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CB Regulates Currency Fluctuations

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  • CB Regulates Currency Fluctuations

    A1+

    CB REGULATES CURRENCY FLUCTUATIONS
    [07:30 pm] 22 June, 2007

    `Dollar-dram fluctuations in Armenia are not conditioned by economy
    and international tendencies,' said economist Eduard Aghajanov in
    answer to A1+'s question.

    The exchange rate is determined by a group of people, i.e. economy,
    international currency policy and market state do not affect Armenia.

    -Whom do you mean?

    The dram depreciation is profitable for importers. The foreign trade
    deficit increases. In my opinion, this year the deficit will exceed
    $1.5 - 2 milliard as the current rate promotes import and hinders the
    growth of the national output.

    Does the President of the Central bank Tigran Sargsyan support these
    groups?

    Surely, he does. He confessed it. By 2005 he had cheated everyone
    saying that the dollar rate was free in Armenia and he had no
    connection with the dollar-dram movements. In 2005 he announced that
    the Central Bank regulated the currency fluctuations.

    How long will the fluctuation last?

    It depends on the appetite of the interested groups.

    Do you foresee dram depreciation?

    It depends on the interests of the above-mentioned groups. The dollar
    rate went up in April as they needed dram during the elections.

    Can the dollar rate go up in 2008 during presidential elections?

    I don't exclude it. They need the dram to give briberies. They
    collected the dram in April and the exchange rate fell. And now they
    have fixed cheaper price for the dollar.

    And what factor is the gold price determined by?

    By the dollar. In case the dollar price goes up at the international
    market, the gold price falls and the vice versa. Banks and great
    businessmen store gold.

    -How did the election affect the Armenian economy?

    Armenia is the only country where elections do not affect the
    economy. During the 2003 presidential and parliamentary elections
    Armenia had the highest economic growth- 13.9 per cent. The same scene
    was observed after the 2005 referendum.

    And how do elections affect economy in developed countries?

    Generally, political activeness surpasses economic activeness as
    people are more interested in policy than in economy.

    Then, why do we have the opposite picture in Armenia ?


    The answer is evident. Armenia differs from other countries. We are
    unique. I cannot find any other explanation.

    Knarik Isoyan
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