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    Foundation for Economic Development
    104 North Belmont Street, Suite 200

    Glendale, Ca 91206
    Tel: 323.888.0049
    Fax: 323.888.0043



    PRESS RELEASE
    : August 20, 2007

    Contact: Taleen Mardirossian
    Tel: 818-500-1918



    Armenia: Promoting Economic Activity and Investment through an Improved
    Business Environment



    By Karen Grigorian



    Courtesy of the CALIFORNIA TRADE OFFICE



    In the early '90s, the Armenian government successfully implemented its
    first generation of reforms, which provided a strong foundation for
    sustainable growth. Since 1994, the Armenian economy began to show signs of
    recovery from a major contraction experienced during 1991-93 when the
    country lost nearly 60% of its output. This transformation rapidly
    accelerated from the beginning to mid-2000 thanks to a focused effort aimed
    at improving the overall business environment and the supporting framework
    for investment. The country continued enjoying relatively high rates of
    economic expansion and recorded an incessant double-digit growth since 2002.
    Demand for Armenian products abroad also grew significantly.



    This strong performance has been largely dependent on financial assistance
    from the Diaspora, World Bank, USAID, UN organizations, European Union, and
    bilateral donors. Acceleration in private-sector investment, reflecting an
    improving business environment, is also a determinant cause of this
    performance.



    The government's economic policy adopted Private Sector Development (PSD) as
    one of its key elements since the beginning. This is mainly evident from the
    massive privatization effort undertaken by the state where about 90% of the
    economy was sold to private entities, as well as in the enactment of a
    number of economic policies that supported the growth of the private sector.
    These actions set the tone for the coming economic growth.



    Armenia's good performance in the last 3 years, in particular, was
    reinforced by a certain diversification of the economy. While agriculture
    and food processing continued to grow, the light industries sector also
    showed signs of vitality and at times a very strong recovery. The backdrop
    for all this remained a solid and stable macroeconomic framework and an
    improved fiscal performance. The latter is a significant achievement for the
    state, i.e. while the fiscal situation improves and becomes stronger, the
    government has more flexibility in terms of revenue mobilization and public
    expenditures. This also means more flexibility to undertake larger and
    long-term initiatives rather than crisis management. The government, indeed,
    now enjoys a much better prospect for controlling the economy and planning
    its development.



    The achievements attained by Armenia came at a cost and despite some serious
    constraints. Particularly, to-date, transport costs within and out of the
    country remains high and freight forwarding is still a complicated affair in
    respect to other countries in the region. Nonetheless, the economy continues
    to develop -- not to a lesser degree thanks to Diaspora interventions. From
    this perspective, the importance of Armenians living outside of Armenia
    should not be overlooked. Remittances by family members living abroad remain
    a very important part of the economy and appear as the single biggest source
    of foreign currency source for Armenia. This is also telling from the
    point-of-view of Armenians who have successfully established themselves in
    foreign countries and continue to support their relatives and friends.



    Armenia is one of the most liberal and open market economies in the region
    and even globally according to a number of recent studies and surveys. Moody's
    just rated Armenia Ba2, while the Economic Freedom Index released by the
    Heritage Foundation and Wall Street Journal ranked Armenia 27th out of more
    than 150 countries. The latter uses 50 indicators such as capital flows and
    foreign investments, banking and financial systems, monetary, budget and
    trade polices, salaries and prices, state interference in the economy,
    property rights and regulations and black markets. This demonstrates that
    progress in trade and price liberalization, increased investments in
    infrastructure, privatization or closure of most state-owned enterprises,
    and efforts to streamline government regulation, have considerably enhanced
    the business environment.



    The 2006Annual Administrative and Regulatory Cost Survey also suggests
    noteworthy improvements in the business environment. When asked about the
    general satisfaction with the quality of regulations, administrative
    requirements and bureaucratic behavior of state agencies, only 38% of
    Armenian businesses considered it as a problematic constraint, while the
    average rating was 3.50 (somewhat satisfied)[1]. This percentage is
    calculated as the sum of the number of companies responding very
    dissatisfied, dissatisfied and somewhat dissatisfied. This is a
    considerable improvement over the results of the 2004 and 2000 surveys, when
    respectively more than 60% and 71% of companies were dissatisfied with the
    overall quality of business regulations. It is also worth noting that in the
    2006 Survey large companies were somehow more dissatisfied (45.83% of large
    companies) with government regulations than medium (41.41%) and small-sized
    (35.03%) enterprises. Furthermore, companies operating in different sectors
    of the economy have almost the same level of dissatisfaction with government
    regulations - commercial companies being a little more constrained with the
    overall quality of business regulations.



    In spite of all commendable improvements, corruption remains a key area of
    constraint and needs to be addressed. Armenia's ranking in the Corruption
    Perception Index has not improved marginally between 2000 and 2004, thus,
    indicating persistent administrative barriers/discretion to doing business.

