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Is Russia Preparing For A Cold War?

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  • Is Russia Preparing For A Cold War?

    IS RUSSIA PREPARING FOR A COLD WAR?
    Translated by Pavel Pushkin

    DEFENSE and SECURITY
    Source: WPS observer
    December 3, 2007 Monday
    Russia

    Moscow does not wish to militarize its economy but harshly responds
    to the West giving up the CFE

    Last Friday, President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, signed federal law
    "On suspension of the effect of the Conventional Forces in Europe
    (CFE) Treaty by Russia." This bill has been debated in Russia for six
    months and its passing has been expected in the world. According to the
    bill passed by the Duma unanimously, Russia suspends the CFE signed
    in Paris on November 19 of 1990. The law will come into effect from
    the day of its official publication. It is emphasized that decision
    on restarting the effect of the CFE by Russia may also be made by
    the president of the country.

    Signing of the federal law was preceded by a very long procedure. At
    first, on July 14 of 2007, Vladimir Putin signed the decree
    "On suspension of the effect of the CFE and related international
    agreements by Russia." After that the President submitted a relevant
    bill to the Federal Assembly. The Duma passed the bill on November
    7 and the Federation Council approved it on November 16.

    Even before signing the decree, Putin announced that tests of
    new missiles in Russia and the suspension of membership in the CFE
    represented a response to the unjustified actions of the partners of
    Russia, for instance, the US aimed at deployment of antimissile defense
    (AMD) system elements in Europe. Some Western countries requested
    Russia not to quit the CFE persistently but Moscow pointed out that
    some NATO members including the US did not find time for ratification
    of the CFE in 17 years.

    Giving up of the CFE by authorities of the country can hardly be
    called an election maneuver of the Kremlin that has been trying to
    increase the rating of United Russia, the party of power, by the
    efforts of the President lately. Moscow is not going to sacrifice
    its security and will evidently keep taking further steps for
    strengthening this defense although they will hardly be connected with
    excessive militarization. Moscow will fully modernize its strategic
    nuclear forces simultaneously, prolonging the service life of the
    old intercontinental ballistic missiles. Along with this, it pays
    special attention to the North Caucasus where almost half of all
    combat ready units of the Armed Forces are concentrated. There is also
    another aspect proving that Moscow does not wish to slide to hard-line
    confrontation with the West. Russia manifests flexibility, for example,
    with regard to the problems of American AMD system creation in Europe.

    Moscow proposed that the US give up the creation of the third
    positional area in the Czech Republic and Poland and use of "its"
    object, the Gabala radar station in Azerbaijan, instead of this. It
    turns out that Americans will not abandon construction of the third
    positional area but also wish to use the capabilities of the radar
    station in Azerbaijan. Hence, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced,
    "What we have received on paper is disheartening." Chief of the General
    Staff, Army General Yury Baluevsky, expressed a similar opinion. Last
    week, he said that Russia was discontent with the US efforts to
    deploy the third positional area of the AMD in Eastern Europe by
    any means. According to Baluevsky, Russia cannot accept the stance
    of Washington meaning "We build the third positional area and you
    Russians join us." Russian-American negotiations with participation
    of the Azerbaijani party on creation of alternative AMD systems on
    the territory of the South Caucasus will evidently be continued.

    Hence, the visit of Russian Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov to
    Azerbaijan looks very logical. Despite the militarist statements of
    some Azerbaijani politicians and accusations of Baku regarding alleged
    military support of the armed forces of Nagorno-Karabakh by Moscow,
    Russia develops its military and military technological relations with
    Azerbaijan, one of the key countries of South Caucasus. Azerbaijan
    has problems, the chief of which is the fact that Azerbaijan is still
    in a condition of undeclared war with Armenia, an ally of Russia in
    the Collective Security Treaty Organization.

    Meanwhile, the visit of Serdyukov to Azerbaijan shows that Russia
    is developing close partnership with this country, including such
    relations in the military field. Meeting with Defense Minister
    of Azerbaijan, Colonel general Safar Abiev, the Russian Defense
    Minister signed a plan of bilateral cooperation between the defense
    ministries of the countries for 2008. Signing of the plan was preceded
    by discussion of the development of relations between Moscow and Baku,
    cooperation in the military field, training of military personnel,
    as well as discussion of military political situation in the region
    including the Caspian Sea (organization of joint forces of the
    coastal countries).

    Azerbaijan, the main hydrocarbon donor of the West in South Caucasus
    after Russia, that has announced recently that it is not going to
    enter into NATO, posses a significant economic and military interest
    for Moscow. The Gabala radar station belonging to Baku is the focus
    of this interest.

    Thus, of course, there will be no cold war between Russia and the
    West in the classic sense but Moscow will do its best to defend
    its positions in the regions important for it, first of all, in the
    former Soviet republics, by all means, both military and military
    diplomatic ones.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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