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BAKU: Russia may spur solution to NK conflict - Azeri expert

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  • BAKU: Russia may spur solution to NK conflict - Azeri expert

    ANS TV, Azerbaijan
    Nov 23 2006

    RUSSIA MAY SPUR SOLUTION TO KARABAKH CONFLICT - AZERI EXPERT


    [Presenter] Baku has agreed to participate in the next round of talks
    on the Nagornyy Karabakh resolution at the level of the Azerbaijani
    and Armenian presidents.

    [Passage omitted: work under way to set the exact date of the
    presidents' meeting]

    [Correspondent over video of Tahir Tagizada, spokesman for the
    Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry] The head of the press and information
    policy department of the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry, Tahir
    Tagizada, has told ANS that the conflicting sides and the OSCE Minsk
    Group co-chairs are now working to set the exact date of the meeting.
    Touching on the co-chairs' Baku consultations, Tagizada said that the
    talks were constructive and the mediators expressed their intention
    to draw the positions of the conflicting sides closer. The co-chairs
    expressed their hope that during their meeting due in Minsk the
    presidents will make a step forward in the resolution principles
    confirmed at the last session of the G8 countries. Azerbaijani
    President Ilham Aliyev and his Armenian counterpart Robert Kocharyan
    will have their third meeting this year.

    [Passage omitted: Minsk Group was set up in Minsk 14 years ago]

    Numerous experts think that it seems realistic now that the
    conflicting sides may reach an agreement in this city after 14 years.

    [Political expert Rasim Musabayov, speaking in Baku street] Russia,
    Paris and the USA naturally approach the issue with jealousy. Russia
    would not like this [agreement] to be announced in the USA or Paris,
    and likewise they would not want it to be declared in Moscow. Maybe,
    from this standpoint the best venue for announcing the agreement
    acceptable for everybody is Minsk.

    [Correspondent] On the other hand, the regional situation is
    completely different now. Russia, which plays an important role in
    the resolution of the conflict, has to pursue a different policy now.
    Political expert Musabayov thinks that the success of the talks
    mainly depends on Russian President Vladimir Putin's position.

    [Musabayov] Neither [French President] Jacques Chirac, [US President
    George] Bush nor [US Secretary of State] Condoleezza Rice will be
    there. That is to say, it is up to [Russian President Vladimir] Putin
    to spur the process to some extent and reach a certain result. One
    can ask whether Russia will want this. It did not want this so far.
    In exchange for progress [in the talks], it wanted Azerbaijan to meet
    its interests to the proportions which were completely inadmissible.
    The situation has changed now. Worsening Georgian-Russian relations
    and the existence of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict leads to the
    complete loss of communication between Russia and Armenia.

    [Correspondent] The expert thinks that Baku's recent serious
    intentions regarding the Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway
    construction may also impact Russia's stance on the conflict. The
    point is that, if the project materializes, this will be the third
    project out of Moscow's sphere of influence.

    [Musabayov] It will take NATO and Turkish forces 10 hours to reach
    the Caspian Sea coast by that railway. Of course, Russia does not
    want this. In this case, there is a chance that Russia may think it
    over, use its reputation and opportunities and urge Armenians to give
    up their false claims. Otherwise, there is no chance.

    [Correspondent] The co-chairs have stated that the conflicting sides
    are now discussing two principal issues. One of them is the use of
    Lacin and Kalbacar districts as a transit corridor and the second is
    the conduct of a referendum to define Nagornyy Karabakh's status.
    Baku and Yerevan still differ on the referendum. Armenia insists on
    the conduct of the referendum maximum in five years, whereas
    Azerbaijan thinks the voting is possible at an international level
    with the participation of foreign experts only after Baku gives its
    consent. The participation of Azerbaijanis displaced from occupied
    territories in the referendum is one of the main conditions put
    forward by Baku.

    Ayaz Nizamioglu, Ramin Yaqubov, ANS.
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