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  • The Diplomat Who Cracked

    THE DIPLOMAT WHO CRACKED
    By Matt Welch

    Los Angeles Times, CA
    April 25 2007

    An interview with former U.S. ambassador to Armenia John Evans, who
    lost his job after referring to the Armenian genocide as "genocide."

    John Marshall Evans, a career U.S. diplomat with extensive experience
    in Central and Eastern Europe, was sworn in as ambassador to Armenia
    in August 2004. In February 2005, Evans made a trip to California, the
    capital state of the Armenian diaspora. At three different meetings
    with Armenian-American groups, when asked about Washington's lack of
    official recognition of the 1915-23 Armenian genocide as a "genocide,"
    Evans said some variation of the following: "I will today call it
    the Armenian Genocide."

    Since this deviated from State Department guidelines, Evans was
    eventually asked to resign. Now the mild-mannered foreign service
    veteran is preparing a book about his "intellectual journey" that
    led him "rock the boat" of U.S. policy.

    I caught up with Evans this March, a few days after he gave the
    keynote speech explaining his dissent to the second annual banquet
    for USC's Institute of Armenian Studies. The following is an edited
    transcript of our conversation.

    To start with, when did it become unusual, your preparation for
    this job? When you said that basically you wanted to read up on this
    controversial historical thing before assuming the ambassadorship,
    one does that before one goes to a foreign posting, anyway; at what
    point did that process become different than your usual diplomatic
    posting, in terms of fact-gathering, and conclusions that you might
    come up with? [...]

    [M]y nomination for Yerevan was announced in the first half of May
    2004. I was confirmed in late June, I can give you the exact dates.

    And then I had a window of a couple weeks in which I went into a kind
    of monastic retreat and read everything I possibly could about Armenia.

    Now, I had the advantage that [...] [in] 1989, that year I had received
    a Cox Fellowship, and was spending a year reading Ottoman history at
    the Wilson Center in Washington, at the Kennan Institute.

    And so I read a lot of history. So I wasn't coming to the issue
    of Armenian history with a totally blank slate; I'd read mostly
    mainstream books -- Lord Kinross and various others who have written
    about Ottoman history. [...]

    I read as much as I could before I went out to Yerevan. I read [former
    U.S. ambassador Henry] Morgenthau's story, which had a profound impact
    on me, and [...] I proceeded [to Yerevan], but not before having a
    discussion with my immediate boss about the issue of the genocide,
    and how it was treated in State Department materials. I felt that it
    was not being adequately addressed, but at that point I had no sense
    that we couldn't do a better job basically in the same lines that
    we were already using. I had not abandoned the policy, but I felt we
    could do a much better job with that policy, and in particular using
    the things that had been said by President Bush and President Clinton.

    So I went out there and I became increasingly frustrated when I
    returned to that subject, at the fact that it was considered taboo.

    And it was; I couldn't really get it onto the agenda for at least a
    discussion. [...]

    Let me also just say that I never departed from the U.S. policy line
    in Armenia. The question, if you look at public opinion polls in
    Armenia, what you see is that although the question of recognition
    of the genocide is on the minds of people, it's sort of the ninth
    or tenth issue behind social stability, having a job, worrying about
    their retirement, you know, worrying about Nagorno-Karabakh. And then
    you get down to the single digits, the people who put the recognition
    of the genocide at the top of their lists. Single digits.

    So in a way it's much bigger for the diaspora?

    That's right. That's correct. And I did not ever -- I rarely got a
    question about it when serving as U.S. ambassador to Armenia, and I
    never used the word 'genocide' in answering any question there.

    Almost never; I can't remember a time when a local journalist asked
    me about it.

