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Paranoid, And Loving It

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  • Paranoid, And Loving It

    PARANOID, AND LOVING IT

    Strategy Page -
    June 24, 2007

    July 2, 2007: Russia will veto a Kosovo independence vote in the UN,
    fearing that the dismemberment of Serbia will encourage separatists
    in Russia and some of its neighbors (Georgia, Armenia and Moldova).

    Russia also fears that an independent Kosovo will become a refuge
    for Islamic terrorists, as it believes Bosnia has.

    July 1, 2007: The government has passed laws that make it more
    difficult for new political parties to be formed, and to operate. In
    addition, existing parties are complaining of many hacker attacks
    on their web sites and network access. This is seen as a government
    Cyber War capability, which the government denies, but which keeps
    showing up when the government needs it.

    June 30, 2007: There are still terrorist incidents in Chechnya, but
    they occur about once a week, about as frequently as new arrests
    of terrorists are made. Most of the surviving Chechen terrorists
    have moved to neighboring areas, or farther abroad. The Chechen
    government, now run by Chechens, wants to end the amnesty program,
    because those who were serious about using it have, and those who
    haven't just use the amnesty program to catch a break between bouts
    of terrorist activity.

    June 28, 2007: After several failures, there was a successful test
    of the new ballistic missile, the Bulava. This is a naval version of
    the Topol-M ICBM, which has finally entered mass production. Topol-M
    uses solid fuel, and is similar to the American Minuteman.

    June 26, 2007: Russia does not believe Iran would be stupid enough
    to fire missiles at Europe. Therefore, the Russians cannot believe
    the American anti-missile system being installed in Eastern Europe
    can be anything but a sneaky way to begin construction of a missile
    defense against Russian rockets. After all, Russia knows it is hated
    and feared in Eastern Europe, which is why those nations offered to
    host parts of the anti-missile system. Russians love a good conspiracy,
    and this missile defense situation fits the bill.

    June 24, 2007: Russia is pouring billions of dollars into research,
    reviving the vast research organization that existed throughout
    the Soviet period. Most of the Soviet research institutes were
    inefficient, and only 3,500 of them, containing about 600,000
    researchers, survive. But many of these are operations that adapted,
    and found work in a market economy. Modeling their government research
    efforts on programs used successfully in Western nations, Russia sees
    the possibility of finally taking the lead in many key areas, like
    nanotechnology. Any technology edge can be translated into a military
    edge, because Russia has managed to keep key defense industries
    intact. New weapons are being produced, and future ones developed.
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