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  • Saakashvili: No jobs in jeopardy from base closure

    EurasiaNet Organization
    March 15 2005

    SAAKASHVILI: NO JOBS IN JEOPARDY FROM BASE CLOSURE
    Molly Corso 3/15/05

    A parliamentary resolution that seeks an early Russian withdrawal
    from military bases from Georgian territory is stirring concerns
    about what a pull-out will mean for the economic welfare of one
    Georgian town.

    In a unanimous vote March 10, Georgian legislators called on
    President Mikheil Saakashvili to demand a full Russian troop
    withdrawal from two bases on Georgian territory by January 1, 2006,
    unless Russian officials agree to a mutually acceptable pull-out
    timetable before May 15. Saakashvili is not bound by law to implement
    the resolution, which is aimed at breaking a deadlock in base
    withdrawal negotiations. [For background see the Eurasia Insight
    archive]. If Russia balks on the base issue, Georgia should simply
    shut down the two facilities - one at the Black Sea port of Batumi,
    the other in Akhalkalaki, a town of 10,000 with a predominantly
    ethnic Armenian local population - the resolution states.

    The situation in Akhalkalaki illustrates the extent to which the base
    debate with Moscow goes beyond foreign policy. Related economic and
    interethnic issues promise to play a considerable role as well.

    The base in Akhalkalaki employs about 15 percent of the local
    population and is the only major employer in town. In addition, local
    Armenians say the Russian troop presence makes them feel more secure.
    Between 1,500 and 4,000 Akhalkalaki residents took to the streets on
    March 13 to demonstrate against the base's potential closure,
    contending that Russians troops provided their only defense against
    Turkey, a longtime Armenian foe. [For additional information see the
    Eurasia Insight archive]. David Rstkyan, leader of the ethnic
    Armenian political party Virk, has pledged that town residents will
    "do everything to try and stop the Russian soldiers from leaving
    Akhalkalaki," Kavkasia-Press reported.

    Strengthening relations with Georgia's ethnic minorities is a key
    government policy goal, and the discontent in Akhalkalaki seems to
    have caught Saakashvili's attention. In a televised exchange with
    Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili on March 14, the president stated
    that a Georgian army unit would move into the town's base once
    Russian troops had vacated the property. Jobs for all Georgians
    currently employed at the base would be preserved, he said.

    "Our task is to make sure that not a single qualified person who has
    anything to do with the military is left without a job," Imedi
    television quoted Saakashvili as saying during a March 14 inspection
    of a Georgian army battalion. "We have the resources and money to
    ensure this."

    Hamlet Movsesian, Akhalkalaki's parliamentary representative, told
    EurasiaNet that, after the Rose Revolution, government
    representatives, including the late Prime Minister Zurab Zhvania,
    promised the town the base would not be closed until alternate
    employment could be created. "It worries me," he said. "In the region
    there are no factories, no production plants. The base is the only
    working industry employing citizens." Base employees reportedly earn
    $200-$300 per month, considerably more than any local Georgian
    employer could pay.

    Infrastructure, town officials say, poses a major obstacle for
    attracting interest to the region - whether private businesses or
    international organizations.

    "[Y]ou can say that the infrastructure is basically zero. If you want
    to develop something, without infrastructure, that is not possible,"
    said Akhalkalaki region head Artul Eremayn, citing his office's lack
    of a fax machine as an indication of the extent of the problem. "It's
    like what comes first, the chicken or the egg? [Should we work on]
    development first or the infrastructure?"

    In interviews with EurasiaNet before Saakashvili's announcement,
    Movsesian and Akhalkalaki Deputy Mayor Ararat Kanaian said that some
    jobs could come as early as April or May as part of the national
    government's on-going project to rebuild regional roads. Plans also
    exist to open the Karsi-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi railroad line as well as
    a possible customs checkpoint in the region. No estimate on exactly
    how many jobs could be created from these plans, however, exists.

    Additional help could come from foreign donors. The United States
    Department of Agriculture plans to set up an Internet café in one
    local school to act as an information center for local farmers. The
    United States Agency for International Development says that it
    intends to involve an unspecified number of area villages in its
    Georgia Employment and Infrastructure Initiative, a program that
    finances infrastructure overhauls for villages that submit qualifying
    business plans.

    Georgia's improving relationship with neighboring Armenia would seem
    an important factor in Saakashvili's decision-making calculus on the
    Akhalkalaki base. Georgian Prime Minister Zurab Noghaideli completed
    a two-day visit to Yerevan on March 12, during which he expressed a
    desire to expand bilateral trade ties. The Georgian government is
    especially interested in importing electricity from Armenia. Tbilisi
    also wants to explore a possible Georgian link to a planned pipeline
    between Armenia and Iran. [For background see the Eurasia Insight
    archive].

    For now, it appears that the base jobs in Akhalkalaki are secure.
    Moscow recently stated that it needs three-four years for its
    withdrawal from Batumi and Akhalkalaki - along with a training center
    in Gonio, a village not far from Batumi -- a declaration welcomed by
    Tbilisi as an improvement over earlier estimates of seven-eight
    years.

    Still, the Georgian parliament does not appear inclined toward
    patience. "The Red Army took much less time to occupy Georgia [in
    1921]," resolution co-author and member of parliament Giga Bokeria
    was quoted as saying by the Civil Georgia website in reference to
    Moscow's proposed timeline for the withdrawal.

    Georgian legislators have scoffed at demands from Russian Duma
    Chairman Boris Gryzlov that Tbilisi to pay compensation for the
    property left behind. Instead, MPs have charged that Russia owes
    Georgia between $300 million - $400 million in back taxes for use of
    the land the bases sit on, and have threatened to suspend visas for
    Russian military personnel traveling to the bases, as well as the
    installations' electricity and phone service.

    One of those threats appears to have already taken effect: On March
    12, the Russian Foreign Ministry issued a protest note in connection
    with a delay in issuing a visa to General Alexander Bespalov, the
    newly appointed commander for Russian troops in the South Caucasus.

    Saakashvili's promise that Georgian soldiers would effectively
    replace departing Russian troops appeared unlikely to sway opinion in
    Akhalkalaki. Many local residents believe that Georgian troops are
    not as skilled as Russian troops at providing security against a
    widely perceived threat coming from nearby Turkey, according to
    Kanaian. Roughly 95 percent of the town's residents are descended
    from Armenians who fled Ottoman Turkey following the 1915 massacre of
    thousands of their compatriots. "[The base] protects us and there is
    work there. The base is our guarantee," Akhalkalaki resident Vova
    Chlokhyan commented. "It protects us from the Turks. We have already
    seen the danger [they pose for us] and we are afraid of them."

    Despite Virk's threat to organize more demonstrations, Deputy Mayor
    Kanaian is confident that unrest can be avoided as the base issue
    plays out. "I don't think that there will be a particular problem
    here. There are people, who have a huge interest in that base, and,
    of course, they will try [to keep it here]."

    Educating the public about how the base closure could impact them is
    a larger worry for the government than protests, he said. "[We] are
    doing things to explain to people [what is going on]. We have to
    understand each other, the people and the government."



    Editor's Note: Molly Corso is a freelance journalist and photographer
    based in Tbilisi.
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