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Everyone Will Crack Down On CFE

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  • Everyone Will Crack Down On CFE

    EVERYONE WILL CRACK DOWN ON CFE;
    by Artem Yerkanyan

    Agency WPS
    Source: Novoe Vremya (Yerevan), July 19, 2007, p. EV
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    July 23, 2007 Monday

    Azerbaijan stated its claims against the CFE after Russia

    A LOOK FROM YEREVAN: THE CFE CONTRADICTS THE INTERESTS OF AZERBAIJAN;
    Will the withdrawal of Moscow from the CFE change the geopolitical
    situation in the South Caucasus?

    Will the withdrawal of Moscow from the CFE change the geopolitical
    situation in the South Caucasus? Most likely, we will notice
    repercussions of the harsh step taken by the Kremlin too. The matter
    is about our main ally and the country that has a military presence in
    four of the six recognized and recognized states of the South Caucasus.

    The stance of Yerevan is unambiguous and very simple. Armenia believes
    in the efficiency of the CFE and sees in it efficient mechanisms
    for restraining the armament race. Expressing its regret about the
    disputes that have appeared between Russia and Western countries,
    Yerevan expects that by the way of a dialogue it will be possible to
    smooth down the contradictions and the CFE will remain a guarantee
    of stability on the continent. The reaction of Azerbaijan was not
    as clear. As usual, Baku used this pretext for verbal attacks at
    Armenia again.

    Azerbaijan tries to attract attention to its claims that Baku
    accuses it of not only all mortal sins but also of breaching the
    CFE requirements.

    Let us try to find out which breaches are meant. It is known that
    the CFE stipulates quotas for conventional arms for all participating
    countries. Having signed the CFE 15 years ago, Armenia and Azerbaijan
    undertook the observance of these quotas and the provision of
    transparency of the process of refilling arsenals. So, Azerbaijan
    breaches the limits set for it according to all parameters. Let
    us start with tanks. Armenia and Azerbaijan are allowed to have
    no more than 220 tanks. Meanwhile, according to Russian military
    sources, at the end of 2006 there were 296 tanks and 706 combat
    armored vehicles in Azerbaijan (the information was published in
    Russian Voenno-Promyshlenny Kuryer). Armenia stringently observes
    the undertaken obligations and feels content with 192 tanks and 338
    armored personnel carriers. The military aviation fleet of Azerbaijan
    is oversaturated too and does not fit CFE requirements. According
    to the same source, currently Azerbaijan has 61 combat airplanes and
    helicopters and 46 airplanes and helicopters of auxiliary aviation.

    In the air force of Armenia, everything is within the limits of the
    quotas: seven combat airplanes, 12 combat helicopters and 26 airplanes
    and helicopters of auxiliary aviation, overall 45 aircraft.

    This is quite sufficient for the provision of its defense capability
    because the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic has a well armed army of its
    own too. According to independent Russian experts, the air force of
    Nagorno-Karabakh has 11 combat aircraft. According to various sources,
    the army of Nagorno-Karabakh has from 177 to 316 tanks and about 300
    combat infantry vehicles. Incidentally, armament of the army of the
    Nagorno-Karabakh Republic is not within the quotas of Armenia because
    Nagorno-Karabakh is not a part of our country.

    Unfortunately, being an unrecognized state, the Nagorno-Karabakh
    Republic cannot join the CFE. At any rate, being isolated by the
    international community, Stepanakert manifested good will and undertook
    unilateral obligations to follow CFE limitations.

    Nagorno-Karabakh has not breached requirements of the CFE, which
    cannot be said about Azerbaijan.

    Incidentally, Baku diplomats recognize the fact that Azerbaijan
    breaches the CFE terms indirectly. Commenting on claims of
    international experts who confirm significant exceeding of the
    established limits, the head of the press service of the Foreign
    Ministry of Azerbaijan tells fairy tales that the Defense Ministry
    simply does not manage to scrap the old one on time. This is reportedly
    the reason why experts notice non-compliance of the arsenals with
    the stipulated quotas.

    It is clear that the CFE contradicts the interests of Azerbaijan
    because monitoring done by international organizations in the framework
    of the CFE allows revealing of the militarist course pursued by
    Baku. Azerbaijan, continuing the armament race, tries to avoid
    international control. That is why Aliev's Administration tries
    to discredit the CFE using a convenient pretext. Along with this,
    whereas Moscow has had sufficiently serious reasons to refuse to
    participate in the CFE, Baku cannot invent any serious arguments yet.

    That is why it has to confine its efforts to accusing of the CFE of
    "inability to hinder the threat of Armenian aggression."
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