    Transparency International Corruption Perception Index


    Rank 2000 (1-90)
    Rank 2004 (1-133)
    Score 2000
    Score 2004

    Slovenia
    28
    29
    5.5
    5.9

    Estonia
    27
    32
    5.7
    5.5

    Hungary
    32
    40
    5.2
    4.8

    Lithuania
    43
    41
    4.1
    4.7

    Czech Republic
    42
    54
    4.3
    3.9

    Latvia
    57
    57
    3.4
    3.8

    Poland
    43
    64
    4.1
    3.6

    Turkey
    50
    77
    3.8
    3.1

    ARMENIA
    76
    78
    2.5
    3

    Russia
    82
    86
    2.1
    2.7

    Azerbaijan
    87
    124
    1.5
    1.8



    There are also overall concerns regarding the tax, customs and general
    public administration areas. Firms, especially small and medium-sized ones,
    still feel there is room for improvements in this area. Many argued that
    dealing with taxes and other regulatory requirements is time consuming, not
    transparent and adds to the overall cost of doing business. In other words,
    it evidently puts strain on the private sector's capacity to do business
    since dealing with administrative issues is time-consuming and costly.



    On the other hand, Authorities seem to be genuinely pushing for improvements
    allowing for transparency and openness. In the tax and customs systems, they
    aim to make it easier for clients to interact with these agencies, although
    it is obvious that it is not enough to change pertinent laws, but,
    institutional cultures must also be changed. However, sustained effort and
    time are needed for bringing about institutional change. Sustained effort
    means that the government has to commit itself to progressive improvement
    aimed at eradicating this cancer from the system. Some of it can be dealt
    with by obvious administrative changes such as the ongoing implementation of
    self-declarations for taxes and customs that aim at reducing contact with
    customs and tax officials.



    Another important area for consideration in terms of improving the business
    climate is the need to reduce the overall transaction costs for doing
    business. This doesn't just mean bills for utilities or transport, it also
    means time and other wasted efforts. This area needs to be progressively
    improved and adjusted over time. Confidently, progress is already being
    made, but certainly there is no impression that this is a very easy task.



    The Administrative Barriers Study prepared by the Foreign Investment
    Advisory Services (FIAS) of the World Bank Group suggests that, in general,
    there have been notable improvements in a number of administrative
    procedures affecting businesses since 2000 -- including business
    registration and licensing. While strongly commending these achievements, it
    is important to record that the more difficult tasks of ensuring efficient
    and fair tax and customs administration, transparent privatization and lease
    of public land and construction coordination remain to be tackled.
    Therefore, it is of critical importance that the government recognizes and
    prioritizes some fundamental issues that have not been fully addressed over
    the last several years. While certain areas, such as enterprise
    registration, licensing and title transfer registration have seen consistent
    improvements, there are plenty of administrative procedures that remain
    complex and cumbersome, especially for smaller businesses and new entries
    (both local and foreign).



    Comparing Armenia with other countries based on the official time for
    company registration indicates that there is still room for reductions to
    catch up with best practice countries in terms of simplicity and speed of
    enterprise registration and related institutional arrangements (such as
    information sharing among government institutions, use of single
    registration form and identification number).



    Over the past four years, a variety of changes have occurred in various
    locating processes that have helped to accelerate land acquisition and
    planning approval procedures. Although significant progress has been made,
    further streamlining measures should be implemented to remove existing
    development barriers for investors. Attention should be given to further
    streamlining the existing land and construction processes, which remain
    cumbersome for investors and are not always transparent or accountable.



    The activities of the Business Support Council (BSC) were instrumental in
    bringing a number of investment climate issues to the agenda of the
    government in recent years.

    The BSC served as the high-level forum for identifying administrative
    barriers, addressing them at the technical level through public-private
    sector dialogue, and implementing reform in a comprehensive manner that
    ensures accountability within government and to the business community.



    Following the findings of the FIAS study, an action plan was developed by
    BSC. A critical component of this effort is to assist the Armenian
    government in implementing the proposed action plan for the removal of
    administrative barriers to investment, which could serve as a tool for
    achieving ongoing and sustained improvements.



    Experience suggests that an action plan is most effective when it is
    detailed, when it accurately presents the concerns of businesses, when it
    includes feasible solutions that are the result of public consultations, and
    when it mandates responsibilities and imposes realistic deadlines. It
    should also contain performance indicators to evaluate if the desired impact
    is being achieved. In Armenia, the level of public-private interaction that
    took place in preparing the agendas of the Business Council meetings and
    follow up on the originally agreed action plan was not sufficient to tap
    into the full potential of such an instrument.



    In summary, there is no reason to believe that the momentum created in the
    country cannot be sustained (despite a number of risks), and, if progress
    continues this way, confidently, the economic growth will benefit all
    segments of Armenian society.



    Please Visit our Web Site: www.armenia.ca.gov



    ---------------------------- ------------------------------------------------
    [ 1] On a six -point scale, where 6 stands for very satisfied, 5 - for
    satisfied, 4 - for somewhat satisfied, 3 - for somewhat dissatisfied, 2 -
    for dissatisfied and 1 - for very dissatisfied.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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