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  • Attempts To Distort Stability

    ATTEMPTS TO DISTORT STABILITY
    Vardan Grigoryan

    Hayots Ashkharh
    11 July 07

    A day before the meeting of Armenian Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanyan
    with Minsk group co-Presidents, Mathew Braise over again gave emphasis
    to the serious progress recorded in Armenian-Azerbaijani relations
    during the last three years and appealed to fix the results obtained.

    Such appeal must meet welcome, should the United States and the
    international community try to be sincere in their evaluations of
    the skid recently noticed in the negotiation process and should they
    not make attempts to distort the fragile stability established in
    the region.

    It is well known that during the previous years Armenia's attitude
    towards the negotiation process has been extremely serious. Armenian
    party has always made certain concessions, expecting synonymous steps
    from the other party.

    But the recent strange announcements made by the representatives of
    European authoritative structures under the pressure of the United
    States, principally contradict the contents of the interim agreement,
    on the negotiation table by the efforts of OSCE Minsk group.

    If before the end of the elections Terry Davis and Goran Lenmarker
    promise to support the principle of the so-called "territorial
    integrity of Azerbaijan", beforehand announcing illegal the results
    of NKR presidential elections, is it startling that their OSCE Minks
    group partners don't manage to bring about a decisive turning point
    in the negotiation process on the regulation of Karabakh issue?

    After all they give beforetime predeterminations regarding the results
    of the negotiations, this means Azerbaijan doesn't have any desire
    to make mutual concessions.

    Moreover seeing that the leaders of the European structures take
    the principle of their non-existent territorial integrity seriously,
    recently Azerbaijan has started to make favorable bases to establish
    bridges of dialogue with "Armenian community in Karabakh".

    But what about the trilateral format established by OSCE Minsk
    group. The meaning and political significance of the latter is
    devaluated simply because, the international community intends to drive
    Armenia to a corner by making predetermining announcements. In such
    circumstances of an evident distortion of stability it is impossible
    to record progress in the negotiations. And Azerbaijan, inspired of
    the announcements made by the West can think that it has the right
    to recover its non-existent "territorial integrity" by force.

    Anyway, lots of things will be apparent after the clarification of the
    results of the council between America and Azerbaijan that took place
    yesterday in Washington. The council is evaluated in Azerbaijan as an
    attempt to give pro-western direction to their policy. It is quite
    understandable that the pro-Azerbaijani announcements made by Terry
    Davis, Goran Lenmarker and others were aimed at providing success for
    such an attempt. It is also understandable why they persistently try
    to clarify the goal of Armenia - NATO relations.

    In both cases they are trying to push the regulation of Karabakh
    conflict in the plane of the competition between the super-powers in
    South Caucasus and to win one of the conflicting parties over. In
    this respect Armenia has already uttered its word and Azerbaijan's
    response will become known during the coming days.

    Eventually, either international community will return to the former
    tactics of requiring the conflicting parties to keep "equal distance",
    which is a decisive condition for continuing and recording success
    in the negotiation process, or they will intensify and realize their
    latest announcements about showing unilateral support to Azerbaijan.
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