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Armenia counts on Russia... and on Azerbaijani Islamists

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  • Armenia counts on Russia... and on Azerbaijani Islamists

    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    January 12, 2007 Friday

    ARMENIA COUNTS ON RUSSIA;
    ... and on Azerbaijani Islamists

    by Nurani

    ARMENIA COUNTS ON EXPANSION OF MILITARY COOPERATION WITH RUSSIA
    ISLAMIZATION OF AZERBAIJAN; Russian-Armenian military-technical
    cooperation: a look from Azerbaijan.

    Seeing Azerbaijan boost its military budget, Armenia pins its hopes
    on broader military cooperation with Russia. Defense Minister Serj
    Sarkisjan told journalists that Armenia would only be happy if Russia
    made some of its sophisticated weaponry available to this country.

    As a matter of fact, it was Sarkisjan's comments on the reaction of
    Baku to the establishment of the Russian-Armenian antiaircraft
    defense system. Russian AF Second-in-Command (for the CIS united
    Antiaircraft Defense System) Lieutenant General Aitech Bijev told
    media outlets that a regional Russian-Armenian antiaircraft defense
    system would be established in the Caucasus. "Meeting of the
    Coordinating Committee of the CIS United Antiaircraft Defense System
    will take place in Yerevan on February 17. The new united regional
    antiaircraft defense system in the Caucasus will be presented there,"
    Bijev said. "We will acquaint all CIS Armed Forces and Antiaircraft
    Forces commanders with the new system comprising Russian and Armenian
    antiaircraft defense means." Bijev reminded his audience that Russia
    has the 102nd Military Base in Yerevan. The facility includes
    antiaircraft defense troops with sophisticated S-300 antiaircraft
    complexes. Russia also has an AF Base in Yerebuni where MIG-29
    fighters are stationed. Russia helped Armenia with its national
    antiaircraft defense last year - repaired hardware, control and fire
    command systems, and trained Armenian servicemen for S-300s handling.


    "It is not Armenia that boasts of its military budget. It was not
    Armenia that launched this arms race," Bijev said commenting on
    Azerbaijan's disappointment in the "asymmetric" Russian-Armenian
    military cooperation. "Armenia does not protest when Azerbaijan buys
    many MIG-29s from Ukraine. It is their affair after all. Similarly,
    we too are free in our plans and actions."

    No need to remind here that the growth of Azerbaijani arms spending
    is but one of the manifestations due to changes in the correlations
    of forces in the Caucasus. "Launch" of oil and gas super projects,
    rapid economic growth, increased investment activity that is not
    restricted to the oil sector alone - all of that couldn't help having
    its effect. It should have been expected from Armenia to try to
    "balance out the situation" with its showy friendship with Russia. On
    the one hand, there are certainly forces in Moscow that wouldn't mind
    seeing our country "properly punished" for what they regard as undue
    independence. After all, the soaring gas tariffs and the hysterical
    campaign against "immigrants" must have been ordered by the political
    leadership. On the other hand, the Kremlin is clearly upset by the
    rise of anti-Russian moods in Armenia that are fomented by numerous
    factors varying from murders of Armenians by Russian
    ultra-nationalists to the gas tariffs to Gazprom's intention to buy
    the gas pipeline from Iran to Armenia. Viewed against this
    background, somebody in Russia may certainly find this showy military
    assistance to Yerevan a convenient way to kill two birds with one
    stone: to calm down the Armenian "outpost" and put Azerbaijan under
    pressure.

    Armenian political scientist Alexander Iskandarjan made an
    interesting statement at his press conference in Yerevan. As far as
    Iskandarjan is concerned, "a turn to Islam" is possible in
    Azerbaijan. This political scientist is convinced that Azerbaijan
    actually comprises two countries: Baku and the provinces and they are
    absolutely different. "Baku is a civilized European city. Now the
    provinces, they live by other laws, Islamic ones more often than not.
    This division is typical of all Middle East countries and Azerbaijan
    is not an exception," Iskandarjan said. The political scientist
    emphasized that Baku lives by the oil pipe and the provinces by
    immigrants in Russia. "Should one of these components malfunction,
    the country may take literally any turn, even Islamic," Iskandarjan
    said.

    It is clear in the meantime that this "Islamic turn" in Azerbaijan -
    or even illusion of one - is in the interest of Armenia and its
    Russian allies. It should be reminded here as well that Armenia
    enjoys fairly warm relations with Iran and with radical Islamic
    regimes, or that Arabs take an active part in the anti-Turkish
    rallies in France organized by the Armenian groups. In other words,
    "jihad promoters" are not going to challenge Armenia for Azerbaijan,
    but the loss of support in the West becomes a distinct possibility.
    And that will certainly benefit Moscow. After all, it was in January
    1990 (11 years before the terrorist acts in the United States) that
    Moscow excused its punitive expedition to Baku by references to the
    "Islamic turnover orchestrated there." Needless to say, the methods
    that were quite all right in 1991-1994 are no longer applicable or
    possible. In fact, it will even be difficult to make Armenia another
    "gift" of military hardware worth $1 billion. On the other hand, it
    is these speculations over the "Islamic factor", "strategists" in
    Yerevan and Moscow alike are convinced, that will warrant Moscow's
    political interference. And no need to act surprised upon hearing
    that religious extremist literature in Azerbaijan often appears from
    the north.

    Source: Ekho (Baku), December 28, 2006, EV
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