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Will the EU be able to solve the Kosovo issue with minimum losses?

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  • Will the EU be able to solve the Kosovo issue with minimum losses?

    PanARMENIAN.Net

    Will the EU be able to solve the Kosovo issue with minimum losses?

    Kosovo's independence will lead to war, and most probably the cause of
    war will be found in Mitrovitsa, the Serbian town in the north of
    Kosovo.
    20.12.2007 GMT+04:00

    The discussions over the Kosovo issue in the UNO are over and as
    expected the EU and the USA declared that the opportunities of solving
    the issue of Kosovo's status by means of negotiations are
    exhausted. Russia, as always remained faithful to its opinion - the
    negotiations should be continued. On December 19 after a
    3-hour-close-session of the UN Security Council, the Belgian
    Ambassador Johan Verbeke, speaking on behalf of the EU and the USA,
    stated with regret that the Council couldn't come to an agreement over
    the future status of Kosovo, that is why the EU and NATO are ready to
    take up the responsibility for the country's destiny.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ At the same time he mentioned that the solution to
    the issue of the status of Kosovo will be sui generis, i.e., unique,
    and must not become a model for other situations. The Minister of
    Foreign Affairs of Italy Massimo D'Alema, who is going to be in the
    chair in the Security Council in December, declared that the members
    of the Council `haven't arrived at any concrete conclusions', but have
    called upon the parties `to keep the peace and desist from any
    actions, which could endanger the security of the region.'

    It's hardly possible that the diplomats and officials are not aware of
    the absurdity of such a decision, because the independent Kosovo will
    become a model by its definition. One may refuse it as much as he
    wants, but fact can't be changed. Maybe that's the reason why the USA
    has decided to place the burden of the decision making on the EU. Yet
    in Europe too there are a number of territories (Basques, Belgium, and
    Romania with Hungary) which being inspired by a `bad' example, will
    follow the Kosovo Albanians. What if someone comes to think that
    Corsica should be separated from France...? And the war will be
    unleashed, after which there will be nothing left from Europe. When
    Russia speaks against, it perhaps realizes better the consequences of
    such a solution of the problem. The truth is though, that for Armenia
    and Nagorno Karabakh the American-European variant is more preferable,
    regardless what they say about the impossibility of the
    precedent. According to the EU special representative to South
    Caucasus Peter Semneby, the Kosovo decision may not serve as a model
    for resolution of existing conflicts in post-Soviet areas. `On the
    one hand the ongoing processes in Kosovo may effect the regulations of
    the conflicts in the post-Soviet areas, since there are apprehensions
    based on the preferences of the parties, on the other hand, there are
    not,' said Semneby.

    Serbia makes use of every means, except the military ones, not to
    allow a one-sided proclamation of independence of Kosovo by the
    Albanian majority of the territory. This was announced by the Prime
    Minister of Serbia Vojislav Kostunica after the session of the UN
    Security Council on Wednesday, where the future status of Kosovo was
    being discussed. Kostunica once again emphasized that the solution to
    the problem must be found within the frames of the UNO. `Any attempt
    of violating the international law is unacceptable. One-sided
    proclamation of Kosovo independence with the assistance of western
    countries will upset the principles stated in the UNO Charter, and
    will become the beginning of a new era, where the power is above law,'
    announced the Serbian Prime. In his turn, the President of Kosovo
    Fatmir Sejdu reminded the events of 1990's and added that `the
    recollections of the slaughter of the Kosovo Albanians in those years
    make the co-existence of Kosovo and Serbia in the frames of one state
    impossible.'

    `The new war in the Balkans is not far and it will start in
    Mitrovitsa,' announced the strategy expert from Texas University Alan
    Cooperman. `Kosovo's independence will lead to war, and most probably
    the cause of war will be found in Mitrovitsa, the Serbian town in the
    north of Kosovo, because the next day of the proclamation of the
    sovereignty by the leaders of Pristine the ethnic Serbian police will
    immediately change the Kosovo uniforms with the old uniforms of the
    Serbian police, which they have been carefully keeping in their
    closets throughout all this time,' quotes the Italian magazine La
    Stampa.

    According to this scenario, the war will begin because the Albanian
    militants in Kosovo won't be able to put up with the fact that the
    Serbian police will patrol a whole district of the new State. Not to
    mention that Belgrade can direct its people and its measures to
    Mitrovitsa and take all the water resources of the entire Kosovo under
    its control.

    The apprehensions of the USA connected with the fact that Mitrovitsa
    may become the reason of a new conflict, became more reasonable after
    the Government of Belgrade opened its representative office in the
    center of the city on December 11. The representatives of the UN
    Administration called the unexpected decision illegal and
    inadmissible. However, the Serbian Minister Slobodan Samardzic
    declared that `in case of one-sided proclamation of independence,
    Serbia will legally and diplomatically defend own territory and the
    rights of its nation to live within the borders recognized by
    international law.' In other the Serbian representation in Kosovo will
    become the center of common legitimate power, which the Serbian police
    will obey.

    PanARMENIAN.Net» analytical department
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