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Private Transfers Will Increase Rather Slowly In Armenia In 2010 And

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  • Private Transfers Will Increase Rather Slowly In Armenia In 2010 And

    PRIVATE TRANSFERS WILL INCREASE RATHER SLOWLY IN ARMENIA IN 2010 AND WILL NOT PROMOTE INTERNAL DEMAND

    ArmInfo
    2010-02-10 11:55:00

    ArmInfo. Private transfers will increase rather slowly in Armenia
    in 2010 and will not promote internal demand, said IMF experts when
    presenting the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) in Yerevan. Mark Louis,
    Head of the IMF Mission to Armenia, attended the presentation.

    Transfers stopped falling in late 2009. However, high dependence
    of population incomes on transfers may hinder internal consumption
    growth. IMF surveys in Armenia showed that a 10% decline of transfers
    leads to 2- 4% reduction of demand, whereas such correlations is
    significant enough, the expert say.

    Generally the IMF experts expect external imbalance of energy
    importers in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, including in
    Armenia, Georgia. Tajikistan and Kyrghyzstan. Exports growth of these
    countries will fully depend on regional demand for their goods, the
    expert said. They predict higher economic growth to fuel exporters,
    Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. The IMF like the government
    of Armenia predicts 1.2% economic growth in Armenia. Mark Luois said
    devaluation of the Armenian dram against the US dollar may have
    certain retrospective effect on the economy of Armenia and raise
    prices of consumer goods.

    The latest IMF World Economic Outlook Update released in January 2010
    predicts 3.8% economic growth through out the CIS in 2010 (exclusive
    of Russia - 4.3%).
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