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ANKARA: What is going on in Nagorno-Karabakh?

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  • ANKARA: What is going on in Nagorno-Karabakh?

    What is going on in Nagorno-Karabakh?
    by HASAN KANBOLAT
    Today's Zaman
    28.08.2007


    Following the constitutional referendum held on Dec. 10, 2006, in
    violation of international law in the Nagorno-Karabakh (Upper Karabakh)
    region of Azerbaijan, a presidential election took place on July 19, 2007.

    Former Chairman of the National Security Service Bako Sahakyan won the
    election, in which five candidates ran for the presidency. Sahakyan, who
    makes an analogy between Kosovo and Nagorno-Karabakh, seeks recognition of
    the latter's independence. The elections, just like the referendum, are
    referred to as a part of unilateral efforts to ensure the recognition of a
    status quo created in breach of established international law. The
    international community including Turkey and Azerbaijan declared the
    elections illegal and invalid.

    The Nagorno-Karabakh region was occupied by Armenian forces in 1992 after a
    two-year-long war that cost 35,000 lives. At the end of the war, 1,000,000
    Azerbaijanis had to migrate from their native land. The Armenians, who have
    maintained their occupation since the cease-fire in 1994, refused to
    withdraw from the occupied zone despite numerous binding resolutions by the
    UN Security Council and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in
    Europe.

    Negotiations held under the auspices of the Minsk Group established in
    pursuant to the decisions taken at the summit in 1992, which convened to
    find a permanent resolution to the disputes between the two countries, have
    produced no final outcome so far. However, another negotiation phase called
    the "Prague Process," initiated by the co-chairs of the Minsk Group and
    attended by the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia, is currently
    under way to address the question. During the Prague Process, the Azeri side
    offered an incremental and step-by-step solution while the Armenian
    delegation insisted on a package deal. Based on the proposals from both
    sides, the Minsk Group co-chairs developed an amalgam proposal which
    envisaged reaching an agreement over the resolution and incremental
    implementation of the agreed resolution over time. Substantial progress was
    achieved in the negotiations following the endorsement of the middle- ground
    solution by the two parties.

    Under the co-chairs' resolution, which seems to be offering a more plausible
    and grounded framework, the status of Nagorno-Karabakh and the procedure
    under which this status will be set will be determined in the future.

    The co-chairs agreed on the evacuation of the occupied regions (provinces),
    the establishment of a connection between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia,
    determination of the status of the Nagorno-Karabakh by referendum, special
    emphasis on displaced persons, demilitarization and the provision of
    international relief. However, Azerbaijan is eager to complete the
    "re-integration" process during the time until the determination of the
    final status. The Baku administration holds that temporary resolution can
    only be achieved through recognition of the autonomous status of the region
    within the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan.

    Moreover, the argument implying that the issue cannot be resolved through
    negotiations is being supported, arguing that it requires effective military
    intervention. Armenia seeks to preserve the current status quo and hopes for
    changes in the circumstances under which it will greatly benefit to expand
    its territory. It wants to guarantee the status of Nagorno-Karabakh in
    return for withdrawal from five provinces. For these reasons, there still
    remain important disagreements over the future status of Nagorno-Karabakh,
    the evacuation of the occupied provinces and the opening of a corridor
    between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia.

    Presidential elections will take place in both Armenia and Azerbaijan in
    2008. For this reason, no dramatic changes in policy on either side is
    expected before these elections in regards to the fate of Nagorno-Karabakh.


    28.08.2007

    Source: http://www.todayszaman.com/tz-web/detaylar.do?load =detay&link=120588

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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