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Pakistan: Chirac, Bush and Musharraf: overstaying their welcome?

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  • Pakistan: Chirac, Bush and Musharraf: overstaying their welcome?

    Daily Times, Pakistan
    March 23 2007


    EDITORIAL: Chirac, Bush and Musharraf: overstaying their welcome?


    President Jacques Chirac of France has retired from politics after
    two terms in office. The ambience in which he leaves says he did not
    live up to his promises, that he spoke big words but was half-cocked
    and ambivalent when it came to implementing them. In France,
    presidents are elected for six-year terms, and he had his two terms,
    meaning that the French people still thought he could do something
    for them after a lacklustre first term. But he leaves France at the
    bottom of the economic heap among the big six who conceived the idea
    of Europe as a super-state at Rome fifty years ago.

    In 2003 when Mr Chirac opposed President Bush's planned invasion of
    Iraq, his popular rating was over 60 percent; today it is less than
    half that because France has malfunctioned economically and the
    population is scared stiff of the high rate of unemployment and the
    social unrest it has brought in its wake. In foreign policy, though,
    he formed the opposite pole in Europe to President Bush and reached
    out to President Vladimir Putin of Russia to check the US at the
    global level.

    The good side of Mr Chirac will, alas, be clouded by his failure to
    take the tough decisions on the French economy. He is a connoisseur
    of the non-Western world and is a collector of no mean stature of
    third world artefacts. It is a commentary on his enduring ambiguity
    that while the French government passed new laws against Turkey (via
    punishing those who deny the massacre of the Armenians by the Turks)
    he stood for the inclusion of Turkey in the European Union. His
    sympathy for the Arabs went hand in hand with his intense dislike of
    those who hate the Jews in France. It was his knowledge of the Arab
    world that inclined him to oppose Mr Bush's adventure in Iraq. And he
    was soon proved right.

    We must understand President Chirac's ambivalence closely to
    understand another president in Pakistan whose lack of clear
    direction has brought him to the end of his tether. Was Chirac from
    the Left? Yes, once he was. Was he a centrist? He was that too. Did
    he favour economic reform in France to wean its people away from
    dirigisme or a high-spending, high-taxing state? Yes, he wanted that.
    Was he in favour of following the more successful model of the United
    Kingdom with low-taxation and low unemployment? No, he thought
    Britain's laissez-faire was not for France. He said reform was
    unavoidable; but he also said all was already in perfect equilibrium
    and needed little change.

    Mr Chirac was 30 years in government in one ministerial capacity or
    the other; he was prime minister under a declining earlier president;
    he was once the mayor of Paris too. What was the secret of his
    electoral success? A constantly flexible approach that gave him space
    for movement but satisfied no one completely. His ideological
    incoherence and his political opportunism became his trademark
    towards the end. An earlier president, Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, has
    written that Mr Chirac betrayed his own partyman to support him in
    1974, but then ditched him in 1981 to make Mr François Mitterrand
    oust him from the presidency.

    It seems that this decade is not of the presidents. Neither Mr Putin
    in Russia nor Mr Bush in the United States is the ideal ruler. In one
    case, the unpopularity is being concealed behind strong-arm
    governance and nationalism; and in the other, the people have already
    expressed a negative view electorally in 2006. The other president in
    trouble is President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan who chose to be
    ideologically incoherent just like Mr Chirac and has ended up, after
    seven years in power, being constitutionally incoherent too. That was
    not how it started.

    President Musharraf kicked off very upbeat and in step with the
    aspirations of a nation tired of war and economic downturn under
    elected governments. He was also a relatively liberal ruler and
    promised to bring solace to a civil society increasingly bullied by
    extremists empowered by the state earlier. But the dualism was
    manifest quite early in his governance. He declared himself a
    `moderate' who was determined to bring the country back to its normal
    state. But in the same breath he ruled out any cooperation with the
    liberal mainstream political parties to give himself a leg-up in an
    environment that was beginning to challenge his legitimacy.

    General Musharraf's efforts to relieve the hunted minorities were
    undermined by persisting duality. He wanted to please everyone. He
    thought he could rule in tandem with a party that did not believe in
    his liberal worldview and ended up dividing it ideologically.
    Although he vowed he was a transitional figure he never sought to put
    together a national government of a liberal orientation that could
    ease him out of his heavy responsibility through proper
    representation and also relieve foreign pressures on Islamabad. The
    result was that most of his undertakings floundered just like Mr
    Chirac's, starting with Kalabagh Dam and ending with Balochistan.

    President Musharraf lifted the economy from its trough but he could
    never establish law and order long enough to attract domestic or
    foreign investments. He fought extremism but it actually increased on
    his watch and Pakistan was reduced to a killing field of sectarian
    violence as never before. People who welcomed him to power never
    wanted him to become besieged as he is today. Now they wonder at the
    admixture of courage and ambivalence in his person and want him to
    come out of his trance.

    Mr Chirac is gone, Mr Bush will go in 2008. Both are embedded in the
    systems created for them by their constitutions. Both belong to
    countries with great economic potential and consequent political
    flexibility. In the case of Pakistan, the future is uncertain once
    again. If the ten-year trough should strike again, unfortunately
    another leader will be accused of not using his window of opportunity
    wisely. *

    http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page07 %5C03%5C23%5Cstory_23-3-2007_pg3_1
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