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  • Enemies Of U.S. Are Friends Of Iran

    ENEMIES OF U.S. ARE FRIENDS OF IRAN
    By Lt. Col. Rick Francona, military analyst

    MSNBC
    Aug 16 2007

    Military Analysis

    Iran backs a former enemy to combat American and pro-Western troops

    U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has accused Iran of not
    only supplying money, weapons and training to Shia militias in
    Iraq, but also accuses Tehran of supplying weapons to the Taliban
    in Afghanistan. This would represent a reversal of Iran's past
    relationship with the Taliban; Iran supported the Afghan Northern
    Alliance against the Taliban in the late 1990's until the Taliban
    was ousted by the American invasion in 2001.

    Why would Iran now support its former enemy? Simple. Iran's former
    enemy is now the enemy of the United States. In other words, as they
    say in the Middle East, "the enemy of my enemy is my friend." It's
    the same reason the United States supported Iraq against Iran in the
    1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War. Our support to the regime of Saddam Hussein
    was not about helping Iraq or Saddam, it was about containing Iran.

    When Tehran sends weapons to the Taliban, it is not about supporting
    the Taliban. It is about combating American troop presence and the
    American-backed government in Kabul.

    Tightening the noose Put yourself in Iran's position. Look at a map
    of the region and consider the changes that have taken place since
    2001. You might begin to feel isolated and surrounded.

    To the east, Afghanistan is run by an American-backed government, not
    to mention the presence of tens of thousands of American, NATO and
    other pro-Western troops. To the southeast is Pakistan, an American
    ally in the war on terrorism. To the south across the Persian Gulf are
    the six pro-American Arab countries of the Gulf Cooperation council
    (Oman, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Kuwait)
    that are concerned about your nuclear weapons and missile programs,
    military modernization and the desire to export your brand of the
    Islamic Revolution. On your western border is Iraq, currently hosting
    150,000 American troops.

    The northern tier does not look any more comforting. To the northwest
    is Turkey, a NATO member also concerned about your nuclear and missile
    programs. North of your border are the former Soviet republics of
    Azerbaijan and Armenia - both pro-West. The only potential bright spot
    is northern neighbor Turkmenistan, which seemed to be leaning your
    way until the death of the former president. Now the new president
    is playing the Russia card, prompting Iranian prime minister Mahmoud
    Ahmadinejad to travel to the area in hopes of retaining at least one
    friend on the border. All three newly independent states are members
    of NATO's Partners for Peace program.

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    >From the Iranian perspective, the inescapable conclusion when
    looking at the borders -- America's allies are beginning to tighten
    the noose. If it's not American troops, it's NATO (take a look at
    Afghanistan). If not NATO, it's the NATO Partners for Peace program
    members. To make matters worse, America's European allies have imposed
    sanctions, however ineffective, over the uranium enrichment issue.

    Supporting America's enemies Any decision for Iranian support to
    groups who are opposing the Americans comes directly from Tehran. Those
    orders are given to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Qods Force,
    the elite special operations and covert action organization that has
    seen action in Lebanon, Bosnia, Chechnya, Iraq and now apparently
    Afghanistan. The Iranians are feeling the pressure as economic
    sanctions and diplomatic isolation takes its toll. They believe
    they must respond to try to counteract what they perceive as growing
    American/Western influence in the region.

    The obvious way to do this is to increase support the Iraqi Shia
    militias they have been supporting for years. These militias
    include the Badr Corps of the Supreme Council for the Islamic
    Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) under Abdul Aziz Hakim and probably-and
    of more concern-the militia of Muqtada al-Sadr, the Jaysh al-Mahdi,
    commonly known as "the JAM." The American command in Iraq claims that
    they have captured Iranian-made explosively formed projectiles, the
    deadly Iranian-made, armor-piercing munitions used in roadside bombs
    responsible for killing over 100 American troops. Additionally, Iranian
    training to these militia groups has resulted in much more accurate
    and effective mortar and rocket attacks against coalition targets.

    It may be that the Iranians have determined that their best bet to
    break what they believe is the stranglehold on their country is to
    expand their relationships with other countries in Central and South
    Asia. In addition to supplying weapons to the Taliban in Afghanistan,
    they are stepping up diplomatic contact with Turkmenistan. Both Iranian
    president Ahmadinejad and the president of Turkmenistan are attending
    the summit meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO),
    a regional organization consisting of Russia, China, Kazakhstan,
    Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, possibly hoping to join the
    group. This would be a good move for Iran, since both SCO members
    Russia and China are permanent members of the United Nations Security
    Council and have veto authority over potential resolutions that
    increase sanctions on Iran.

    Iran continues to be a pariah nation and perceives itself to be
    surrounded by hostile, or at least pro-American regimes. We should
    not be surprised that they are supporting the Taliban. Will we next
    see an alliance between the Iranians and the ultimate anti-American
    group, al-Qaida? After all, the enemy of my enemy is my friend.
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