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Outside View: Nuclear Plant Assessments

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  • Outside View: Nuclear Plant Assessments

    OUTSIDE VIEW: NUCLEAR PLANT ASSESSMENTS
    By Tatyana Sinitsyna, UPI Outside View Commentator

    United Press International
    Aug 3 2007

    MOSCOW, Aug. 3 (UPI) -- An earthquake hit the city of Kashiwazaki,
    Japan, last week, causing an estimated $33.3 billion worth of damage.

    The Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear plant, one of Japan's largest, was in
    the earthquake zone. Radioactive substance leakage was reported.

    Japanese authorities and the public are attacking the Tokyo Electric
    Power Co. after it refused to give information on the danger. The
    alarm was sounded at the other end of the world, in the headquarters of
    the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna. Mohamed ElBaradei,
    its director general, says he hopes TEPCO will not withhold any facts
    from investigation.

    Alexei Lopanchuk, an expert on nuclear plants' environmental effects
    at the Russian Federal Atomic Energy Agency, commented on the situation
    for RIA Novosti:

    "I saw a burning transformer on the television. It was no shock to
    a specialist -- a tank transformer can catch fire with the slightest
    spark. Every project envisages safety measures. Transformers are set
    apart from each other, so fire cannot spread to cause a leak.

    Radioactive water could have leaked from the reactor containment sump
    -- but I don't think it could get out of the circuit and pollute the
    environment, whatever the press might be saying. As for polluted sea,
    I think that's a paranoid allegation."

    The expert dismisses speculation that seismic danger was
    underestimated when the plant site was chosen: "The Japanese are
    top-notch professionals, and exacting and pragmatic to the utmost
    degree in choosing plant sites. It was a mere accident, I think."

    The Kashiwazaki drama makes us wonder whether Russian nuclear plants
    are immune to natural disasters. They face very little risk from
    earthquakes on the seismically docile East European Plain.

    Nonetheless, safety measures have been steadily tightened since 2000,
    when Russia placed a new emphasis on atomic energy. A nationwide
    blueprint for updating and enhancing safety procedures has been
    adopted.

    All present-day projects are designed to withstand earthquakes with
    a minimum magnitude of 7 on the Richter scale. Russian specialists
    proceed from the same stringent safety standards when they build
    plants abroad.

    "We design nuclear plants taking account for everything nature can
    throw at us -- tornadoes, glaze frost, blizzards, torrential rain,
    earthquakes, tsunamis, landslides and mud volcano eruptions. We also
    consider every possible manmade risk -- for instance, air routes and
    railroads in the vicinity of plants," Lopanchuk said.

    Russian-designed projects have proved reliable in the past. The
    premises and infrastructure of the Kudankulam plant in India stood
    unscathed in the Sumatran tsunami of 2004. The Armenian plant withstood
    the magnitude 9 during the 1988 quake, which wiped the town of Spitak
    off the face of the Earth, though the plant was designed to withstand
    a force no greater than 5. Designed and built by Soviet specialists,
    the Kozlodui plant in Bulgaria survived a sequence of quakes with
    the epicenter in neighboring Romania. Now, Russia is designing a
    new Bulgarian nuclear project in Belena, also within the Vrancea
    seismic zone.

    The alarmed Japanese public insists on shutting down not only
    Kashiwazaki, but also Shizuoka and another 15 nuclear power plants
    out of a total of 55. But this could be expensive. It takes at least
    a year to cool a reactor in a process that occasionally costs more
    than plant construction. Furthermore, with no resources comparable
    to nuclear energy, a shutdown may plunge Japan into an energy crisis.

    "I don't know how accidents are generally estimated. I, for my part,
    am no alarmist. Japan is accustomed to quakes, and is very serious
    about them. The damaged units will be re-commissioned after thorough
    investigation, I am sure," Lopanchuk said.
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