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  • Energy: Looking For Ways To Circumvent Russia

    Energy: Looking For Ways To Circumvent Russia

    23 March 2007 [23:01] - Today.Az

    Three meetings. Three cities. One goal: making Europe less dependent
    on Russian energy.


    On March 22, Azerbaijan's foreign minister was in Washington,
    Georgia's prime minister was in Turkmenistan's capital Ashgabat, and a
    major energy conference opened in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.

    Topping the agenda in all three cities were plans to develop
    alternative oil and gas transport routes that circumvent Russia and
    loosen Moscow's stranglehold on Europe's energy supplies.

    This diplomatic flurry came just one week after Russian President
    Vladimir Putin signed a deal with Greece and Bulgaria to build a
    pipeline to transport Russian oil from the Black Sea to the Aegean en
    route to European markets.

    Federico Bordonaro, a Rome-based energy analyst, says today's scramble
    for control of energy transit routes is beginning to resemble the Cold
    War struggle between Russia and the West.

    "What we were used to during the Cold War years was a kind of security
    dilemma," Bordonaro said. "Powers needed to choose between alliances
    and between different security strategies. Something very similar is
    apparently going on in the field of energy security."

    Leading The Charge

    In the middle of the scramble are Azerbaijan and Georgia, both of whom
    are trying to break free from Russia's sphere of influence and move
    closer to Washington and Brussels.

    "The small countries, like Georgia for example, that are very, very
    important because of their function as energy corridors -- they are
    especially sensitive to the influence of big powers," Bordonaro said.

    In Washington, Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov and U.S.
    Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice signed an agreement to cooperate
    closely on energy issues.

    Azerbaijan is emerging as a major natural gas producer. Mammadyarov
    was seeking Washington's political support to build a new generation
    of gas pipelines to export Azerbaijani natural gas -- via Georgia and
    Turkey -- to Europe.

    U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian
    Affairs Matthew Bryza said the agreement would support Europe's stated
    aim of diversifying its energy imports -- and help Azerbaijan emerge
    as a viable alternative to Russia's natural gas giant, Gazprom.

    "This high-level dialogue will aim to deepen and broaden already
    strong cooperation among governments and companies to expand oil and
    gas production in Azerbaijan for export to global markets," Bryza
    said.

    Particular focus, he said, will be put on the realization of the
    Turkey-Greece-Italy gas pipeline, and potentially the Nabucco and
    other pipelines that can delivery Azerbaijani gas to Europe and help
    diversify its natural gas supplies.

    Thinking Ahead

    Meanwhile, in Tbilisi, Georgia was hosting an energy conference aiming
    to achieve the exact same goal. Officials and industry leaders from
    Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkey, and the United States attended.

    Alexandre Khetaguri, the head of the Georgian International Oil and
    Gas Corporation, told RFE/RL's Georgian Service that presentations
    focused on projects that could prove "potentially interesting in the
    future."

    These projects, he said, included Nabucco as well as the construction
    of a trans-Caspian pipeline, which will ensure transportation of gas
    from Central Asian countries to Europe.

    Another project discussed in Tbilisi was the proposed
    Georgia-Ukraine-European Union Gas Pipeline -- or GUEU -- which would
    transport Azerbaijani gas to the EU via Georgia and Ukraine.

    "This is a very strategic project for the whole area, starting from
    Azerbaijan and Georgia," said Roberto Pirani, the chairman and
    technical director of GUEU. "And from the European point of view, it's
    a diversification of supply into Eastern Europe. We're talking about
    Ukraine, Poland and Lithuania, which are totally dependent on supplies
    from Gazprom. So this project will provide an alternative, more than
    an alternative -- a complimentary route of gas, a supply of gas -- to
    Gazprom."

    Georgian Prime Minister Zurab Noghaideli, meanwhile, traveled to
    Turkmenistan on March 22 to discuss gas imports.

    According to media reports, Noghaideli was seeking to persuade Turkmen
    officials to export natural gas to Europe via the South
    Caucasus. Turkmenistan currently exports most of its natural gas via
    Russia.

    Bordonaro, the Rome-based energy analyst, says the struggle for
    control of Turkmenistan's gas will likely heat up in the coming
    months.

    "One of the major stakes in the next month will be Turkmenistan," he
    said. "Because if a group of powers will be able to diversify the
    direction of Turkmen gas reserves and to avoid Russia's control of
    virtually all of these reserves, this will be an important point for
    these other powers, and for Georgia and Azerbaijan as well."

    Divided On Diversification

    Bordonaro said not all EU countries fully back efforts to diversify
    Europe's energy supplies away from Russia.

    Most former communist countries like Poland and Lithuania are pushing
    Brussels to circumvent Russia. But Germany and France still lean
    toward making bilateral agreements with Moscow.

    "Europe is proving unable to forge a really unitary energy security
    strategy and this will also cause trans-Atlantic relations to suffer,"
    Bordonaro said.

    Earlier this month, Hungary decided to back expansion of Russia's Blue
    Stream pipeline. Gazprom plans to extend the pipeline under the Black
    Sea to Hungary. According to the plan, Hungary would then serve as a
    hub to transport Russian gas to Europe.

    Some analysts say Hungary's move could undermine the EU-backed Nabucco
    pipeline proposal and other projects that were the subject of so much
    talk in Washington, Tbilisi and Ashgabat this week. RFE/RL
    From: Baghdasarian
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