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  • Kars-Tbilisi-Baku railroad: Azerbaijan as locomotive of reg projects

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    Feb 9 2007

    KARS-TBILISI-BAKU RAILROAD: AZERBAIJAN AS LOCOMOTIVE OF REGIONAL
    PROJECTS

    By Vladimir Socor

    Friday, February 9, 2007


    Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev, Georgian President Mikheil
    Saakashvili, and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyp Erdohan witnessed
    on February 7 in Tbilisi the signing of a tripartite agreement to
    launch construction work this year on the railroad connecting their
    countries. The presidents signed a declaration on a `Common Vision
    for Regional Cooperation' on this occasion.

    The three countries' regional cooperation far transcends the South
    Caucasus, as it entails projects of intercontinental scope. These
    are: the recently inaugurated Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, with
    a planned trans-Caspian link to Kazakhstan; the now-operational
    Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas pipeline, with a potential link via the
    Nabucco project to Central Europe; and the
    Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku (KATB) railroad, which will link not
    only the three countries with each other, but also the South Caucasus
    directly with Europe in the near term and potentially with Central
    Asia not long thereafter.

    Azerbaijan can be said to function as the locomotive of the railroad
    project, as well as a path-breaker in initiating the oil and gas
    extraction projects with their westbound export routes. The KATB
    railroad is now being turned into reality thanks to Azerbaijan's
    financing of the project's longest and most challenging sections,
    both in Georgia: 30 kilometers to be built from scratch from the
    Turkish border to Akhalkalaki and another 160 kilometers to be
    repaired and modernized from Akhalkalaki to the Georgia-Azerbaijan
    border. Azerbaijan will also modernize the railroad on its territory,
    while Turkey will build a 68-kilometer line from Kars to the
    Turkish-Georgian border from scratch.

    Azerbaijan is providing a $220 million loan, repayable in 25 years,
    with an annual interest rate of only 1%, for the construction work on
    Georgian territory. Georgia plans to repay the loan by using its
    share of the transit revenue, once the railroad becomes operational.
    The credit agreement, signed last month, is to be ratified by the two
    parliaments and to be followed by a bilateral inter-bank agreement
    and a tender to select the construction companies. This railroad has
    become vital for Georgia in the wake of Russia's 2006 decision to
    impose a blockade on Georgia's transport communications.

    Azerbaijan's Transport Minister Zia Mamedov, Georgian Economic
    Development Minister Giorgi Arveladze, and Turkish Transport Minister
    Binali Ildirim signed in Tbilisi on February 7 the agreement on
    construction work. The work in Georgia is expected to start in the
    third quarter of 2007 and to require two-and-a-half years. The
    railroad's anticipated capacity is 5 million tons per year initially,
    10 to 15 million tons annually after the third year of operation, and
    ultimately up to 20 million tons annually. The KATB railroad will
    connect Azerbaijan and Georgia via Turkey with the tunnel crossing
    under the Bosporus Strait to Europe.

    The KATB project was held up for more than a decade by a lack of
    funding, mainly on its Georgia section. Azerbaijan is now taking the
    lead in this transport project thanks to revenue from oil projects
    that Azerbaijan itself had initiated during that past decade. During
    the signing ceremonies, Saakashvili paid tribute to the late
    Azerbaijani president Heydar Aliyev for laying the foundations of
    these integration projects. A section of the Mtkvari River's
    embankment in central Tbilisi was renamed after Heydar Aliyev in the
    presence of the three state leaders on this occasion. The Georgian
    president also called on his nation to `never forget' Azerbaijan's
    decisions to supply Georgia with gas during the Russian energy
    blockade of January 2006 and again this winter, despite Russian cuts
    in gas and electricity supplies to Azerbaijan in retaliation.

    The presidents also inaugurated a state-of-the art terminal at
    Tbilisi airport, built by a Turkish-Austrian consortium in one year.
    Concurrently, Turkey is building on its territory a highway that
    should reach the Georgian border near Batumi by the end of 2007,
    while Georgia is building a highway from Tbilisi to Batumi.
    Cumulatively, these developments are rapidly ushering in what
    Saakashvili called a `new era' in the South Caucasus.

    Armenia continues to oppose the KATB project. Yerevan insists that
    Turkey should instead use the existing Kars-Gyumri (Armenia) railroad
    link, which Turkey closed in 1994 after Armenian forces had seized
    extensive territories of Azerbaijan. However, KATB and Kars-Gyumri
    are in no way comparable. While KATB is a project of transcontinental
    scope, Kars-Gyumri is merely a local link.

    Armenia's opposition to KATB, against the interests of three
    neighboring countries, looks like a replay of Yerevan's long,
    ultimately futile resistance to the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline
    project. In the case of KATB, however, Armenian lobbying groups have
    succeeded in blocking U.S. loans to the railroad project. From
    Yerevan's own standpoint, this attitude ignores the interests of the
    ethnic Armenian population in the deeply impoverished Akhalkalaki
    area, where this railroad brings the only real hope of economic
    development. More broadly, Yerevan's opposition to KATB significantly
    complicates the U.S. administration's efforts to pull Armenia out of
    its quasi-isolation and into regional integration projects.

    (Civil Georgia, Georgian Public Television, ANS, Turan, Anatolia News
    Agency, February 6, 7; see EDM, January 19)
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