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Aoun Needs Syria's Help To Win In Lebanon

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  • Aoun Needs Syria's Help To Win In Lebanon

    AOUN NEEDS SYRIA'S HELP TO WIN IN LEBANON
    By Sami Haddad, Ya Libnan Volunteer

    Ya Libnan, Lebanon
    http://yalibnan.com/site/archives/2007/08/ aoun_needs_syri.php
    Aug 7 2007

    The myriad of political insight exposed in Sunday's election have
    left each political camp to brag about a moral victory. One fact is
    indisputable, outside of Beirut and Damascus, there were no clear
    winners on Sunday.

    Former general Michel Aoun's candidate, Camille Khoury (pictured
    right), won 39,534 votes, against 39,116 votes for Amin Gemayel.

    Aoun's narrow margin victory of 400 votes, or half a percent, in the
    Christian-dominated Metn district in Lebanon, pales in comparison
    to the 80% popularity he claims to have among Lebanon's Christian
    population.

    Aoun's 80% popularity turned out to be among Lebanon's Armenian
    community, who's main political party joined pro-Syrian Michel Murr
    in an alliance with Aoun days before Sunday's election.

    Aoun's support among his own religious sect, the Maronite Christians,
    was far less flattering. While his candidate may have won in the
    elections on Sunday, the move may backfire on Aoun's relentless, on
    the verge of desperate, drive to become president. Less than half of
    the Maronites who voted on Sunday, voted for Aoun.

    Since Lebanon's president must be a Maronite Christian, any candidate
    should at a minimum have substantial support from their own sect. The
    Maronite backlash at Michel Aoun can be traced back to his widely
    unpopular alliance with the staunch Syria-aligned Hezbollah.

    Syria has always needed a Christian puppet in Lebanon to represent
    its interests. Now that the top Syrian General in Lebanon, Lebanese
    president Emile Lahoud, is all out of unconstitutional extensions,
    and is due to leave office in two months, Syria is pulling all the
    strings it has left in Lebanon to force Aoun in as the next puppet.

    The current president, Emile Lahoud, presents a clear example of how
    divided Lebanon will remain if he is replaced with another Syrian
    puppet.

    According to Abu Kais of Beirut to the Beltway, it was the Syrian
    president who won on Sunday:

    If anyone got a boost, it's the Assad killing machine, which proved
    still capable of assassinating deputies and replacing them with
    others. Aoun supporters should look closely at who really won the
    Metn election: the real winner is the Assad regime. They are losing
    their street so that the Assad regime can further its goals. Aoun's
    popularity among Christians does not matter to Assad, as long as the
    former general continues to provide a cover for the plot to bring down
    the government and divide the Christian community-which has always been
    the heart of the anti-Syrian opposition. Sadly, Aoun's supporters have
    convinced themselves that they're being forward-looking by striking
    alliances with the pro-Syrian camp.

    Sunday's elections clearly showed that Aoun needs the support of
    Syria and the pro-Syrian political groups in Lebanon to scrape in a
    victory. Winning by the narrowest of margins in the Christian heartland
    was a significant setback for Aoun's aspirations to be president,
    despite the comparably minor victory for his candidate.
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