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BAKU: Tension In US-Azeri Ties Prompts Baku To Flirt With Russia's M

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  • BAKU: Tension In US-Azeri Ties Prompts Baku To Flirt With Russia's M

    TENSION IN US-AZERI TIES PROMPTS BAKU TO FLIRT WITH RUSSIA'S MILITARY PLANS

    Ayna, Baku
    26 Apr 07

    Excerpt from Casur Sumarinli's report in Azerbaijani newspaper
    Ayna on 26 April headlined "Baku teasing Washington?" and subheaded
    "Azerbaijani authorities prepare to discuss Russia's initiative on
    creating Casfor joint military unit in Caspian".

    The Baku authorities are preparing to put on the agenda for discussion
    Russia's proposal of setting up Casfor, a joint military unit in the
    Caspian Sea. Ayna has received this intriguing report from diplomatic
    sources in Russia.

    According to the report, this position of Baku was communicated
    to Moscow through diplomatic channels several days ago. Baku wants
    Moscow to supply extensive information on why the Casfor military and
    political alliance in the Caspian is necessary and what steps are to
    be taken in this regard. Russian sources regard this as an indication
    of Baku's wish to take part in this military unit.

    "It is true that this message from Baku came as a surprise to Russian
    diplomats. However, this only strengthens our opinion that Casfor
    will finally be set up. The latest information regarding Casfor will
    be sent to Baku by the end of May," the source in Moscow said. It is
    also possible that a delegation led by Deputy Foreign Minister Xalaf
    Xalafov will head for Moscow to study the issue closely.

    Can the discussion of the issue at the same moment when there is
    diplomatic tension between Azerbaijan and the USA be regarded as a
    coincidence? It should be taken into consideration that the agenda
    of the bilateral talks in Washington scheduled for 23-24 April
    also included security issues in the Caspian. The 130-million-dollar
    Caspian security programme was also on the agenda. However, Baku cited
    pro-Armenian corrections to the US State Department [human rights]
    report and postponed the visit of the delegation to Washington.

    Independent experts believe that if warm relations between Baku and
    Moscow are observed soon, it will mean that cooperation with Moscow
    has become an important part of Azerbaijan's foreign policy. If this
    is the case, reports about the renewed interest on part of Azerbaijan
    to Casfor allow for drawing certain conclusions.

    In the summer 2006 we reported that there was an unofficial surge of
    military and political tension between Baku and Moscow over Casfor.

    The reason was that Baku first accepted Moscow's Casfor proposal,
    but then turned it down.

    [Passage omitted: Russia first aired the idea of Casfor back in 2003]

    Baku did not respond to the Casfor proposal. Some believe that this is
    the reason the meeting [between foreign policy and defence ministry
    officials of the Caspian littoral states] scheduled to take place
    in Moscow in May [2006] did not take place. At first it was said
    that Azerbaijan wants Casfor to be at the initial stage a formal
    (small) organization and also does not want Casfor to infringe on
    its sovereignty, security, political and military interests, or on
    Baku's partnership relationships. Following that, Baku received
    indirect hints from the USA, which wants to pursue its interests
    in the Caspian Sea through the realization of the Caspian security
    programme. After the situation concerning Iran's nuclear programme
    emerged (Iran rushed to support the idea of Casfor), the possibility
    of Russia transporting nuclear components to Iran via the Caspian
    Sea and the fact that Azerbaijan began building radar stations on
    the Caspian shore using financial and technical support of the USA
    became major obstacles to implementing Casfor.

    But it seems that the situation is different now. Experts believe that
    if reports about Baku saying "Yes" to Casfor are true, then this is
    in effect an anti-US move by Azerbaijan.
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