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  • Nikolai Oganesyan: NATO Is Actively Courting Armenia

    NIKOLAI OGANESJAN: NATO IS ACTIVELY COURTING ARMENIA
    by Nora Kananova
    Translated by A. Ignatkin

    Source: Novoye Vremya (Yeveran), March 20, 2007, EV
    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    March 28, 2007 Wednesday

    NIKOLAI OGANESJAN, PRESIDENT OF THE ARMENIAN ATLANTIC ASSOCIATION:
    TIME TO START THINKING ABOUT THE ADVANCEMENT OF OUR RELATIONS WITH
    NATO; An interview with Nikolai Oganesjan, President of the Armenian
    Atlantic Association.

    NATO Week in Armenia is over. What Armenia means for NATO and vice
    versa is the question with which Novoye Vremya approached Nikolai
    Oganesjan, an outstanding scientist and President of the Armenian
    Atlantic Association. Oganesjan met with NATO leaders on many occasions
    in this capacity and that makes him an authority on the finer points
    of the not exactly simple Armenian-NATO relations.

    Question: The NATO Week in Armenia should probably be regarded as
    an expansion of cooperation. Why is the Alliance so interested in
    our country?

    Nikolai Oganesjan: The NATO Week was a planned action or
    representatives of the upper echelons of the Alliance would not have
    come. I mean NATO Deputy General Secretary Jean Fournet and George
    Katsirdakis of the NATO Defense Policy and Planning Division.

    Acknowledging that Armenia is not going to join the Alliance in the
    near future, NATO is determined to do whatever it takes to bring
    Armenia as close as possible so as to use it to its own benefit.

    Armenia is an integral part of the geopolitical region comprising
    the Middle East and the Caucasus which is currently in the focus
    of interests of the Alliance and its leader, the United States. The
    southern part of the Caucasus interests NATO and the United States as
    an integral region, and not by parts. That is why they are courting
    Armenia so actively now.

    However, there is more to it. Armenia is Russia's strategic partner.

    It interests the Alliance in this capacity as well. NATO may use
    its cordial relations with Armenia to advance its own relations with
    Russia. Should its relations with Russia plummet, the Alliance may
    use Armenia to mend them and avoid a collision. Hence the recently
    unthinkable claims on the part of spokesmen for NATO that the
    advancement of Armenia's relations with the bloc must not jeopardize
    its friendly relations with its old friends and partners. Katsirdakis
    emphasized this when NATO Week in Armenia was ending. "NATO does
    not demand that Armenia abandon its old friends and allies. Close
    relations with Russia and membership in the CIS Collective Security
    Treaty Organization are not supposed to interfere with the close
    cooperation between Armenia and NATO," he said.

    And here is another point. Relations between NATO and the CIS
    Collective Security Treaty Organization are not clear at this point,
    but that is going to change sooner or later. The two blocs will have
    to define themselves sooner or late. It is safe to assume, therefore,
    that NATO leaders hope to use their relations with Armenia to span
    the gap between the Alliance and the CIS Collective Security Treaty
    Organization. In other words, Armenia may become an important link
    in the chain of development of relation between NATO on the one hand
    and Russia and the CIS Collective Security Treaty Organization on
    the other.

    Contacts between Armenia and NATO are varying. NATO specialists
    assist the Armenians in mastering new military hardware and new
    standards. NATO provides equipment and teaches our military. Contacts
    in the fields of education and science were established as well.

    Fournet and Katsirdakis never missed a chance to emphasize how
    pleased NATO was with the degree and intensiveness of its relations
    with Armenia.

    Armenia is a member of the CIS Collective Security Treaty Organization,
    a structure which is pretty much amorphous at this point. No effort
    is spared to make it a serious organization but who can guarantee
    that it won't end up the way the Warsaw Pact did?

    Moreover, the Organization includes certain states (say, Kazakhstan)
    that promote the interests of Azerbaijan in the Karabakh conflict.

    Since there are no guarantees that the Organization will back Armenia
    and not Muslim states, it will be prudent for Yerevan to at least
    start thinking about the advancement of relations with NATO.

    Question: Can we say NATO has been involved in the Karabakh conflict
    resolution?

    Nikolai Oganesjan: Not as an organization, it hasn't. On the other
    hand, France and the United States are leading NATO countries, and
    their stand on the Karabakh issue should be regarded as the position
    of the Alliance itself. Neither the United States nor France have
    ever put pressure on us. Neither has ever demanded that we turn these
    territories over to Azerbaijan.

    Question: What do you think of Georgia's chances of becoming a NATO
    country in the near future?

    Nikolai Oganesjan: According to Katsirdakis, this particular issue
    is still in the initial phase of discussion now. I do not think that
    Georgia's entry into NATO will set up a new dividing line because
    the United States and NATO are interested in an integral framework of
    relations spanning all the entire southern part of the Caucasus. The
    fact that Armenia does not aspire to NATO membership and that the
    Alliance does not insist that it do so may actually ease tension in
    the relations between Russia and NATO should it escalate over the
    matter. Nothing prevents cooperation between Russia and the Alliance
    in this part of the world. Why is there the notion that someone must
    drive the other out? If Moscow and Washington promote a well-balanced
    and farsighted policy in the region, a more flexible policy, then both
    will be able to remain here and serve the interests of the countries
    of the region. We should find out exactly what Russia and the United
    States want here and do whatever it takes to make sure that their
    own interests do not take precedence over ours. The southern part of
    the Caucasus will then cease being a battlefield and become a bridge
    between East and West, North and South.

    Question: If Georgia is accepted into NATO, despite the unresolved
    conflicts, does it mean that Abkhazia and South Ossetia will be
    eventually returned to Tbilisi's jurisdiction with help from the
    Alliance?

    Nikolai Oganesjan: It depends on exactly what NATO wants to
    accomplish. If it wants to defend Georgia from Russia, then the
    runaway provinces may be reacquired even before Georgia formally
    joins NATO. On the other hand, Georgia may be pursuing false hope
    concerning its ability to secure NATO's help in conflict resolution
    once it is a NATO member. Article Five of the North Atlantic Treaty
    states that an aggression against a NATO member is regarded as an
    aggression against all and that other NATO countries must come to its
    help only if the member in question was not the one to provoke the
    aggression. I do not really expect that NATO will want to be drawn
    into the hostilities over an age-old conflict.
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