he told
    reporters. Instead, there may just be "a slowdown" of the process.

    That's something the EU and Turkey can agree on. Olli Rehn, EU
    Enlargement Commissioner, referred to the EU's expansion as "a slow,
    slow train coming and not precisely up around the bend." German
    newspapers have weighed in on what this means for Turkey's future.

    "The EU has maneuvered the negotiations with Turkey into a dead end,"
    writes the Financial Times Deutschland. The business daily compares
    the current state of negotiations to a "train crash." In this head-on
    collision, "the conflict surrounding the divided Mediterranean island
    [Cyprus] is blocking negotiations" on Turkey's side, while on the
    European end "it is downright fashionable, so they say in Ankara,
    to denounce Turkey's inadequacies." In France, the National Assembly
    recently made it illegal to deny the "genocide" of Armenians under
    Ottoman rule during World War I, and in Germany, the conservative
    Bavarian leader Edmund Stoiber on Tuesday demanded a complete halt to
    negotiations with Turkey. For Turkish observers and politicians alike,
    this "cacophony of signals means but one thing: not welcome."

    The turning of the tide in Turkish public opinion of the EU is no
    good, the paper writes, for those who "wish to build a Europe in
    which Muslims have their place."

    With no small amount of cynicism, the Suddeutsche Zeitung writes
    that Edmund Stoiber is highly suited to criticizing his Turkish
    counterparts, since he resembles them so closely. The similarities
    are in their politics: "whatever happens, don't upset the voter
    base; speak many great words, only to give up on them later; haggle,
    dicker and gamble until the last second -- but then turn around and
    question your own agreements." For the center-left daily, Stoiber is
    "the Erdogan from Wolfratshausen." But Stoiber is worse than Erdogan,
    the paper concludes, because his motives are purely personal: "Stoiber
    is concerned only with himself and the honorable end of his political
    career." Merkel, by contrast, is "considerably more reasonable" and
    diplomatic than her Bavarian friend, even though both conservative
    politicians share the same goal of preventing full membership for
    Turkey in favor of a privileged partnership. Without this diplomatic
    approach, the paper believes that "Turkey would be lost for any form
    of partnership with the EU."

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    The Handelsblatt, meanwhile, traces much of the current "euro-political
    wrangling" to the conflicts within German Chancellor Angela Merkel's
    own coalition of Social Democrats (SPD) and conservatives. Europe
    looks towards Berlin for leadership, the business daily writes,
    "but in Berlin, the grand coalition is much too preoccupied with
    itself." In regard to Turkey, that means that while conservative
    "Edmund Stoiber has once again called for an immediate end to EU
    negotiations" with the would-be member state, his supposed social
    democratic partner in government "Kurt Beck has demanded the opposite
    with equal fervor." These constant negative signals have become what
    the paper calls a "self-fulfilling prophecy," borrowing the English
    term, that has turned Turkey away from Europe and more towards
    Russia. The business paper sees this as a failure of the government
    to follow the tradition that has allowed "Europe to become a success,
    because governments disregarded the daily trends in strategic moments."

    -- Alex Bakst and Joshua Gallu, 4 p.m. CET

    http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,44 7257,00.html
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