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Why Opposition Won't Unite

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  • Why Opposition Won't Unite

    WHY OPPOSITION WON'T UNITE
    Vardan Barseghyan

    "Hayoc Ashkharh" daily newspaper, Armenia
    Aug 15 2007

    Classical Model Doesn't Work

    There is a widespread opinion that pro-governmental and pro-opposition
    powers are conjoined by the common logic of the development of
    political domain. Consequently the stronger the pro-governmental
    powers the stronger opposition and vise verse. But this formulation of
    political sciences doesn't work in the present condition of Armenia. On
    the contrary the more disorganized is the pro-governmental domain
    the more disorganized is the opposition.

    When we count the individuals and organizations working in the
    opposition sector of the political domain we get a significantly big
    number. Such as - "Orinats Yerkir" and "Heritage" parties representing
    parliamentary opposition, ex-parliamentary opposition "National Union",
    "Ardarutyun" and Armenian Pan National Party with its satellites and
    branches, "Nor Jamanakner", Communist Party and others. In short we
    have pro-opposition powers of any color, approaches and taste.

    But if the picture is quite satisfactory in terms of number and
    variety, the same can't be said about its concept and gravity. For the
    recent many years Armenian opposition has been facing one problem -
    to unite and appear with a united candidate.

    Moreover we can't even expect a unification of a kind in the near
    future. And this is the reason?

    The first reason is that the pro-opposition activists are of different
    "origins". That is to say their motives of being in pro-opposition
    domain are different.

    The second reason is their ideological and geopolitical differences
    (if they really exist). Today's pro-opposition domain consists of
    radical liberals, nationalists, Bolshevik-revolutionists.

    In addition to this some of them are confirmed pro-westerns and some
    are sworn pro-Russians.

    Besides that they have diametrically contradicting viewpoints about
    the future of the country.

    Another "anti-uniting" factor is their personal inaptness. These
    people hate one another and separately they hate others. Meanwhile
    they all consider themselves presidents.

    But even in such conditions it is possible to unite. Of course if
    there is an axis of unification - a goal, an idea, and finally a strong
    power to achieve this goal. From the first sight it seems there is a
    goal, which is "to carry out a coup d'etat through elections". But
    the problems is, though the activists of the pro-opposition domain
    are of the same opinion as regards the coup d'etat, they still can't
    reach an agreement about the united candidate.

    And finally the most important condition that hinders the unification
    of the pro-opposition powers is that they don't trust one another. Each
    of them states that he is real opposition activist and the others
    are false and any time they are ready "to sell themselves". And this
    statement of course is far not groundless.
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