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West Reportedly Urging Armenian,Azeri Leaders To Final Karabakh Acco

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  • West Reportedly Urging Armenian,Azeri Leaders To Final Karabakh Acco


    Haykakan Zhamanak, Armenia
    Oct 15 2005

    "Peace soldiers"

    While the opposition and pro-government officials are commenting on
    the coincidence of the Armenian constitutional referendum and the
    Azerbaijani parliamentary election (both will take place in November),
    our sources say that the terms were fixed as a result of consultations
    with the West. The reason for this choice is a desire to avoid waste
    of time in the Karabakh talks. That is to say, it was clear from the
    outset that in the pre-election and post-election periods, Ilham
    Aliyev will not be able to take part in the Karabakh talks and in
    order not to have such a break because of the Armenian constitutional
    referendum, they decided to hold the referendum in November as well.

    Incidentally, our sources say that the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmen
    and the two presidents agreed to intensify the Karabakh talks from
    January. It becomes clear that Robert Kocharyan and Ilham Aliyev feel
    more confident due to this agreement. The logic of this confidence
    is if the West is going to provoke a revolutionary mood in Armenia
    or Azerbaijan in November or to support the opposition very much,
    what is the use of making the January working schedule with Kocharyan
    and Aliyev?

    According to our sources, the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmen put a
    condition to the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to sign a document
    on the Karabakh settlement during 2006 and Kocharyan and Aliyev agreed
    to this condition. The co-chairmen told Armenian president that the
    delay of settling the conflict would be destructive for Armenia as
    after the functioning of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, the
    balance of forces will change in favour of Azerbaijan that may have
    serious consequences for Armenia.

    Moreover, after the Karabakh settlement, the construction of the
    Iran-Armenia-Europe gas pipeline will become highly realistic and
    will bring billions of dollars in income to Armenia and will be a
    definite counter-balance to the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan [oil pipeline].

    Our sources say that after the signing of a peace agreement, both
    parties were promised investments and direct aid.

    It is also expected that about 10b dollars will be given to Armenia if
    events develop in this way. According to our information, the world
    community do not even forget about personal encouragement of the
    two presidents. If the Karabakh issue is settled, the two presidents
    will be granted security guarantees for life and will be nominated
    for the Nobel Peace Prize.

    However, it is also obvious that though Yasir Arafat and Iskhak Rabin
    were awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for signing an agreement on the
    Arab-Israeli conflict settlement in 1994, the conflict has not been
    settled up to today and Arafat and Rabin have not only left the
    political scene but also dead.