    By the time of my trip out here in February in 2005 I'd been in place
    for about six months, and I'd done more reading. I was more upset than
    ever about both the issue and the policy, and about the prospect that
    this is just going to be a situation that was going to continue ad
    infinitum. I mean, Turkish interests, and U.S. interests in Turkey;
    a country with 72 million, a member of NATO of long standing, with
    valuable strategic property in the Middle East, secular, Muslim,
    in a time when we're contending with forces in the Muslim world that
    have produced this fundamentalist ideology and terrorism. Turkey is
    a hugely important ally, and little landlocked Armenia, population 3
    million at best, is never going weigh in those scales in such a way
    as to even make a showing.

    And yet, the facts of the matter, the facts of the historical
    matter, and the legal definition of genocide as basically codified
    in the 1948 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Genocide,
    which we ratified, does count for something in my view. I felt that
    something had to be done to rock the boat, and to open up some space
    around this taboo subject, which in the State Department was routinely
    referred to as "the G-word." Which to me is sort of reminiscent of
    potty training. [...]

    I never in 35 years had encountered a U.S. policy that I could not
    at least live with. Certainly not one in my own area of responsibility.

    I wonder how much of that is the fact that you had the good fortune,
    mind you, to spend most of your life basically working in what in
    retrospect can seem like the most virtuous of American endeavors,
    which is --

    Winning the Cold War

    Winning the Cold War in Central Europe in particular. You know, it's
    a lot different having done that than if you had to deal with Saudi
    Arabia, ever, you know, or other parts of the world where we have a
    much more realpolitik type of appraoch.

    Well you bring to mind another point that I made Sunday night, and
    that is since 1989, American diplomats have spent a lot of their
    time encouraging the growth of civil society. [...] Civil society
    does matter, and when civil society, taken together -- that is,
    historians, journalists, public people who've thought about issues --
    when the vast majority of them perceive that there was a genocide of
    Armenians in 1915, and we are withholding that in our declared policy,
    it sets up a very difficult situation: You can't call it cognitive
    dissonance, exactly, but as I expressed it the other night, when a
    policy is perceived as not conforming to the broadly accepted truth,
    the policy becomes less supportable, and may not be supportable.

    I came to the point where I felt this strongly, that it couldn't be --
    it was not -- sustainable. That this flew in the face of the facts
    as we know them from people I hugely respect, starting with Henry
    Morgenthau, and our past diplomatic colleagues. [...] The truth as
    we know it from very good sources had diverged to an unsustainable
    degree. [...]

    But was it reasonable for you to imagine that your rocking the boat
    wouldn't get you fired? [...]

    Clearly when I was here in February 2005, I knew that by mentioning
    this word, I could get myself in trouble. I didn't know precisely
    what the degree of that trouble would be, but I knew that it could
    range from a slap on the wrist to being immediately canned. And as it
    turned out it was something between those extremes: I got more than
    a mere slap on the wrist, I wasn't immediately canned. I basically
    was eased out after about 18 months, although I had more time on my
    clock. [...] I was basically asked to go ahead and retire. [...]

    How would you characterize the reaction of your superiors or even
    just your colleagues when you said "Hey, this is a policy that I'm
    beginning to believe is untenable, we need to shift it this way"? And
    when I ask you how would you characterize it, is it your impression
    that they, too believed that this is a historically settled issue,
    it's just one that is inconvenient to talk about?

    Nobody ever used those terms, and I never had that kind of a
    conversation. [...]

    The problem for me was not that we were having an argument about it,
    the problem for me was we couldn't talk about it. I couldn't even
    get it on the agenda. And I couldn't take the policy positions that
    had been devised for dealing with this, I couldn't get them properly
    deployed, because nobody wanted to even touch it. I kept running into
    this sort of impossible Maginot Line, or just obstacle to even getting
    the issue onto the table, and that's where I decided to do an end run.

    So it was less that people were saying, you know, "Stop knocking
    on this door"; it was more of just like, "Oh, I gotta go fill up my
    water glass now"?

    Well, it was sort of "Now's not the time." But there never -- given
    the realities -- there never would be a good time to face this issue,
    if one does the traditional calculations of well, Turkey is 72 million,
    Armenia is 3 million, it was 92 years and counting, and so on and so
    forth. This is a formula for it to go on for 500 years.
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