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Kocharian-Putin Talks Followed By Russian Acquisition Of Armenian Te

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  • Kocharian-Putin Talks Followed By Russian Acquisition Of Armenian Te

    KOCHARIAN-PUTIN TALKS FOLLOWED BY RUSSIAN ACQUISITION OF ARMENIAN TELECOM LEADER
    By Emil Danielyan

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    Nov 15 2006

    A leading Russian mobile phone operator is poised to buy Armenia's
    national telecommunications company, ArmenTel, further boosting
    Moscow's economic presence in the loyal South Caucasus state. The
    Armenian government will almost certainly give its mandatory consent
    to the nearly $490 million takeover, having just ceded more energy
    assets to Russia's Gazprom natural gas monopoly (see EDM, November
    3). Its domestic critics have denounced these developments as another
    blow to the country's national security.

    Vimpel-Communications (VimpelCom) announced on November 3 that
    it had won an international tender for a commanding 90% share in
    ArmenTel that was called by the latter's parent company, the Hellenic
    Telecommunications Organization (OTE), last April. In a press release,
    the Russian firm said it will pay the Greek telecom giant almost
    $437 million and assume its Armenian subsidiary's debts totaling $51
    million. Although OTE has yet to officially confirm this, nobody has
    questioned the credibility of the information.

    The deal is the latest in a recent series of VimpelCom acquisitions
    of cellular operators across the former Soviet Union, including
    neighboring Georgia. Its official endorsement by the Armenian
    government, which owns the remaining 10% of ArmenTel, now seems a
    mere formality. In fact, Yerevan has reportedly played a decisive
    role in the outcome of the bidding. Russian and Armenian press
    reports said that VimpelCom did not submit the highest bid, with
    the Moscow daily Kommersant claiming last week that another bidder,
    the Dubai-based consortium Etisalat, offered to pay $600 million for
    ArmenTel. According to Yerevan's Haykakan Zhamanak daily, Armenian
    Transport and Communications Minister Andranik Manukian warned the
    Greeks that the government would block the sale unless they give the
    tender to VimpelCom or Sistema, another Russian telecom firm that
    has shown interest in ArmenTel.

    Assuming that this was the case, OTE had no option but to accept the
    price tag put forward by the Russians. The company bought the Armenian
    phone network for about $200 million in early 1998 and seems to have
    more than recouped the price since then. ArmenTel has apparently
    been OTE's most profitable division, largely owing to its extremely
    controversial legal monopoly on all forms of telecommunication, which
    was partly abolished two years ago. It reported $58 million in earnings
    last year, compared to a net loss of $275 million posted by the entire
    Greek group. Explaining the surprise decision to put ArmenTel up for
    sale in April, its top executives said they have decided to focus
    on the company's core holdings in Greece as well as subsidiaries in
    nearby Bulgaria, Serbia, and Romania. Michalis Tsamas, OTE's managing
    director, also cited a "rather large interest from Russian companies
    and funds."

    The VimpelCom statement came just days after Armenian President
    Robert Kocharian's visit to Moscow, which was dominated by economic
    issues. Receiving Kocharian in the Kremlin on October 30, Russian
    President Vladimir Putin described as "shameful" and "odd" the fact
    that Russia is only Armenia's third-largest foreign investor. Some
    analysts construed the televised remark as a demand for a greater
    Russian presence in the Armenian economy. Kocharian responded
    by confirming that Gazprom will raise from 45% to 58% its share
    in the Russian-Armenian ARG joint venture that runs Armenia's gas
    distribution network. ARG is also widely expected to gain ownership of
    an under-construction gas pipeline from Iran. All this appears to be
    part of a controversial April agreement that enables Armenia to receive
    Russian gas at a knockdown price until January 2009 in return for
    handing over more of its energy assets to Gazprom (see EDM, April 6).

    Both the April deal and the imminent sale of ArmenTel have prompted
    serious concern from opposition politicians and media commentators.

    They believe that Armenia's economic dependence on its former-Soviet
    master is turning into a dangerous stranglehold. But the influential
    Defense Minister Serge Sarkisian, who is closely involved in
    Russian-Armenian economic dealings, brushed aside such concerns as
    he spoke with journalists on November 6. "Give me a single example of
    Russian capital present in Armenia exerting political pressure on us,"
    Sarkisian said. "He knows very well that economic levers are the best
    means of political blackmail," Vahagn Khachatrian, a former Yerevan
    mayor opposed to the Armenian government, countered in an interview
    with the Aravot daily. The Kremlin, he said, will now be better placed
    to hold Yerevan in check.

    Proponents of the ArmenTel deal will insist, however, that VimpelCom,
    the first Russian firm to list its shares on the New York Stock
    Exchange in November 1996, is privately owned and unlikely to be
    used by the Kremlin as a political tool. They might also argue that,
    with almost 52 million mobile phone subscribers in Russia and other
    parts of the former USSR, VimpelCom has the resources to make more
    capital investments in the Armenian land-line phone network.

    For many local observers, the key question is not so much who will
    own ArmenTel as whether the operator will be forced to abandon
    its exclusive right to provide Armenia's Internet connection with
    the outside world. The legal monopoly is widely blamed for the poor
    quality and relatively high cost of that service. It is also seen as
    a serious obstacle to the development of information technology in the
    country. The Armenian government has reportedly asked VimpelCom to take
    its minority stake in ArmenTel in return for giving up the monopoly.

    (Haykakan Zhamanak, November 11, November 7; Aravot, November 8;
    Kommersant, November 7; Statement by VimpelCom, November 3; Russian
    First Channel, October 30)
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