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Karabagh In The Context Of The European Neighborhood

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  • Karabagh In The Context Of The European Neighborhood

    KARABAGH IN THE CONTEXT OF THE EUROPEAN NEIGHBORHOOD
    By Gayane Movsessian

    Yerkir, Armenia
    Nov 17 2006

    Signing of European Neighborhood individual action plans for Armenia,
    Azerbaijan and Georgia on November 14 in Brussels became the most
    important foreign policy event for the three Caucasus countries.

    European Commissioner for external relations and neighborhood policy
    Benita Ferrero-Waldner noted that the three documents were signed
    with the Caucasus states simultaneously and this was done on purpose.

    "The action plans are aimed at promoting regional integration. Today
    we must work individually with each of the states but we should
    also develop economic integration in the region in transport,
    communications, energy and other sectors." The European Commissioner
    expressed hope that the documents will contribute to the settlement
    of conflicts in the region.

    Armenian Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian and his Azeri counterpart
    Elmar Mammedyarov assured that signing these documents "opens a new
    phase" in the Karabagh negotiations process and will constitute a
    step towards "Caucasus with no borders". At the joint press conference
    held in Brussels Oskanian and Mammedyarov stated they are determined
    to achieve progress in the Karabagh settlement process.

    Mammedyarov characterized the frozen conflicts as "the main challenge
    for the South Caucasus".

    During the interview given to the Armenian Public TV Mammedyarov noted
    that the settlement of the conflict will allow solving the issue of
    refugees commenting in this context on the refugees from Shahumian
    region. "We shouldn't be afraid to speak about this," Mammedyarov
    stated. The Armenian Foreign Minister stressed that the Action Plans
    signed with the European Union "contain the common vision of the
    situation in the region. If we go on to discuss the Karabagh issue this
    will be a principally new phase in the negotiation process. We will do
    our best to accomplish progress and prepare our presidents' meeting on
    this issue," Oskanian stated. On this note, the Foreign Ministers of
    the two countries proceeded with the next round of Karabagh settlement
    negotiations that were held in Brussels on the same day under the
    patronage of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs. However, as always the
    details and results of the meeting are not publicized. It was noted
    that the meeting was held in a constructive spirit and that next week
    the mediators will visit the region to discuss the planned meeting
    the of the Armenian and Azeri presidents to be held on November 28
    in the framework of the CIS Summit in Moscow.

    As the Russian Co-Chair Yuri Merzlyakov announced earlier, the
    mediators expected the Brussels meeting to result "at least in
    agreement around issues that were discussed during the two previous
    meetings. If this happens, many things will become clear including
    the issue of the next meeting between the presidents".

    The Co-Chairs still hope that Yerevan and Baku will manage to come
    to an agreement around the main principles by the end of 2006 or
    beginning of 2007. Once such an agreement is achieved the mediators
    will start working on the framework agreement. "The document contains
    the principles which should be supplemented with specific actions that
    should be envisaged n the agreement. We cannot say that immediately
    after the principles are agreed upon their specific implementation
    will start. For instance, the principle of withdrawal of armed forces:
    the principle is accepted, but the document should state when and how
    this should be done, from which regions. Or for example, the principle
    of peacekeeping - what kind of peacekeeping, who will do it, where
    and when? We need time to settle these issues".

    There are several articles in the EU Action Plans signed with Armenia
    and Azerbaijan that cover the Karabagh settlement. The plans have not
    been publicized either in Yerevan or in Baku, therefore we cannot
    refer to any specific provisions. It is known, however, that the
    document signed with Armenia contains references to the people's
    right to self-determination.

    According to Turan Press Agency, provisions on Nagorno Karabagh are
    listed as top priorities in the Action Plans of both countries. The
    documents also contain a statement on EU's readiness to contribute
    to the peaceful settlement of the conflict. "The European Union
    supports the Karabagh settlement process in the framework of UN SC's
    resolutions, OSCE decisions and supports the efforts of the OSCE
    Minsk Group," the Turkish press agency informs.

    The Foreign Affairs Ministry of Azerbaijan informs that signing of the
    Action Plan in Brussels was followed by adopting a "Joint Statement
    of Azerbaijan and the European Union" that will be included in the
    protocol of the Cooperation Committee. According to representative
    of the Azeri Foreign Affairs Ministry Tayir Tagizade, this document
    will contain several provisions important for Azrebaijan, including
    the Nagorno Karabagh issue.

    "The document states that the Cooperation Committee reaffirms
    protection of the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity
    of Azerbaijan and contributes to the peace and stability in Europe.

    The Cooperation Committee supports the speedy settlement of the
    Karabagh conflict based on the principles of international law and
    in the framework of the UN SC's resolutions and OSCE documents and
    decisions," Tagizade stated.

    The situation can be analyzed in more details only after the plans for
    the two countries are publicized. However, the Azeri Foreign Affairs
    Ministry's statement can be a signal that any significant progress
    in the negotiation process is still a far goal.

    Baku's stopping the arms race and anti-Armenian propaganda as well as
    specific actions aimed at cooperation might signal its readiness for
    consensuses in the Karabagh settlement process. In order to achieve
    this, the Azeri leadership would have to radically review its foreign
    and domestic policies. It is very difficult to believe that such
    a transformation will take place in Azerbaijan, especially in the
    short term.
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